Saturday, September 14, 2013

From the Office of the County Clerk - G148: Astros v. Angels

Jered Weaver (9-8, 3.38) vs Brett Oberholtzer (4-2, 2.65)

The most notable note of tonight's game for the Astros is that they have now set the all time American League team strikeout record, fanning nine times to finish the night with 1,393 K for the season. Oh, and Brett Wallace hit a home run. But there was nothing else to write home about for Houston, and they fall to the Angels 6-2. The loss drops them to 51-97 on the season, 4.0 games ahead of Miami in the #RodonWatch with 14 to play.

On the Mound:

*Brett Oberholtzer was not terrible, but neither was he near as sharp tonight as he had been the last two times out. A solo HR in the 3rd and back-to-back-to-back RBI hits in the 4th tagged him with a 6 IP / 6 H / 4 R / 4 ER / 2 BB / 4 K.

*David Martinez worked the final three frames and dug the hole a little deeper, allowing 3 R on 3 H and 3 BB, but the offense produced nothing behind him anyway.

At the Plate:

*The Astros matched the Angels tonight with 9 hits a piece, but only one of Houston's went for extra bases, while 5 of Los Angeles' 9 were XBH.

*That lone XBH for Houston was a two-run homer by Brett Wallace in the 4th, his 13th of the season and accounting for all of the Astros' scoring. Wallace finished 1 for 4 with 2 K.

*Jose Altuve is still white hot, going 3 for 4 tonight with a K. He's raised his average back up to .284 from a season-low .266 on August 31.

*With Altuve DHing, Marwin Gonzalez got the start at second and went 2 for 4.

*Jonathan Villar (1 for 5, 2 K), Matt Dominguez (1 for 4), and Jimmy Paredes (1 for 4, K) also had hits.

*Trevor Crowe went 0 for 3 with a K, but reached on a walk and scored on Wallace's HR.

Turning Point:

After a leadoff walk to Mike Trout and a K of Mark Trumbo, doubles by Howie Kendrick and Kole Calhoun and a single by Chris Ianetta transformed the Angels' 1-0 lead into a 4-0 margin in the 4th. That was more than the Astros could handle against Jered Weaver tonight.

Man of the Match:

Brett Wallace. He's actually third on the team in slugging percentage (.443) behind Jason Castro (.485) and Chris Carter (.450).

Goat of the Game:

Brett Oberholtzer. He lost his sharpness in the 4th, and it cost the team.

Friday, September 13, 2013

From the Office of the County Clerk - G147: Astros v. Angels

Jason Vargas (8-6, 3.76) vs Dallas Keuchel (5-9, 4.99)

Man, if the Astros could just play the Angels or Mariners all the time, this season would be a lot more fun. Matt Dominguez! Jose Altuve! Trevor Crowe! And how about that Cody Clark, eh? Astros blast the Angels 9-7, winning their fourth straight and improving to 51-96 on the year.

On the Mound:

*Dallas Keuchel was not good. He tied a career high with 9 strikeouts, but also surrendered 10 hits for the second consecutive start, good for 6 ER. Fortunately for him, however, Jason Vargas was even worse. Kid Keuchy's line: 5.2 IP / 10 H / 6 R / 6 ER / 2 BB / 9 K.

*Jorge De Leon got the last out of the 6th and got a double play in the 7th before leaving with two on, completing one scoreless inning.

*Kevin Chapman got the final out of the 7th, but that was the only out that he recorded, and two walks and a wild pitch to start the 8th resulted in an earned run on his ledger.

*Josh Zeid technically pitched a scoreless 8th, but a single and a bases-loaded walk forced in the run that was charged to Chapman.

*Then Josh Fields fanned two in a perfect 9th for his 5th save.

At the Plate:

*Lots to say on offense today, but all of Houston's runs scored on three big swings. None was bigger than Matt Dominguez, who notched his 20th home run of the season in impressive fashion - a towering grand slam to left-center in the 5th that put the game out of reach for Los Angeles. Matty D finished 1 for 2 with a BB, a K, and a HBP.

*Jose Altuve gave the Astros their first lead on a big fly of his own, launching a 3-run homer in the 3rd for his fifth of the season. Altuve stayed white hot for September, going 2 for 4 with 2 R. He's now 23 for 55 (.418) since September 1.

*Trevor Crowe didn't go deep, but he did put the Astros ahead for good with a 2-run single in the 5th that preceded Dominguez grand salami. Crowe hit like a legit #3 hitter again, going 3 for 4 with a R.

*Dominguez and Crowe obviously get the glory for Houston's 6-run 5th inning, but the whole inning was touched off by Cody Clark. The 31-year-old rookie broke an 0-for-25 to record his first big league hit with a leadoff single in the 5th, then came in to score on Crowe's single. Clark finished 1 for 4.

*Brandon Barnes singled twice, scored twice, and struck out twice, finishing 2 for 4.

*L.J. Hoes went 1 for 3 with a walk and 2 K, and also scored a run.

*Marc Krauss singled in a pinch-hit appearance in the 7th.

*Brandon Laird DH'd and went 0 for 2, but still scored a run after reaching on a HBP.

Turning Point:

With the Astros down 4-3, Cody Clark led off the home half of the 5th with a single to center on a 2-1 pitch. Brandon Barnes and Jose Altuve also singled on either side of a popped-up bunt attempt by Jonathan Villar, loading the bases for Trevor Crowe. Crowe singled to center, plating Clark and Barnes for a 5-4 Astros lead, then Brandon Laird took a HBP to re-load the bases for Matt Dominguez. That chased Angels starter Jason Vargas from the game, but his night got a lot worse when Dominguez blasted Cory Rasmus' first pitch off the bricks below the train in left center for his second grand slam of the season.

Man of the Match:

Matty D! He joined cHRis Carter in the 20 HR Club, giving the Astros two guys over that mark for the first time since 2010 (Pence 25, Lee 24). Of course, very honorable mention to Cody Clark.

Goat of the Game:

The Astros just won four in a row for the first time since June 12-16. Don't need no stinkin' goat tonight.

David Paulino is the PTBNL

Via MLBTR, we get this Jason Beck tweet indicating that the PTBNL in the Jose Veras trade with Detroit is 19-year old pitcher David Paulino.

Paulino, a 6'5" 180lb RHP from the Dominican Republic, has spent the last two seasons playing for the GCL Tigers. This season he made four starts, throwing 20IP and allowing 16H/6ER, 22K:2BB, for a 2.70 ERA/0.90 WHIP, but has been on the 60-Day DL since his last start on July 13 after injuring his pitching elbow. He had Tommy John surgery this summer, so we'll see you in 2015, Paulino.

Remember the Astros also got 19-year old outfielder Danry Vasquez in that Veras trade. In 32 games (not including playoffs), Vasquez hit .288/.323/.398 for Quad Cities in 2013.

Nationals seemingly backing off Bo Porter

Back in August the Washington Times talked about the Nationals replacing Davey Johnson as manager, and threw out Bo Porter as a possibility given that the Lerners really like him.

With this Danny Knobler article this morning, it seems as though Porter is out of the mix, with the Nats focusing on Matt Williams or Randy Knorr.

PreStros Playoff Report: September 12

Quad Cities

Quad Cities got on the board in the 2nd inning with a Bobby Borchering solo homer to give the River Bandits a 1-0 lead in Game 2 of the Midwest League finals. Then, a wild 4th inning saw Danry Vasquez draw a one-out walk and then score courtesy of three wild pitches by South Bend pitcher Blake Perry. Rio Ruiz got an RBI double and Jordan Scott laid down a suicide that scored Ruiz. In the 6th, Ruiz scored on a Roberto Pena line drive, and that was your ballgame: 5-0 Quad Cities.

Joe Bircher threw 5IP, 6H/0ER, 2K:2BB; Jamaine Cotton had one of the more remarkable relief appearances you'll see: 3IP, 0H/0ER, 6K:0BB - striking out six consecutive batters in the 7th and 8th innings. J.D. Osborne threw a hitless/scoreless 9th inning.

Rio Ruiz was 2x4 with two doubles and an RBI; Roberto Pena was 2x3 with a walk and an RBI; Bobby Borchering scored twice and hit the aforementioned homer.

Man of the Match: I'm going Jamaine Cotton.

Series: Quad Cities up 2-0 (Best-Of-Five)
Next Up: At home vs. South Bend, Saturday 7:00pm Central

Tri-City

In the deciding game of the New York-Penn League Championship, State College took a 1-0 lead in the 4th on Kyle Westwood. Then, in the 6th, things got weird. Two bunts to lead off the ValleyCats inning got runners on 1st and 2nd and a James Ramsay sac bunt moved them to 2nd and 3rd with one out. Jack Mayfield's single tied the game and two wild pitches by new State College pitcher Victor De Leon brought in the go-ahead run. Two more Tri-City walks loaded the bases, and a bad throw on a Brian Holberton grounder turned a potential inning-ending double play into two more Tri-City runs. In the 9th, State College got a leadoff single, and Gonzalo Sanudo gave up a rare homer (his first allowed since June 18) to make it 4-3. With the tying run on 2nd, Sanudo struck out the final two batters of the game to give the ValleyCats the NYPL Championship for the 2nd time in four years.

Man of the Match: EVERYBODY

Series: Tri-City wins 2-1 (Best-of-Three)
Next Up: 2014

Thursday, September 12, 2013

Reaction Roundup: Sweeping Seattle

Seattle Times
How are GM Jack Zduriencik and manager Eric Wedge supposed to survive this?
The Mariners just got swept three straight by the Houston Astros, far and away the worst team in major league baseball. They were outscored 25-7 and played in front of crowds announced ranging from 9,800 or so to 11,656 tonight. Those are the announced crowds. There wasn’t much of a line for garlic fries tonight.

Lookout Landing:
God, you guys. This team.  They are so bad.

SoDo Mojo:
Getting blown out by the Houston Astros is downright embarrassing…how did this even happen? Seriously, the Astros? As I write this, the M’s are continuing to lose to Houston, and are on the verge of getting swept by the worst team in the AL. The season is in its twilight, and we’re all getting pretty sick of poor September showings from the Mariners, but seriously, the Astros?

 

PreStros Playoff Report: September 11

Lancaster

Welp. That sucks. Lancaster had a 3-1 lead going into the 8th inning in the fifth and deciding game of the series with Inland Empire, but a sac fly in the 8th and three singles in the 9th tied the game up at 3-3 going into extras. Lancaster had the bases loaded with one out in the 13th, and got nothing. They had the bases loaded with no outs in the 14th, and got nothing (Delino DeShields was tagged out trying to score in a foul-out to 3rd). Inland Empire scored the winning run on an RBI double to take the game 4-3 in 15 innings, and the series 3-2.

Kyle Smith: 5IP, 7H/1ER, 5K:1BB
Jordan Jankowski: 0.2IP, 1H, 1BB
Blair Walters: 0.1IP, 1K:1BB
Mike Hauschild: 0.1IP
Kenny Long: 1.1IP, 3H/1ER
Travis Ballew: 2.1IP, 4H/1ER, 3K:0BB
Michael Dimock: 3IP, 5H/0ER, 2K:0BB
Tyson Perez: 2IP, 2H/1ER, 3K:1BB

Carlos Perdomo was 3x7 with an RBI; Delino DeShields (BB, RBI), Nolan Fontana (3BB), Andrew Aplin (2B, 2BB), and Brandon Meredith (2B, BB) had two hits each.

Man of the Match: Nolan Fontana, on base five times (no runs scored).

Series: Inland Empire wins 3-2
Next Up: 2014.

Quad Cities

Quad Cities took a 1-0 lead in the third inning, and gave it back in the 4th, allowing South Bend to score two runs. Jordan Scott hit a game-tying solo home run in the 7th and Rio Ruiz knocked in Danry Vasquez with two outs in the 8th to preserve a 3-2 series opening win. Chris Devenski threw 7IP, allowing 6H/2ER, 9K:0BB; Pat Christensen (0.2IP) and Andrew Walter (1.1IP) threw scoreless outings.

Carlos Correa was 2x3 with a walk and is hitting .455 in the post-season. Danry Vasquez (2B, RBI) and Brian Blasik (2B) each had a hit and a walk. Jordan Scott's lone hit was your game-tying homer.

Man of the Match: Chris Devenski

Series: Quad Cities leads 1-0 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: Game 2 at South Bend, Thursday 6:05pm Central

Tri-City

Tri-City, facing elimination, took extended a 1-0 lead with a four-run 6th. In the bottom half, they gave those four runs back but held on for a 5-4 series-tying win. Michael Feliz threw 5.2IP, 5H/4R (2ER), 5K:3BB; Tyler Brunnemann threw 1.1IP, 1H/0ER and Gonzalo Sanudo struck out two and allowed two hits in 2IP.

Conrad Gregor was 3x4 with a walk, a home run and 2RBI; James Ramsay, Jack Mayfield (two 2B), Brian Holberton, Jon Kemmber (2B, RBI) and Chan Moon (3B) had two hits each. Ronnie Mitchell was 1x4 with a double and 2RBI.

Man of the Match: Conrad Gregor

Series: Tied 1-1 (Best-of-Three)
Next Up: Game 3 at State College, Thursday 6:05pm Central

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Game 145 history

Perhaps you have seen the Futility Watch section of Astros County. It started out as a joke to show that the Astros were vastly improved over 2012. Well. The 2013 Astros are improved (and on a better path - save for those pesky innings that come after the starter leaves the game. Now it's not so funny.

Anyhow, every day (for the most part) this section is updated on a Game-by-Game basis, comparing the records of the 2013 Astros to the 2012 Astros, the 2003 Tigers, the 1962 Mets, and the 1899 Cleveland Spiders. We're also keeping track of the Race for Rodon (the #1 overall pick in 2014) and the Strikeout Watch. These are depressing things with which to keep up.

But every now and then, something comes up that is mildly interesting. In our case today, it's extremely interesting. On Sunday, September 9, 1962, the 145th game of the season, the Colt .45s and Mets - both in their inaugural seasons in the Majors - did something strange.

The Colts came in to the game with a 56-87 record, having won their previous six games (including the first three games against the Mets) and 11 of their previous 14. They were in 8th place in the National League - 4.5 better than the Cubs and 21.5 better than the Mets, who were having a historically bad season. They were 12-50 from the All-Star Break to G145, 6-29 since taking three of five from the Reds in early August, and 1-11 in their previous twelve games.

G145 began at 4:00pm at Colt Stadium. The Mets had runners on 1st and 2nd before Colts' pitcher Bob Bruce got a strikeout and a flyout to end the top of the 1st. The Colts answered with five straight baserunners to take a 3-0 lead after one inning. New York got two runs back in the 2nd, but Al Spangler's double scored Bob Lillis to make it 4-2 Houston after two innings. Houston had a 5-2 lead when the Mets struck for three runs to tie the game in the 5th. A Bob Aspromonte triple scored Roman Mejias and a Hal Smith sac fly brought in Aspromonte for a 7-5 Houston lead. The Mets chipped away with a run in the 6th and 7th to tie the game. Houston's Don McMahon negotiated two walks in the 8th to get out of the inning, and New York's Ray Daviault retired the Colts on three pitches in the 8th.

And then, when you thought the Mets would take the field in the top of the 9th, they didn't. The game was over and called a tie. Why? It was 7pm.

Major League Baseball - thanks to what are known as Blue Laws - had a Sunday curfew for quite some time. In 1930s Boston, the curfew was 6:30pm. These Blue Laws restrict or ban certain types of activity on Sundays (in the United States) for religious standards. The first Blue Law in the colonies was enacted in Virginia in 1617, requiring church attendance and authorizing the militia to force colonists to attend church.  Beginning in the mid- to late-19th century, many southern and midwestern states passed laws to protect Sundays that would penalize people for not observing the Sabbath.

Texas had some of the strictest Blue Laws in the states regarding alcohol and entertainment. Since before the 1880s Texas had restricted the sale of alcohol on a Sunday. In 1961, the Texas legislature passed a series of laws banning the sale of 42 items (among them: furniture, clothing, hardware, appliances, jewelry, musical instruments, toys, draperies...) on consecutive Saturdays and Sundays - basically meaning "Not On Sunday." A lot of these were repealed in 1985, but ever wonder why you still can't buy a car or a bottle of bourbon in Texas on a Sunday? There you have it.

Courts in Connecticut and New York have declared these laws unconstitutional since the Blue Laws mix that whole Church & State thing. In 1984, state judges in Houston and Dallas declared the Blue Laws unconstitutional, too, mainly because prosecutors wouldn't enforce it - lead to the 1985 repealing.

A letter to the editor of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette on August 15, 1958 reminds a previous letter-writer that "the 7 o'clock curfew was made to protect churches holding services holding services in the morning and evening. Some churches are next to a ball field. They hold services in the evening and it would certainly interfere with services going on if a ball game was in progress. There is a church directly back of Forbes Field." (The Oakland Methodist Episcopal Church?)

If you look at the Baseball-Reference play-by-play data, the Colt .45s went after the first pitch in nine straight ABs from the 6th-8th innings, making nine consecutive outs on nine pitches, likely in an effort to end the game, which they were leading 7-5 when they started hacking at the first pitch.

Interestingly enough, Rule 4.12(a)(1) - if I'm even writing that out correctly - still indicates that "a game shall become a suspended game that must be completed at a future date" if the game is stopped due to a curfew imposed by law.

Whether the 7-7 tie had any impact on how Houston and Texas in general viewed the baseball curfew is unclear. I was able to find start times for two Sunday home games in the 1963 season: An August 25 game against the Cardinals that began at 2:33pm and a June 30 game, again with the Cardinals, that began at 8pm - one hour after the 1962 Sunday baseball curfew would have taken effect.

Yankees to pay $29m in luxury tax

The Astros are 49-96, 38.5 games back of Boston and 9.5 games back of the 14th-place White Sox. They don't spend a lot of money on payroll.

The Yankees are 77-68, 28 games ahead of Houston, but 10.5 games back of Boston and two games back of the Rays for the 2nd Wild Card spot. They do spend a lot of money on payroll - $236.2m - and will be paying more than the Astros' entire payroll, just in luxury tax.

Yet the Astros and Yankees may be playing the same sport in October: golf.

PreStros Playoff Report: September 10

Lancaster

Oh you have to be kidding me. Facing elimination at Inland Empire, the JetHawks were down 1-0 heading into the 8th when Carlos Perdomo doubled in Joe Sclafani to tie the game, but left the bases loaded to end the inning. In the top of the 10th inning Sclafani drew a leadoff walk and singles by Nolan Fontana and Perdomo loaded the bases. Andrew Aplin hit sac fly to score the go-ahead run and MP Cokinos was intentionally walked to reload the bases. Tyler Heineman ripped a two-run double and one batter later Brandon Meredith did the same thing. Five runs in the top of the 10th, a 6-1 Lancaster win.

Tommy Shirley threw 5.1IP, 4H/1ER, 2K:1BB....and the bullpen didn't give up a hit the rest of the way. Gera Sanchez (0.2IP, BB), Jordan Jankowski (1IP), Kenny Long (0.2IP), Mike Hauschild (1IP, BB) and Travis Ballew (1.1IP) threw 4.2 hitless innings in relief.

Carlos Perdomo (2B, BB, RBI) and Brandon Meredith (two 2B, BB, 2RBI) were each 3x4; Joe Sclafani was 2x3 with a double and two walks.

Man of the Match: The bullpen

Series: Tied 2-2 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: Deciding Game 5 - at home, Wednesday at 9pm Central

Quad Cities

Series: 0-0 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: Game 1 of the Midwest League Championship - at South Bend, Wednesday at 6:05pm Central

Tri-City

Tri-City opened the New York-Penn League Championship at home against State College, and took a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the 2nd on Brian Holberton's sac fly, scoring Brett Booth. State College's Mason Katz tied it up in the top of the 5th on a solo homer, and that's how it stayed, with State College retiring 19 ValleyCats in a row from the 2nd inning until Ryan Dineen's 8th inning walk. In the top of the 11th, Luis Perez singled for State College and a throwing error by Tri-City pitcher Edison Frias in the next AB allowed Perez to score for the go-ahead run, 2-1 State College. Tri-City pitchers have allowed two runs in the last three games (29 innings).

Evan Grills threw 8IP, 2H/1ER, 6K:1BB; Chris Munnelly threw 2IP, 0H/0ER, 2K:1BB, and Edison Frias  took the loss with 1IP, 1H/1R (0ER).

Brett Booth had two of the ValleyCats' five hits; James Ramsay (2B), Tyler White (BB), and Chan Moon had your other hits. Ryan Dineen was 0x3 with two walks.

Man of the Match: Evan Grills

Series: Tri-City down 1-0 (Best-of-Three)
Next Up: Game 2 at State College, 6:05pm Central

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

2013 Astros v. 2003 Pirates

The Astros made history this season (the good kind), by becoming the first team since 2003 to have 6 minor league affiliates make the postseason. The team that did in 2003...the Pittsburgh Pirates, who won their 82nd game last night, ensuring their first wining season since 1992. This has lead many, including respected writers Rob Neyer and Peter Gammons, to suggest that the the minor league success is meaningless, and the Astros might have a similar decade long wait until they truly contend again.

And its largely true. 6 teams making the minor league playoffs is fun, but, in and of itself, does not mean a whole lot. But there are some very key differences between the 2003 Pirates and the 2013 Astros, which I believe (hope) will make a world of difference.

For one is the question of prospects. Neyer noted that the 2003 Pirates had prospects too, but I think that sort of misses the point. Every team has prospects, and not all prospects are created equal. Going into the 2003 season, Baseball America had the Pirates rated as the 18th best farm system. Following the 2003 season, they jumped to 11th, but then dropped right back to 18th in 2005. Despite the success of the minors, they were not seen as a team with a deep farm system. In contrast, the Astros started 2013 rated 9th by BA, and will almost assuredly vault into the top 5 next season. The Astros success in the minors has been built on increased depth and premium prospects.

So what was the Pirates success built on? Age. The average age of the Pirates 2003 AAA team was 26.6 for pitchers and 27.4 for batters. The offensive leaders of the team included 27 year old John Barnes, 32 year old Mike Gulan and 32 year David Doster. On the pitching side, the leaders in IP included 29 year old Nelson Figueroa,  25 year old Ryan Vogelsong and 30 year old John Wasdin. They weren't the oldest team in the league, but they were far from the youngest. The AAA success was not guided by prospects, but rather was primarily lead by journeyman much older than their league. The same is true throughout the Pirates' system that year.  Their minor league affiliates were consistently among the oldest in their league, all they way down to short season ball.

The Astros on the other hand, made the playoffs in AAA with a offense that was a full three years younger than the Pirates 2003 squad, and a younger pitching staff too. No one over 26 got more than 300 PA, and the innings leaders were all under under 25. They were by far the youngest team in the league. The success of the AAA squad was built on prospects, performing well. The same is true for most of the system. The minor leagues were having great success against older competition.

I think I'll let Baseball America's JJ Cooper explain the significance of this.

Winning in the minor leagues does not correlate strongly with prospect depth or major league success. Less talented but more experienced players can often trounce younger, but more talented, teams. But as farm directors and other front office officials are quick to point out, they do see a development benefit in winning at the minor league level. And when you win with a young team, that is a good sign of organizational depth and talent.
The Astros are winning with young talent. Triple-A Oklahoma City finished with the PCL’s best record (82-62) with the youngest lineup in the league and a pitching staff that equaled Memphis as the youngest. Double-A Corpus Christi finished with the best record in the Texas League (83-57). It did so despite the fact that the average age of its  lineup was nearly a year younger than any other team in the Texas League, and the pitching staff was also the league’s youngest. Only in the short-season New York-Penn League and the Rookie-level Appalachian League did the Astros make the playoffs with one of the older clubs in the league.
So, yes, the Pirates of 2003 proved that minor league success does not necessarily translate to major league wins. I'm not excited for the future of the Astros because they had 6 teams in the playoffs this year. I am excited about the future of the Astros because they are building a solid core of prospects, who are performing well in the minor leagues, primarily against older competition. That they are performing well enough to bring their teams to the playoffs is just another sign that the rebuild plan is working. 


***The Batguy here. Aaron and I were working on similar posts on this subject without the other knowing about it. What resulted was that my drafted post works as a bit of an epilogue to his fine work on the subject. So, instead of deciding whose post to go with, we took a lesson from that adorable taco commercial girl and said "Why not both?" Here's my part***

As Aaron mentioned above, that 2004 farm system was ranked 11th by BA. So what happened? Let's look at this player by player.

Jason Bay had several very good years with the Pirates. He was the 2004 Rookie of the Year and an All-Star in 2005 and 2006. He should be the cornerstone of several Pirates playoff runs. But that's not how it happened. In 2008 Bay was traded to Boston in a three team deal that netted Pittsburgh Andy LaRoche, Bryan Morris, Craig Hansen, and Brandon Moss. Bryan Morris may turn out to be a decent reliever, but that will be all the Pirates have to show for this deal.

Freddy Sanchez also had some good years with Pittsburgh. He led the league in doubles in 2006 and was an All-Star in 2006, 2007, and 2009. Nothing like having a cornerstone middle infielder to drive you to the top of the standings. But that's not how it happened. Sanchez was traded to San Francisco for a minor league pitcher who's no longer with the organization.

Paul Maholm had some up and down years with Pittsburgh before he was granted free agency after the 2011 season. He had some success in 2012, but he's essentially a league average starter.

Ryan Doumit took a little while to come around, but he's turned into an often injured player who swings a pretty good bat while being not abominable as a catcher and playing a little outfield, too. The Pirates let him go as a free agent after 2011.

Matt Capps was/is a pretty good late inning reliever. The Pirates panicked after a really bad 2009 and let him walk in free agency. He, of course, was an All-Star in 2010.

Zach Duke burst onto the scene his rookie season in 2005, but quickly flamed out, though he did make an All-Star team in 2009. That's the year he led the league in losses. Duke was lost to free agency long after he was lost to ineffectiveness.

Ok, scratch the player by player part. This is taking forever and I don't think we care that much about failed Pirates prospects. I'll just sum up.

The bottom line is that a few of these players did go on to have good runs for several seasons, but were then traded for what amounts to a bag of magic beans. Some of them just flamed out; it happens with prospects. What really kept Pittsburgh from joining the ranks of respectability for so long was that, after 2004, their farm system went to pot. By 2008 they were ranked 26th. They failed to keep their pipeline stocked with good prospects, so their talent quickly ran dry. If they had been able to complement Bay, Sanchez, Doumit, and McLouth with a couple more waves of young talent we probably would have seen them breaking out around 2007/2008, instead of selling off those players and trying to start over. Again.

A strong list of 20 prospects is nice, but a one year snapshot of the state of the farm system isn't very predictive. (Yes, I get that that statement seems to go against some of the other posts I've made. Maybe the atrocious major league season is weighing on me more heavily right now.) History tells us that a number of our current top 20 is likely to flame out. It remains to be seen if Houston will be able to keep the system well stocked so Luhnow's plan of having wave after wave of young players stepping up to the Big Club will pay off.

2014 Schedule Released

The times are yet to be determined, but Brian McTaggart has your 2014 Astros schedule. Immediate thoughts:

*The Astros' season runs from Tuesday, April 1 - Sunday, September 28.
*The Astros open at home with a seven-game homestand: three games against the Yankees and four games against the Angels.
*Once again, April is AL West-heavy: 28 games in April, 17 against the AL West (and seven with Oakland).
*The Astros are on the road for Memorial Day and July 4th.
*Labor Day is my chief complaint. The Astros have a nine-game homestand from August 25 - September 3. Labor Day is Monday, September 1. Who do the Astros play? Nobody. They start a two (TWO) game series with the Angels on September 2nd. Well, sure, you say. The Angels must be wrapping up a four-game series with somebody on Labor Day, right? No. The Astros and Angels are both off on Labor Day, sitting in their hotel rooms, not playing on the last major holiday before the end of the season. This is ridiculous.
*The Astros have two ten-game road trips from August 14 - September 15. 
*Longest homestand: Ten games, July 25 - August 3.
*Interleague Play: April 29-30 vs. Washington; June 17/18 @ Washington; June 24-26 vs. Atlanta; July 25-27 vs. Miami; August 5-7 @ Philadelphia; September 26-28 @ NY Mets.
*"Natural Rivalry Week" - June 9/10 @ Arizona; June 11/12 vs. Arizona

Lucas Harrell vs. Brandon Backe

Lucas Harrell has racked up 16 losses this season, already tied for 7th-most in franchise history (one behind Ken Johnson (1963), Bob Knepper (1987) and Denny Lemaster (1969), two behind Bob Bruce (1965) and Doug Drabek (1993), and four behind all-time Astros single-season loss leader Turk Farrell (1962).

Yesterday, I was going through to see if Harrell's 2013 season is the worst pitching season in Astros history. That was some depressing research. I'll finish it one day, when it's 16 degrees on a January night and everyone else is asleep. Then I'll feel the warm comfort of the bourbon meet the cold comfort of my knife. But I did run across an interesting comparison: Brandon Backe.

HA! you scoff. Backe was The King! you say. And, for a few years, you were right. I'll always have a soft spot in the back of my head for Brandon Backe. But 2008 Brandon Backe was rough...and comparable to Harrell's 2013.

Let's just look at the SPROTS RITER STATZ:

Harrell: 140.2IP, 163H/194ER, 81K:82BB, 6.01 ERA/1.74 WHIP. 19HR
Backe: 166.2IP, 202H/112ER, 127K:77BB. 6.05 ERA/1.67 WHIP. 36HR

Let's look a little closer:
Harrell: 10.4 Hits/9; 1.2 HR/9; 5.2 BB/9, 5.2 K/9; 0.99 K:BB ratio
Backe: 14.5 Hits/9; 3.5 HR/9; 4.2 BB/9, 6.9 K/9; 1.67 K:BB ratio

Alright. Immediately we see that Backe allowed more hits and gave up far more homers than Harrell has. But Harrell has more walks and fewer strikeouts. Let's keep going:

Harrell: .312 BABIP; 5.52 FIP, 5.04 xFIP
Backe: .324 BABIP; 5.87 FIP; 4.83 xFIP

These stats can be naturally skewed. Home runs and BABIP, for instance, for Backe. FIP and Shifts for Harrell, too.

But both had fastball problems...

Harrell: -23.3 wFB, -9.2 wFA
Backe: -23.2 wFB, -21.2 wFA

You can even look at the Plate Discipline numbers (via FanGraphs) and see similarities:

Harrell: 28.1% O-Swing%; 78.9% O-Contact%; 86.6% Contact%
Backe: 31.5% O-Swing%; 59.4% O-Contact%; 77.9% Contact%

The percentage of pitches that opposing batters swung at outside the zone is similar (28.% for Harrell, 31.5% for Backe), but hitters made far less contact on Backe's pitches overall than Harrell (86.6% Contact% for Harrell, 77.9% for Backe).

So I don't really know what you do with this information, other than to say, "Wow. That's moderately interesting."

Morning Drive: September 10

My fear-filled evening of total lack of communication with the outside world; taking issue with the Houston Chronicle. (16:53)

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Preliminary 2014 schedule out

Reid Laymance has a preliminary copy of the 2014 MLB schedule - which will be released today. What we know so far:

*The Astros will host the Yankees to open the season on April 1.
*Interleague play is with the NL East.
*The Astros "natural rival" isn't the Rockies anymore, apparently. It's the Diamondbacks. Because it's only natural that your natural rival changes from year to year.

Jarred Cosart shut down

In this Chronicle piece - written by a freelance writer based out of Seattle (and more on that later today) - we get the Astros' game recap for last night's come-from-behind victory over the Mariners.

Cosart struggled with his command, walking six but only allowing one unearned run. Having now thrown 153IP between OKC and Houston - 38.1 more than in 2012 - the Astros will shut Cosart down for the rest of the season.

There are 18 games left in the season, with two days off between now and the finale against New York on Sunday, September 29.

Corporan's concussion sounds awful

A few things on the injury front:

Carlos Corporan is thankful for the 7-Day DL:
Corporan, who is back to 100 percent, said he experienced constant headaches, nausea, sleepiness and memory problems. The symptoms left him feeling angry.

Jason Castro was out for the 2nd straight game with soreness from the drained cyst in his knee:
We're just kind of giving my knee a chance to calm down.

Bob Grossman is feeling a little bit better, and the Mariners have scratched Felix Hernandez from Wednesday's start - both are dealing with oblique issues.

The Astros will have their first game off in three weeks on Thursday, and will have played 20 games in 20 days.

Someone go check on the Bellingham Herald

Man, those guys must be pissed about the game last night...


PreStros Playoff Report: September 9

Lancaster

Well, this is unexpected. Inland Empire took a 3-0 lead by the end of the 3rd, and rode it out for a 6-2 win over Lancaster to take a 2-1 series lead. Aaron West allowed 7H/4ER, 4K:0BB in 3.1IP; Tyson Perez (0.2IP) and Blair Walters (0.1IP) allowed hits but no runs; Michael Dimock gave up 3H/2ER, 2K:1BB in 2IP and Gera Sanchez retired the five batters he faced.

Nolan Fontana (2B), Tyler Heineman (2B, RBI) and Chris Epps (RBI) had two hits each. Brandon Meredith was 1x3 with a walk and a stolen base. The JetHawks were 2x9 w/RISP.

Man of the Match: Tyler Heineman?

Series: Inland Empire leads 2-1 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: Tuesday @ Inland Empire, 9:05pm Central

Quad Cities

Quad Cities were up 5-0 before Beloit got on the board and continued to tack on runs, earning a place in the Midwest League finals with a 9-5 win. Daniel Minor allowed 6H/2ER, 6K:0BB in 6IP; Juan Minaya gave up 3H/3ER, 1K:1BB in 1IP; Mitchell Lambson gave up 2H/0ER (but allowed the hits that gave Minaya two of his earned runs) in 2IP.

Despite going 3x21 w/RISP, the River Bandits plated nine runs. Bobby Borchering (2B) and Jordan Scott (2B, 3B, SB, RBI) had three hits each. Carlos Correa was 2x5 with a triple, home run and 3RBI; Tony Kemp (2B), Teoscar Hernandez (HR), Rio Ruiz (HR, 2RBI), and Brian Blasik all had two hits each.

Man of the Match: Carlos Correa

Series: Quad Cities wins 2-1
Next Up: At South Bend in MWL Championship, 6:05pm Central (Best-of-Five)

Tri-City

Tri-City will begin the Best-of-Three NYPL Championship tonight vs. State College, 6:05pm Central

Monday, September 9, 2013

BA says the Astros 40-Man roster isn't really all that full

Back in August the Crawfish Boxes posted a recap of a meeting between season ticket holders and Astros president Reid Ryan which, in part, addressed George Springer's Leave-Down (as opposed to "Call-Up"):

The FO expects the team to be a big Rule 5 target this year and so they need to protect as many guys as possible. Since Springer isn't Rule 5 eligible yet there's no need to protect him and therefore, no 40 man spot until next year. 

Farmstros' Mike Tauser got a question in to Baseball America about this very topic: Do the Astros really have to worry about getting Rule 5 picked to death?


In reality, the Astros are not facing a 40-man roster crunch. They have the deepest farm system in the minors, but most of the players worth protecting won’t become Rule 5 eligible until 2014 and beyond.

Basically BA is saying that the players the Astros "need to protect" won't really appeal to other teams...not enough for them to stick on a 25-Man roster for the entire 2014 season. Next year, though...

Bookmark this link

Astros fan(s). Please scroll all the way to the bottom and read Jonah Keri's thoughts on the Astros. Here's just a pull from the very end:

Every team has its share of promising arms that don't pan out; we have example after example of exciting careers getting derailed, or at the very least sidetracked for a while. But the Astros have more and better young pitchers than most. Adding Rodon could make the team's stable of pitching prospects downright scary. Any rebuilding team with that many dynamic, up-and-coming pitchers has a great chance to turn its fortunes around.

Click the link and read what Keri wrote about Mike "Bad MF" Foltynewicz, Michael Feliz, Mark Appel, and the possibility of Carlos Rodon. Read. Close. Re-open. Repeat. 

Morning Drive: September 9

Lolucas Harrellol. Doug Brocailol. Minor Loleague Plolayoffs. (Duraton: 19:16)


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Lucas Harrell and Oakland

Consider how terrible Lucas Harrell has been this season:

6.01 ERA/1.74 WHIP. 81K:82BB. 19 homers allowed. .858 OPS-against (.390 OBP-against).
9.19 ERA/2.10 WHIP since the All-Star Break with 14K:25BB in 32.1IP.
ERAs over 7.00 in May (7.53), July (8.41), August (11.08), and September (9.82).
In the last week, he's allowed 14H/8ER, 5K:5BB, 2HR in 7.1IP.

But look specifically at Oakland, and they're responsible for a decent chunk of Harrell's problems. It started in G6 at home: 4.1IP, 7H/8ER, 2K:5BB, 3HR.
In G49 Harrell lasted 1.2IP, allowing 6H/6ER, 1K:3BB.
There were back-to-back relief stints in G119/120 where he held the A's to 2H/0ER, 1K:1BB in 4.1IP.
And then yesterday, when Harrell allowed 7H/7ER, 2K:2BB in 3IP.

So in five games total against the As, Harrell has thrown 13.1IP, 22H/21ER, 6K:11B, 4HR for a 14.18 ERA/2.48 WHIP. And to narrow that down to the three starts, it's 9IP, 20H/21ER, 5K:10BB.

And before you go saying "Well, it's just Oakland. They're good" (you'd be right), but keep in mind that, against Texas, he has a 10.05 ERA/2.23 WHIP in four appearances. Detroit? Two starts, 12.54 ERA/2.57 WHIP; St. Louis? Two appearances, 12.79 ERA/2.68 WHIP.

I don't know what you take from this. But it's clear that good teams who see Harrell more than once can take advantage of it.

PreStros Playoff Report: September 8

Short Version:
OKC lost, 3-0, by Omaha in divisional round
Corpus lost, 3-2, by San Antonio in divisional round
Lancaster tied, 1-1, with Inland Empire
Quad Cities tied, 1-1, with Beloit
Tri-City will begin NYPL Championship series Tuesday
Greeneville lost, 2-0, by Pulaski in championship round

Corpus

In the fifth and deciding game of the series with San Antonio, the Hooks never led. San Antonio got three runs off David Rollins in the top of the 1st and tacked on one more in the top of the 2nd to provide the runs they needed in a 4-3 win. Sloppy defense (three errors, three unearned runs) contributed to the loss. Rollins threw 3IP, 5H/4R (1ER), 2K:0BB, 2WP; Carlos Quevedo allowed 1H/0ER, 2K:0BB in 4IP of relief; Edgar Gonzalez - fresh off the 60-day DL - threw 1IP, 2H/1ER, HBP and Alex Sogard walked one int he 9th. 

Domingo Santana was 3x4 with a double and an outfield assist; Matt Duffy was 2x3. Ronny Torreyes was 1x5 with 2RBI; Drew Muren was 1x3 with a walk. 

Man of the Match: Domingo Santana

Series: San Antonio wins, 3-2
Next Up: 2014

Lancaster

Up 1-0 headed into the third, Inland Empire tacked on four more runs in the top half, only to see Lancaster score four in the bottom of the 3rd. But runs in the 5th and 9th gave Inland Empire a 7-4 win to tie the Best-of-Five series at one game a piece. Colton Cain threw 2.2IP, 5H/5R (4ER), 1K:1BB, 2HR; Mike Hauschild came in for 3.1IP and gave up 2H/1ER. Gera Sanchez threw a perfect 7th inning, and Blair Walters, Jordan Jankowski (ER), and Kenny Long got two outs each.

Nolan Fontana was 2x5 with a triple and 3RBI; MP Cokinos was 2x4. Joe Sclafani (BB) and Chris Epps (3B, 2BB) added your other hits. 

Man of the Match: Nolan Fontana

Series: Tied, 1-1
Next Up: At Inland Empire, Monday at 9:05pm Central

Quad Cities

Beloit got three runs in the bottom of the first and rode it out for a 4-3 series-tying win to force a deciding Game 3. Zach Morton gave up 6H/4ER, 1K:2BB in 1.2IP; Jamaine Cotton threw 3.1IP of no-hit, scoreless relief (4K:1BB); J.D. Osborne allowed a hit and a walk in 2IP and Pat Christensen allowed a hit in 1IP. The Bullpen combined for 6.1IP, 2H/0ER, 6K:2BB.

Tony Kemp (BB, RBI), Jordan Scott (OF assist), and Brian Blasik (RBI) had two hits each; Carlos Correa was 1x3 with two walks, and Teoscar Hernandez was 1x5 with an RBI. The River Bandits left ten men on base and were 3x16 w/RISP.

Man of the Match: Bullpen

Series: Tied 1-1
Next Up: At Beloit, Monday at 6:30pm Central

Tri-City

Will begin NYPL Championship series (Best-of-Three) at home against State College on Tuesday. 

Sunday, September 8, 2013

From the Office of the County Clerk - G143: Astros @ Athletics

Lucas Harrell (6-15, 5.69) vs Bartolo Colon (14-6, 2.90)

Bad news: Paul Clemens was a late scratch due to a blister, so Lucas Harrell got the start today. Good news: No more games against Oakland this season! The results were predictably bad, but at least they're done with the A's until 2014 - Astros lose 7-2, and head north to Seattle for their final West Coast series of the season at 47-96 overall.

On the Mound:

*Once upon a time, I really liked Lucas Harrell, and he looked like a genius waiver claim. Those days are long gone now, and now he's pitching like you'd expect a waiver claim to pitch. A 7-run 3rd was far more than the Astros could overcome today, and all seven runs were earned with two outs. Line: 3 IP / 7 H / 7 R / 7 ER / 2 BB / 2 K.

*Erik Bedard, on the other hand, pitched like a guy who should have been granted the spot start - only 2 H and 2 BB allowed over 4 IP scoreless.

*Jorge De Leon allowed 2 H and got a K in his one scoreless inning.

At the Plate:

*The Astros actually jumped out to a very quick lead in this one, when Jonathan Villar (1 for 5, 2 K) led off the game with a single...

*...then Jose Altuve (1 for 4, K) followed immediately with a RBI double.

*L.J. Hoes had a fine day, going 2 for 2 with 2 BB, a run scored, and two fine plays in RF.

*Brandon Barnes got the other RBI on a single in the 7th, going 1 for 4 with a K.

*Trevor Crowe was 1 for 4 with a 2B, a SB, and 2 K.

*Marc Krauss (1 for 3, K) and Matt Pagnozzi (1 for 4) also had hits.

*It's worth noting that Bo Porter was ejected for the second time this series, evidently due to arguing after umpire Hunter Wendelstedt broke up a mound conference in the bottom of the 5th.

Turning Point:

Oakland alternated singles and lineouts to start the bottom of the 3rd, putting two on with two out, then Harrell's train jumped the tracks. A double-single-walk-single-homer later, and his 1-0 lead became a 7-1 grave the Astros could not climb out of.

Man of the Match:

Erik Bedard. He showed some ability out of the pen early in the season, and he showed that again today.

Goat of the Game:

Bozo the Clown Lucas Harrell. Extending his MLB-leading loss total to 16.

Four more call-ups

The Astros have called up four players from Oklahoma City:

Brandon Laird and Jimmy Paredes and pitchers Rhiner Cruz and David Martinez.

There's really nothing to say here, so /scene

PreStros Playoff Report: September 7

Corpus

Needing a win to extend their season to a Game 5, Corpus and San Antonio both rapped out five hits, and in the top of the 9th Michael Burgess hit a pinch-hit single to score Ryan McCurdy for the only run of the game in a 1-0 Corpus win. Ruben Alaniz threw 7IP, 3H/0ER, 6K:1BB; Edgar Gonzalez struck out the side in the 8th, and Alex Sogard got the save.

Jonathan Meyer had a double, and Leo Heras, Erik Castro, Matt Duffy had your other hits. Domingo Santana, Carlos Corporan, Drew Muren and Ryan McCurdy drew walks.

Man of the Match: Ruben Alaniz

Series: Tied 2-2 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: At home, Sunday at 6:05pm Central.

Lancaster

Lancaster never trailed in this one, getting a dominating performance from Brady Rodgers in a 4-1 series-opening win against Inland Empire. Brady Rodgers threw 7.1IP, allowing 4H/1ER, striking out 11 with no walks along the way. Kenny Long (1K:1BB) and Travis Ballew (1K:2BB) didn't allow a hit in the final 1.2IP.

MP Cokinos was 2x4 with a double and an RBI; Nolan Fontana had a hit and a walk; Brandon Meredith was 1x3 with a double and 2RBI.

Man of the Match: Brady Rodgers

Series: Lancaster up 1-0 (Best-of-Five)
Next Up: At home, Sunday at 7pm Central.

Quad Cities

The River Bandits put up one in the 1st and 3rd, which was all they needed in a 3-1 win over Beloit. Josh Hader allowed just 3H/1ER, 1K:1BB in 7IP, and Mitchell Lambson and Andrew Walter took care of the rest.

Tony Kemp (SB) and Carlos Correa (2RBI) had two hits each. Jordan Scott provided an RBI double.

Man of the Match: Josh Hader and his defense

Series: Quad Cities up 1-0 (Best-of-Three)
Next Up: At Beloit, Sunday at 6:30pm Central

Tri-City

Another pitcher's duel between Aberdeen and Tri-City, this time with the game remaining scoreless until the bottom of the 7th, when a series of hits plated two, and another run in the 8th gave the ValleyCats a 3-0 win, and a berth in the NYPL Championship series. Kyle Westwood threw 7IP, 5H/0ER, 3K:1BB; Gonzalo Sanudo struck out two more batters in two perfect innings.

Ryan Dineen was 2x3 with a double; Tyler White (RBI), Conrad Gregor, Ronnie Mitchell (2B), Jon Kemmer (2B, RBI), Jake Rodriguez and Chan Moon (RBI) had your other hits.

Man of the Match: Kyle Westwood

Series: Tri-City wins 2-0
Next Up: NYPL Championship, TBD