Showing posts with label Erik Kratz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Erik Kratz. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Wednesday Morning Hot Links

Unsurprisingly, we curb stomped the White Sox again, this time 5-1. Verlander took a no-hitter into the 6th. It was dominant. Notes:

Gurriel: 2-4, Solo HR
Brantley: 1-4, 2 RBIs
Diaz: 2-4
Verlander: 8 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 12 K

Full Box:

Actually, everyone in the Astros organization brought home a win last night.

MLB.com ranked the top 7 most important unsung heroes for the Astros so far this season.

As you can see from above, Aledmys Diaz is back. Altuve is not, but he is being "encouraged" to do "more and more activities" so whatever that means.

Collin McHugh landed on the IL yesterday and Cionel Perez Brady Rodgers got the call. Here's a couple potential reasons why.

Is Madison Bumgarner seriously an option for the Astros at the deadline?

Check out these baby pictures of the 2019 Astros!

Seth Beer made his AA debut with the Hooks. See how he did along with some other familiar faces.

Roger Clemens son Kory was hit with a DWI.

Erik Kratz got traded to the Rays, which means he is playing with probably his 37th unique MLB team.

Plano, Texas is making dog-friendly movie theaters. These are the headlines I like to see.

On This Day in Baseball History

In 1999, Mark McGwire became the 3rd player to ever hit a ball out of Dodger stadium. It traveled an estimated 483 feet.

In 2006, Jake Peavy fanned a Padres franchise record 16 batters in a 3-1 loss to Atlanta.

In 2009, Michael Cuddyer completed the cycle with a broken bat triple.


Monday, March 25, 2019

Monday Morning Hot Links

I hope everyone enjoyed their March Madness weekend as much as I did. Purdue is in the Sweet 16. Life is good.

Oh yeah, and baseball is on in three days. No big deal.

Astros played their last Spring Training game in Florida yesterday. Notes:

Marisnick: 2/4, Solo HR
Toro: 1/1, 2 RBIs
Tanielu: 2/4, 2 R
Stassi: 2/3, RBI
Cole: 5.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO

And the rest of the numbers...

Chandler Rome wraps up his final thoughts on the 2019 Opening Day roster.

Verlander believes his new deal is part of the new wave of baseball contracts, for the better.

Josh Reddick hurt his back putting on his sock, which is sadly pretty relatable.

The first MLB Power Ranking dropped, and the Astros are pretty high up there.

New Lima Time Time Podcast released a couple of days ago, so go listen to that.

Houston Astros Legend Erik Kratz just joined his 8th different baseball team in 9 years.

A 15 year old lacrosse player can't play lacrosse because his skull is too massive for the helmet. Poor guy.

This koala wouldn't get out of this air conditioned car because it was so hot outside.


Friday, October 19, 2018

Friday Morning Hot Links

Well friends, it was a good effort. We did what we could, but unfortunate events, bad misplays, and poor health ended our season quicker than what we wanted it to. I'm not going to go over the game in detail. There just wasn't a lot that stood out besides the Marwin home run and I don't really want to relive it, so I will turn it over to Tags' recap here.

Before I get started on any Hot Links, I would like to talk what a fun thing I'm adding during Offseason Hot Links. Since the amount of links has a good chance of decreasing since, you know, the Astros won't be playing anytime soon, I am planning on creating online Astros-related quizzes to attach at the end of the Hot Links. There will be no prize, because you could easily just Google the answers. I highly suggest that you don't do that though, because it kind of takes the fun out of the whole thing and c'mon nobody is really going to remember you "the guy who knows everything about the Astros because of his Astros quiz scores" This might decrease the amount of actual links posted on Fridays since I will have to make them from scratch, but it brings more interactivity to the daily posts. Anyways I have a few ideas lined up, so stay tuned for those starting next Friday.

~Now Back To Your Regularly Scheduled Programming~

Was the Justin Verlander trade the best deadline deal in baseball history? Michael Baumann has the answer.

Sure we lost in the ALCS, but it gave us this cool stat.

Remember when Erik Kratz tripped in our 2016 intros? That was on purpose.

2018 playoff games are running long. Is that a problem? Can we fix it?

The Astros were cleared from their sign-stealing allegations and other teams are not happy about the ruling.

No matter how good your team is, you still need at least a little luck on your side.

The fans who tried to catch Altuve's Home Run Ball That Wasn't open up about what they experienced.

There is a report that Lance McCullers was pitching through a torn UCL. LMJ would not comment on the report. Potentially no Keuchel, Morton, and LMJ heading into 2019. We'll see.

Let's start looking at some thoughts about upcoming free agents:

Marwin Gonzalez: I Hot Link'd this video a couple weeks ago and it seems as if Marwin is seen as part of the "core" of Astros, so there is a better chance than not of him returning to Houston. (pls)

Dallas Keuchel: Likely gone. He's going to get paid big money by somebody this free agent season (like the Yankees, probably). He has the 2nd highest 2018 WAR for a free agent pitcher going into this offseason.

Charlie Morton: likely the biggest question mark of them all.

Maldonado and Gattis are both free agents. Which one do we bring back? Or is this Realmuto trade still a thing?

Tony Sipp: Believe it or not, Tony posted a decent 0.9 WAR, but it's good enough for the 7th highest available relief pitcher on the market.

We Might Finally Know What Smacked Uranus Sideways (welcome back, funny headlines. I missed you.)

This is like the third drunk bird story I've shared, but dangit it's just so funny every time.

On This Day in Baseball History

In 1972, the A's beat the Reds 3-2 in Game 4 of the World Series thanks to four 9th inning singles, three of which were hit by pinch hitters.

In 1981, the Expos were eliminated and were never in the playoffs again after Rick Monday hit a 2-out 9th inning home run to move the Dodgers to the World Series.

In 1999, Andruw Jones won the Braves a pennant by taking ball four with the bases loaded in the 11th inning.

In 2004, Alex Rodriguez was called out for interference after swatting the ball out of Bronson Arroyo's glove. The Red Sox went on to force a Game 7 after winning this game, the first team to ever do so after going down in the series 0-3.

In 2005, the Houston Astros decided they wanted to go play in their first ever World Series.

In 2008, the Rays went on to play in their first ever World Series after defeating the Red Sox 3-1, the first time in franchise history.





Monday, November 13, 2017

Monday Morning Hot Links

*Random 2017 Astros fact:

The Astros were 7-27 (.206) when scoring 0-2 runs. The rest of the American League was a combined 68-573 (.106) when scoring 0-2 runs in a game.

*The GM Meetings start today in Orlando.

*Spring Training tickets go on sale today. The Astros' first game is February 23, 102 days and a lot of winter from today

*Craig Bjornson, the Astros' bullpen coach since 2014, was apparently not going to return to the team in 2018 and has been hired in the same role for Alex Cora and the Red Sox. Bullpen catcher Carlos Munoz will not return, either. So that's a bullpen coach, bullpen catcher, and an assistant hitting coach that Hinch needs to replace.

*Mike Petriello breaks down this offseason's free agent class based on Statcast metrics.

*Hey Erik Kratz is a free agent...

*Beaumont native Jay Bruce would like to play for the Rangers or Astros, but would also like to play for a contender, so I guess that leaves...

Monday, May 23, 2016

Monday Morning Hot Links

*The Masked Marvel has the recap of yesterday's season-ending loss to the Rangers, if you're into bondage and pain and whatnot.

*The Astros are off today. It is the 5th off-day in a row for the offense.

*Seven of the nine Rangers runs yesterday were scored with two outs.

*A.J. Hinch knows what's up when it comes to the Rangers:
They've just beat the hell out of us. They've come into our ballpark, at their ballpark, and they've just beat us. It doesn't mean it has to stay that way. We have a lot of games against these guys, but yeah, I'm tired of getting beat by them...We have to find a new approach against them.

*Angel Verdejo says elite opposing pitchers have given the Astros fits over the last four games. And I'll give you Chris Sale and Cole Hamels as tough opponents. But Colby Lewis? Cesar Ramos? Give me a f break. Hinch:
We've got to toughen up a little bit about those circumstances, whether it's a tough call or a line drive out. They give us 27 outs - we have to maximize them and overcome some of the negative vibe that can be created by being held scoreless and also not getting enough hits. 

So Hinch is noting "toughening up" and a "negative vibe" and this is what his role should be - keeping the team from pouting their way through a disappointing season.

*Dallas Keuchel was able to trot out the same postgame comments for the 10th time this season:
Ball is up, in hitter's counts. They've done a good job of taking advantage of the mistakes pitchers throw...I was the one that gave it up, so it's very frustrating...If I show up on a few pitches here and there, it's a totally different ballgame. It just seems like that's the way it's going right now.

*A.J. Reed, who has been on the DL with a strained hamstring, returned to Fresno's lineup yesterday. Really looking forward to the Astros calling him up and then sitting him on the bench in favor of Luis Valbuena or Tyler White.

*Brian Smith says Hinch will need to use his Stanford psych degree more this year than he did last year. Hinch:
I show up every day thinking today's the day that things are going to be good.

NOT TODAY, BOB!

*Erik Kratz was unconditionally released.

*I'm impressed that the Fort Worth Star-Telegram's Stefan Stevenson was able to write this piece will simultaneously tweaking his own nipples in glee.

*Oh cool, Yu Darvish is coming back on Saturday against Pittsburgh.

*It is 2016. You can order a pizza with a tweet. You can FaceTime with anyone around the world...from your watch. How it takes over a week to hold a hearing for an eight-game suspension appeal is absolutely beyond me. Furthermore, the decision on the appeal could take up to two days.

*Craig Kimbrel acknowledged to Nick Cafardo that there are some pretty significant differences between pitching in the American League as opposed to the National League. So just keep that in mind as you self-flagellate over Vince Velasquez and Ken Giles (...he said to himself)

*This pretty much says what you need to hear (and this was *before* yesterday's 11K game vs Hamels):

Monday, May 16, 2016

Monday Morning Hot Links

*Well the Astros are really Astrosing this season up right nice. Yet another dumb loss to the Red Sox, turning what should have been taking 3 of 4 at Fenway into dropping 3 of 4. 2016: The Season of Missed Opportunities.

*Eight of the Astros' 14 road losses have come by a margin of one or two runs. They also have four losses in games in which they were leading in the beginning of the 7th inning.

*Mookie Betts admitted that the Boston wind and periodic bouts of sunlight made things harder.
It was tough, man. The wind blowing, that made it pretty tough. But then you have the sun there, it made it that much more tough. The ball goes in the sun, but where you think it's going to come out, it comes out somewhere different.

*Carlos Gomez managed to wring sympathy out of my slowly-dying hands with his postgame quotes regarding Ryan Hanigan's 7th inning fly ball that Gomez called for, and then watched drop:
I called it and I didn't catch it. That's it. It's my fault. We lost the game because of me today. 

Feldman:
It's just been a tough stretch. I think that everybody's going to stay positive and upbeat, but it gets to the point where talking about it gets old and we actually have to go out there and start winning some series. 

*McTaggart got video of Devenski, Feldman, and Gomez reacting to the second consecutive crushing loss at Fenway.

*Amazing what a stupid 10-9 loss will do to your "plans." Before the game, Hinch told McTaggart that he was just monitoring Fresno for possible moves, but nothing was imminent. But that doesn't mean the Astros aren't making changes! Erik Kratz is gone and Gattis is on his way back from Corpus to likely serve as DH/C2. Preston Tucker has been optioned to Triple-A Fresno and a corresponding move will be made today. Could that be Tony Kemp's music? Hinch:
Kemp gets on base. He's a tough out. He keeps the ball on the line quite a bit. He's quick. He's just versatile enough...He didn't have a great camp for us but he's had a successful track record in the minor leagues. So we'll see if he becomes a factor moving forward. 

Kemp was 1x4 with a walk yesterday at Nashville (Kemp's hometown). In 34 games for Fresno, the 24-year old Kemp is hitting .298/.410/.405 with 22K:21BB in 121 ABs.

*But hey, 5RBI from Valbuena?

*Peter Gammons continued his Hawt Takez on the Astros after yesterday's debacle (tweets combined): The Astros were two breaks from winning 3 of 4 to a team constructed for a tough park to visit. Man, they play hard, man, they have 3 great players, they have the right manager, the techs upstairs need to respect pitching. Since Bobby Heck left, they haven't drafted P.

All in favor of referring to the front office as The Techs Upstairs say "Aye."

*The rotation continues to be sort of a mess. Because Fiers threw yesterday, McHugh will get the start on Thursday, Devenski on Friday, and Fiers on Saturday.

*Brian T. Smith decided to play the quotes by the book and wrote up a profile on appreciating Jose Altuve.

*Well and of course Evan Grant is tweaking his nipples after the Odor/Bautista brawl yesterday. (My takes: (a) Toronto/Texas is a fun rivalry. (B) I will hate Odor unless he becomes an Astro, then I will love him. (C) Odor's right hook was gorgeous. (D) Screw the Rangers.)

*Dan Haren talked about his decision to retire.

*Let's close out with a couple of screencaps of Rougned Odor sliding hard into 2B with no object other than to take out the second baseman:



Thursday, May 12, 2016

Thursday Morning Hot Links

*The Batguy has the recap of the longest regular season game in Astros history.

*The Astros left eight men on base in the first three innings, left 17 on total, went 2x15 w/RISP, didn't get a hit for eight innings, and still ended up with a win. Correa:
Everybody was trying to hit a homer at some point. It was the 10th inning, everybody was trying to hit a homer to finish the game. 

*McTaggart: The Astros' 12 walks are the most since they drew 14 against Milwaukee in 2000.

*Michael Feliz, who got his first MLB win yesterday, is growing up right in front of A.J. Hinch:
We watched him grow up in front of our eyes today a little bit more and a little bit more. It's real stuff coming out of his hand now. There's no tentative approach to him. It's 96 to 98mph. He's rearing back and blowing it by a very contact-driven lineup, so I love seeing that.

*Via Baseball Savant, Erik Kratz has swung and missed at 42% of the pitches he's seen - tied for 3rd-highest in baseball. At 38.55%, Carlos Gomez has the 9th-highest swing-and-miss rate.

*With McCullers coming back tomorrow night, the Astros are kinda-sorta going with a 6-Man rotation for the next couple of weeks. Fiers will be available out of the bullpen for the weekend. Hinch:
Nobody's out of the rotation. We're going to have everybody available. We need a little bit more information on a couple different fronts, most notably Lance. For him to take over a rotation spot, I want to be a little bit more convinced that he's able to handle the workload with the recovery and with pitching every five days.

*Hold the Call A Mup phone: A.J. Reed is on the DL with a strained hamstring.

*Read the story behind one of the most iconic sports photographs ever taken (which was taken at The Astrodome)

*We recorded a bonus episode of Lima Time Time last night.

*Former Astro Brandon Laird won $10,000 and a year's supply of beer.

*A new documentary highlights the improbability of Joe DiMaggio's 56-game hitting streak.

Before You Go: Watch Derek Fisher hustle for an inside-the-park home run

Saturday, May 7, 2016

Gattis to AA, Sipp back from dad-leave

The Astros announced that Evan Gattis will head to AA to work on his catching, and Tony Sipp will return to the Astros lineup tomorrow.  Sipp's partner had a daughter, Zoe, who is already working on a grip for her splitter.  Congratulations to the Sipp family from the Astros County team.

Couple of bits and pieces here.  Firstly, this may be the death of the Evan-Gattis-is-a-full-time-DH idea.  Gattis now has 64 at-bats (67 plate appearances) in 2016, and is hitting .203/.257/.313 with one home run.  He hasn't progressed as the Astros would have wanted when they traded for him: as a DH, he has a .243/.281/.440 record in nearly 650 plate appearances.  In a team trying to contend, and playing a DH in 142 games of the year, that isn't good.  About 65 plate appearances seems like a reasonable time to start making decisions about playing time.

Secondly, it is probable that the Astros want Gattis to back up Castro as the primary backup catcher.  Normally, teams carry a defensive specialist as a backup, but it is possible that the Astros think that Gattis can spell Castro one-game-in-five, allowing him to rest.  This means that the Astros could only carry two catchers - both of whom can pinch hit - and this would allow them to carry a more flexible bench as well as 13 pitchers.

That would bump Erik Kratz off the roster.  In addition, Max Stassi has also just started a rehab assignment.  But the Astros brass seem to have soured on him over the last few years, and wrist injuries often take a while to heal, so Stassi may not get another look within the next six weeks.  Perhaps Gattis gets a month in the backup role before the Astros have to make a decision about Stassi's return.

Finally, the Astros could have paid the price tonight for only having two LHP's on the 40-man.  One lefty, of course, is Dallas Keuchel.  The other is Tony Sipp.  The Mariners lineup leans heavily left - only Cruz and Iannetta are righties, and Marte is a switch-hitter out of the starters tonight.  Thank goodness for Will Harris and his ability to throw his fastball inside to lefties - he shut the Mariners down in the eighth tonight.  So Sipp's arrival back for the last two games of the series is very, very timely.  Thank goodness for the safe arrival of a reportedly healthy daughter.

I feel that there is a roster-purge coming at some stage.  Guys like Tucker, Gattis, Kratz and Valbuena may find that the Astros wish to pursue other options for their positions.  Gómez may lose playing time if Tucker or Marisnick were to heat up.  Gattis' demotion may be the first signal that such a plan is being plotted out.  My guess is that any major re-structures will take place over the next 2-6 weeks, with the arrival of guys like A.J. Reed most likely waiting until after the super-two deadline.

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Wednesday Morning Hot Links

*Read the Masked Marvel's recap of last night's horror show.

*I wrote yesterday about how the Astros have struggled in close games on the road. Thankfully the Astros just decided to get blown out last night so I didn't have to update any numbers.

*Jose Altuve still isn't worried:
I think every team is going to go through this, what's happening to us right now, but we're going to be good. I'm confident in the team we have. We're going to start swinging the bat and doing everything we normally do and be one of the best teams in the big leagues.

Keuchel:
Just can't do anything right. That's just the way it's going. It seems like I made a few pitches, a bloop single. When it's going right, it's not going right. 

If that isn't a recap of the first 21 games, I don't know what is.

*The Mariners had a pretty clear game plan for the formerly-5.28-ERA-saddled starting pitcher Nate Karns:
I was just tired of not doing what I was capable of doing. I wanted a good performance. Mel (Stottlemyre) did a great job with the scouting report and made it crystal clear for me. I took great notes watching Taijuan Walker doing his thing yesterday and stuck with our scouting report and tried to expose their weaknesses.

So my scouting report would look something like this:
They have trouble hitting the ball. If they get runners on, don't worry, they'll leave them there. The Astros are going to do one thing something so incredibly stupid that you would have to rupture a tendon fist-pumping in order to get pulled from this game. Just throw it somewhere near the plate, they'll swing. Or don't, they'll swing at that, too. But Colby Rasmus will destroy you. 

*Hinch, on Karns:
Well we couldn't solve Karns' breaking ball. We knew going in he was going to be predominantly breaking ball first with a high fastball and occasional change. So the game plan we thought he was going to go against us, he did. We didn't make an adjustment against his breaking ball, and he had a good one.

*Hinch says that Carlos Gomez is coming around:
He's been in the at-bats on time a little bit with more...release of the barrel. He's hitting the ball on the line quite a bit, just near misses on some home runs. It would be nice to get him heated up. 

Gomez did have two decent ABs last night - sending two early balls about 400 feet to the outfield, where they nestled calmly in the defenders' glove, like a baby owl returning home to its mama.

*Saturday's starter has shifted from Scott Feldman to Chris Devenski, in what - for now - is a one-time audition start:
(Devenski) pitches with a ton of confidence, and I'm looking forward to seeing him in a different role for the time being. It could be very temporary. As we know, in this game you never know.

That last sentence is nonsense. Devenski will start at Oakland. This may be Hinch blowing smoke up Feldman's tailpipe - remember the Gregerson/Giles Closer Anointing - to let him down easy, but Devenski should probably go ahead and just throw a no-hitter just to make sure.

*Nobody knows why Ken Giles is struggling in his young career with the Astros.
Giles: I don't have an answer as to why things aren't going my way.
Kratz: I really don't have an answer for you. He's not missing spots. He's healthy. The ball is coming out healthy.
Hinch: It's been something different every outing and there's not one theme that goes with the tough outings.

*Lance McCullers will throw in an extended spring training game today, and the Astros are hoping for three innings.

*Disregarding his last ten games, Forbes writes that Tyler White's emergence is not surprising.

*Two former Astros prospects are on this Baseball America list of players in line for quick promotions.

*Ben Badler writes about how teams can exploit (and easily corrupt) the new international bonus pool rules for July 2 signings.

*FanGraphs: What pitchers (and numbers) say about pitching in the cold.

*Parkour in Chernobyl: The Ultimate Adventure or a Journey Into Madness?

*Before You Go:

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

It seems as though Erikkratz fell down on purpose during the home opener, for some reason

For some reason this happened:




Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Tuesday Morning Hot Links

*Here's the Masked Marvel's recap of the G7 Beatdown of the Royals.

*Bagwell and Clemens threw out ceremonial first pitches to Correa and Keuchel.

*The Royals tipped their caps to the Astros

*It was early April at Minute Maid, but it felt like October, writes Jerome Solomon. (Alt link).

*Evan Gattis is heading to Houston, with Matt Duffy riding off to Fresno.

*Mike Fiers just needs to make better pitches, says Mike Fiers.

*Tyler White: AL Player of the Week

*Thanks to construction around Minute Maid Park, parking was upwards of $60 for last night's game.

*Lance McCullers threw 3IP for Corpus last night.

*Barry Bonds explains the fundamentals of hitting.

*Stephen King doesn't like the protective netting.

Friday, April 1, 2016

Astros Set Opening Day Roster

The Astros wrapped up an 18-11-2 Spring Training with a 4-2 win against the Brewers.  Tyler White hit a home run, Carlos Gómez doubled in two runs, and the Astros bullpen (with appearances from Will Harris, Luke Gregerson, James Hoyt and Josh Fields) was perfect in three-and-two-thirds, striking out 8 of the 11 batters they faced.

A trio of anticipated injury-related transactions were announced after the game.  Lance McCullers, Evan Gattis and Max Stassi were all transferred to the 15-day DL.  McCullers' and Gattis' stints were retroactive to March 25 (meaning they can be activated after the opening series against the Yankees), whereas Stassi's time on the DL was retroactive to March 29.  None of these three players is likely to be activated within the minimum timeframes.

The Astros have also officially cleared up their remaining roster battles over the last few days.  Right-handed corner-infielders Tyler White and Matt Duffy both claimed the last two position-player spots, and Michael Feliz beat out James Hoyt and Wandy for the final spot in the bullpen.  Tyler White needed to be added to the 40-man roster, which is now full, so no further moves are needed in the short term.

The Astros also announced their 25-man roster to start the season.  They have a fairly heavy early-season schedule, with only three April off-days after their opener at Yankee Stadium on Monday (followed by two off-days in May).  Despite this, they have opted to carry 12 pitchers and 13 position players - a reverse of what they did most of last season.  That allows for a four-man bench in AL ballparks.  So lets have a look at how it has all shaken down:

  • The nominal starting infield will consist of Jason Castro, Tyler White, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and Luis Valbuena (two LHH and three RHH)
  • The nominal starting outfield will consist of Carlos Gómez, flanked by George Springer and Colby Rasmus (one LHH, two RHH)
  • The DH situation is not entirely clear due to the absence of Evan Gattis
  • Three infield reserves made make the first road trip: Marwin Gonzalez, Matt Duffy and Erik Kratz (one switch-hitter, two RHH)
  • Two outfield reserves will also travel: Jake Marisnick and Preston Tucker (one LHH, one RHH).
  • As already reported by the Constable, the rotation will consist of Dallas Keuchel, Collin McHugh, Mike Fiers (who struck out seven and walked none earlier today), Scott Feldman and Doug Fister.
  • This leaves the following pitchers making up the bullpen: LHP Tony Sipp and RHP's Ken Giles, Luke Gregerson, Pat Neshek, Will Harris, Josh Fields and Michael Feliz.
Here is how I interpret these machinations:
  • Tyler White had an awesome spring, raking to the tune of .353/.443/.588.  In 60 plate appearances, he waked nine times, while being struck out ten times.  He may not walk more than he struck out in the Major Leagues (like he did in the minors), but he could get close.  He has earned a genuine chance at remaining with the team for the entire year.
  • Michael Feliz also had a great spring (1.72 ERA in 15+ frames, with 16 strikeouts) and his ability to throw multiple innings likely won him the final spot in the bullpen.  Another advantage to having Feliz in the major leagues for the first month or so is that he will probably throw fewer innings in the majors than he would starting in Fresno.  Feliz undoubtedly will be on some kind of soft innings-cap in 2016, which could preserve his ability to step into the rotation later in the year, depending on how the back-end of the rotation fares.
  • We still don't know how A.J. Hinch plans to use the 'pen, but I would not be surprised with a looser arrangement than most clubs would consider - although short of a "closer-by-committee" approach.  Gregerson has looked good in very limited action so far, and a lot of teams would be happy to have Will Harris or Josh Fields taking a late-inning role in the 'pen.  Ken Giles, of course, has scuffled, but let's hope that doesn't continue too much longer.
  • The Astros could field an all-righty batting lineup against opposing lefty starters.  Left-handed starters had much better luck against the Astros last year than righties (.737 OPS in 61 games versus .761 OPS).  Imagine a lineup of Kratz catching, White at DH, Duffy and MarGo on the infield corners, and Marisnick patrolling left field.  That would leave an all left-handed bench (Rasmus, Tucker, Valbuena and Castro) which may leave them exposed to late-game match-up, however, but a batting order of Altuve-Gómez-Springer-Correa-White-Duffy-Gonzalez-Kratz-Marisnick could be a quietly effective mix of contact and OBP skills, speed and power.
  • The Astros may go with an early-season platoon at DH, with Matt Duffy and Preston Tucker splitting duties (although I discuss Preston Tucker and his platoon-ability in this article).  Marwin is also a candidate for an early DH start or two, or perhaps he could be used to push Valbuena into a DH platoon with Duffy by getting a start at third base.  This is, of course, assuming that Tyler White starts at first base.
  • The narrative around this offence is very different to the narrative around the 2015 offence.  Everyone kind of knew the Astros in 2015 would be mercurial - they had power all through the order, but were also going to strike out a lot.  This lineup still has power and strikeouts, but not absolutely everywhere.  The additions of White and Duffy, plus improvements from Springer in the contact department, should at least not allow opposing power strikeout starters to scythe through the Astros' order the first couple of times through.

In terms of the return of the injured players, I would think the following is worth mentioning:
  • McCullers probably won't be ready until early May, which I think would please the Astros.  His innings will be monitored carefully this year, which will probably be the riskiest of his early-career (as the year following the season where he suddenly increased his workload).  By then, Fister may have proven his ineffectiveness or Feldman may be injured, both of which occurred by early May in 2015.
  • Who Gattis steps in for is not totally clear.  If Tyler White struggles, I could see him get 20-or-so days in Fresno, partly as a way of delaying his free-agency by a year.  Otherwise, Jake Marisnick may be a luxury as a defensively orientated outfield reserve on a team that boasts three players capable of playing a passable CF, or Matt Duffy's presence may not be needed if Luis Valbeuna and MarGo start the season strongly.
  • Max Stassi will probably get as much time as he needs to recover from his wrist, then potentially an extended rehab stint in Fresno or Corpus while the Astros evaluate what they have in Erik Kratz.
In addition to this, it is worth noting that strong Spring Training performances were observed by A.J. Reed (.311/.333/.600 in 47 PA's), Colin Moran (.349/.417/.628 in 47 PA's) and Danny Worth (.326/.408/.581 in 48 PA's), which seems to bode well for the overall infield depth.  The notable spring flop was Jon Singleton (.151/.196/.358 in 56 PA's).  

So it is poised to be an exciting season.  This seems to me like the first Astros team actually burdened with expectations for the first time in a decade, and it will be interesting to see how that is handled.  We will be providing game recaps and other posts throughout the season.  I would expect that the above roster will remain in place for most of April, with perhaps the return of Evan Gattis the only event likely to shake it up.  

Please feel free to add your comments, predictions or feedback below.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Astros trade for a backup-backup catcher

We interrupt the regular schedule of Hot Links and "whatever the heck happened to Jon Singleton?" articles at Astros County to announce a trade for a backup catcher.  To be fair to the Astros, they didn't just trade for a backup catcher, they traded for a backup-backup catcher.  Erik Kratz was projected to be the fourth or fifth catcher on the Padres' depth-chart exiting Spring Training (behind Derek Norris, Christian Betancourt, Austin Hedges and perhaps Rocky Gale), so it isn't like the Astros were forced to give up a kings' ransom in making this acquisition.

What the Astros did lose, however, is possibly-useful out-of-options pitcher Dan Straily.  Straily came to the Astros with Luis Valbuena in the Dexter Fowler trade prior to last season.  He spent most of his time in AAA Fresno, where he started 22 games, yielding a 4.77 ERA and allowing a WHIP of 1.402.  If those results look to you like they were unlikely to precede Major League success last year, then you would be correct - Straily made 4 appearances (3 starts) for Houston, pitching 16.2 innings and allowing 10 earned runs for an ERA of 5.40.

This Spring Training for Straily was always shaping up to be an important one.  He was out of options, so he needed to either make the major-league club, or would be (at best) exposed to waivers or (to worst) granted an outright release.  His spring started horribly - he gave up two runs in one inning against the St Louis Cyberhackers, then three runs in two innings against the Braves.  The Tigers touched him up for two more runs in three frames in mid-March, then the Nationals logged the fourth consecutive scored-upon appearance for him this Spring by pounding out a solitary run on four hits in two frames.  All of these appearances happened in relief.

Straily left a strong impression in his last Astros appearance, starting against the Braves in a split squad game.  He threw four strong innings, striking out four, and allowing one walk and one hit.  He needed only 44 pitches to fly through four frames.  It wasn't a great Braves lineup - missing Freddie Freeman, and featuring the just-released Nick Swisher, ex-White Sox Tyler Flowers and Gordon Beckham, and perennial waiver-bait, Jeff Francoeur.  The game was forgettable aside from some amazing pictures of clouds (I love this link to the Daily Mail and their crazy headlines) - it was called during the seventh inning stretch because of rain / scary clouds, and a 1-1 tie ensued.

So, look, I doubt many people are going to beat up on the Astros for trading Dan Straily for whatever-they-can-get.  The chances are that, as a low velocity pitcher who has the tendency to either strike guys out or get hit hard, he won't return to his 2013 Oakland form (when he posted a 3.96 ERA in 152-plus innings).  As a fly-ball guy, a trade to the Padres seems like the best possible option, at least until you look at their outfield (albeit improved) defensive projections for the upcoming season. So lets have a quick look at Erik Kratz.

Kratz is a 35-year old backup catcher with a total of 560 major-league plate appearances in his career.  He didn't make his major-league debut until he was 30, which was when he was with the Pirates.  He initially started in the Blue Jays system at age 22,  and since then has bounced around to the Pirates, the Phillies, back to the Blue Jays, and off to the Royals.  If that wasn't enough, he changed hands five times last season: the Phillies, the Royals, the Mariners, then the Royals again, then the Phillies again.  The last two stops of 2015 resulted in 28 plate appearances over 16 games.

Kratz hasn't really hit in the majors - his career line is .218/.270/.397.  He has managed to hit at AAA, with a career line of .266/.343/.473 in 1829 plate appearances, which suggests a reasonable eye at the plate combined with a little bit of power.  He has been described as a good defensive catcher, but I am poorly placed to comment further on that.  He also has a reputation as a guy who can work with pitchers, which is logical, else he would be tending bar somewhere, instead of getting jobs with major-league baseball organisations.  He is also on twitter (@ErikKratz31).

I wondered whether Kratz' splits would perhaps be beneficial to the Astros.  Remember that Jason Castro bats lefty, and perhaps Kratz' overall numbers would be held down by his performances against fellow-northsiders, which may allow the Astros to run him and Castro in a straight platoon for a month or so.  Nope - if anything, Kratz has reverse splits going on (although that is hard to gauge because of a lack of minor-league data, and because he seems to have had a rip at switch-hitting at times during his career): versus LHP (batting as a right-handed hitter) he has a career triple-slash of .188/.247/.369, and versus RHP (batting as a right-handed hitter), his career triple-slash soars all the way to .232/.280/.410.

This article has gotten waaaaay too long for a trade of this magnitude.  It can be summed up fairly simply in a couple of sentences, which I probably should have done 2000 words ago.  The Astros traded away an out-of-options starting pitcher with a patchy track record of effectiveness, accepting the low chance that he turns his solid strikeout abilities into effective major-league production (and thereby getting hosed in the trade).  There was a good chance that Straily would have been exposed to waivers in the next few days regardless, so that may have factored into this decision.  In return, they got a 40-man roster slot (which they filled with Kratz) and a replaceable backup catcher who was struggling to make a dent in the Padres' depth charts.  The Astros perhaps also avoided making a huge trade for a Jonathan Lucroy or a similar starting-grade catcher, which would have involved much more than Dan Straily, and would have involved a lot more risk.  

Is this the right move??  Feel free to add your opinion in the comments, and thanks - as always - for reading.