Showing posts with label Rants. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rants. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Go to Hell, Anonymous Commenter

I never read the comments on any web site, my own included. Still, I couldn't help but notice that there are - at the moment - 24 comments on Jexas' heartfelt, wonderfully-written response to the Osuna trade. I was proud of her for writing it, even though I thought it might bring out a response which I would, invariably, try to avoid. But as I scrolled to gauge the general tenor of the comments one caught my eye. I have a screen-shot, just in case it gets deleted (not by me, nor by anyone else with administrative access to Astros County dot com), the comment is verbatim and is indicated with italics. (Note: I've only done this sort of exercise once before, in 2010).

Please note: I'm going to use Adult Words because the commenter is out of line and egregious. My wife - referenced later in the post - edited for vitriol. But I got the computer back...

This article is out of place and a short-sided emotional snap response. 

First of all, bitch, you're out of place. I can already tell where this is going, it's a simple place where you think you have the legitimacy to tell me what I can and can't have published on my own website. Also, it's "Short-sighted," not "short-sided," unless you somehow mean that the number of sides to this story are short. In that case, I would agree with you. The sides about which I care are Osuna's victim, Osuna, and the Houston Astros' front office.

Below is my attempt to provide the same type of feedback.

[Eyes roll completely out of my head]

- Your mom getting assaulted is anecdotal. 

Are you auditioning for a part on the popular hit drama Law & Order? This - this horrid web site - is not a courtroom. You don't get to object. To lead off your "critique" of someone's experience with domestic violence with an "Objection, your honor: hearsay!" is one of the most egregiously horrifying things I've seen #onhere. And I had Bud Norris apologists on here for a long time! You should be ashamed of yourself, because you're the actual hole of an ass. Not your own ass. Someone else's ass.

But let's take a moment to consider the feelings of someone who would actually spend what looks to be a decent amount of time in an effort to explain why SOMEONE WHO EXPERIENCED DOMESTIC VIOLENCE'S STORY is "anecdotal." That's what the Libs do, yeah? An anecdote is a "short and amusing story about a real person or incident." Were you amused by Jexas' post, you mouth-breathing chud? I experienced a very different range of emotions. To be fair: my wife saw Jexas' story before I did. My wife, with whom I celebrated my 15th anniversary last Wednesday, and who experienced first-hand as a teenager what it was like to be grabbed by the throat and thrown down the stairs and verbally abused by her previous boyfriend for 18 months. Years later, even when someone mentions her former boyfriend's name, I've seen her have a panic attack. It can be something else, too, that triggers a wave of anxiety - something in a movie that involves a similar circumstance. It's called a "trigger" for a reason, dumbass. Anything that involves a former trauma can bring something a victim has spent so long trying to process, or at least repress, to the forefront of their being. So yeah, trading for Osuna can trigger it. It's not a mental deficiency. It's not a weakness. So many fans use baseball as an escape. Well, this time, a baseball decision was the trigger. I, mercifully, have not experienced domestic violence first-hand. Clearly you haven't either, or you wouldn't have dismissed this as "anecdotal." Hillbilly.

- Your 30 years as an Astros fan were primarily under other ownership.

Is this an actual argument about fandom? Anyone who has been an Astros fan prior to the 2012 season was a fan under other ownership. What is the actual point of this? Oh, is this the "short-sided" bit, where you're responding to the post? Am I responding to the response of the post? Is this what "meta" means?

- The 100 loss seasons were the best because we saw the wave building.

Now it's starting to make sense...you think you're an OG Astros fan! As someone who has run a website chronicling the day-to-day aspects of the franchise for ten years come November, I can happily tell you that you're absolutely wrong: the 100-loss seasons were decidedly not the best. That's revisionist bullshit which, now that I think about it, is actually right up your alley.

- Your perceptions of Astros being "good guys" is off - baseball players seem like good guys because they have calm temperaments. They cheat on their wives as much as any other sport. "Honorable men" made me laugh.

What the hell is it about you chuds that can't separate "cheating" from "beating?" Now you think that all sins are equal in the eyes of God? This isn't long division, dipshit. Lots of men cheat on their spouses. Lots of men hit their spouses. Are they both worthy of scorn? SURE! I've never cheated on, nor laid an angry hand on, my wife. But one is a criminal offense, one is a moral offense.

- The "hope" they provided the city is specifically hope in winning more games or championships, nothing else. That hope just increased.

Who are you to decide what hope means? My hope, as an Astros fan, is to win all the World Series while at the same time managing to slander the Rangers and show the rest of the League how a winning team can be run. It's weird, later tonight I will finish Ben Reiter's "Astroball," in which the front office - led by Jeff Luhnow - tried so very hard to position themselves as guys who loved baseball, who turned Baseball on its head to provide my city a Winner as quickly as possible, yet also spent many pages trying to eschew the idea that they looked at transactions as simple mathematical equations and factor in humanity to a game played by humans. Trading for Osuna - an excellent reliever under team control through 2020 - was a mathematical baseball decision, and if you fault me for finding this A Bit Much, then go ahead. Piss off.

- Historically speaking, "innocent until proven guilty" is a more significant thing to protect than the perception to your kids that professionals live up to a higher ethical standard. Why don't you have a mature conversation with your family about the imperfection of people and the importance of having a system in place to appropriately deal with that? 

As a parent, I have a really hard time with this. I want my daughter to always strive for the higher ethical standard. If she does that, then she doesn't have to deal with innocence or guilt, amirite? But because your favorite team got a really good reliever under a depressed market - a market depressed by the accusation of assault - you're willing to shift the goal line? Maybe you have an ethical issue with which to deal.

- Furthermore, in today's social climate "innocent until proven guilty" is a more important cause to fight for than protecting domestic partners from abuse. The latter is trending positively and former eroding quickly. 

Wait wait wait wait wait. I'm comfortable with the State having the weight of proving your guilt over you proving your innocence to the State. I'm also very comfy with protecting domestic partners from abuse. Why is this a zero sum game? What "winner" would accommodate your likely cushy suburban lifestyle and insulate you from either option?

- Basing the confidence of your conviction off the suspension length is bunk. Commissioner penalties are all but random... BS argument - Forrest Whitley is a more sinister person than Chapman

HOW FU DUMB ARE YOU? There are levels of MLB punishment because the offenses you listed are punished under different policies. Robinson Cano tested positive for a masking agent for a performance-enhancing drug. Forrest Whitley tested positive TWICE for a stimulant. The fact that it was his second offense under the Joint Drug Prevention & Treatment Policy led to the longer suspension. Did you do any research before you decided to undertake this heroic task? God, I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

Furthermore, Robinson Cano is ineligible to participate in the postseason under the Joint Drug Prevention & Treatment Policy. Roberto Osuna is postseason-eligible because a postseason suspension was not collectively bargained in the negotiations under the Joint Domestic Violence, Sexual Assault and Child Abuse Policy. Is shooting horse jizz into your veins worse than beating your girlfriend/spouse? Try to keep up, simpleton. No, it's not. What Osuna did was worse, mainly because - stay with me - it was a crime. The punishments are different because different violations were committed. Robinson Cano injecting whale boners carries a different punishment than a different collectively-bargained policy.

Trying to say that Forrest Whitley is more "sinister" than Aroldis Chapman is a fallacy because the punishments come under two different systems of punishment, collectively-bargained by the MLBPA. Do you not know how slot bonuses work? Everything in baseball works within a precedent. The 1-2 pick in the draft is valued less than the 1-1 pick. A 30-game suspension for Aroldis Chapman means that what MLB investigators determined Osuna did was worse than what Chapman did. This isn't the NFL, sucknuts.

- You expressing interest for the female fans is crap. Violence against women has not been tolerated, it has been punished. 

Jexas - the author of the post - is female, for God's sake! So you, a dude (I guarantee you're a dude) are trying to tell a female that expressing interest for other female fans "is crap?" Such a dude move.

- Do you have a suggestion for a sentence that would allow you to consider him? Half a year unpaid for a snap response that left no long term physical damage we know of feels appropriate. Time served.

You chuds keep coming back to the "snap response" of domestic violence. Maybe it had happened before, maybe it hadn't. I'll stick with the side of history that gives weight to the one who was scared enough to call the police. Whatever happened with Osuna and his girlfriend that night was enough for her to call the cops, the cops to arrest him, and him to agree to a 75-game suspension without appealing the decision.

And "no long term physical damage?" that "we know of?" LOLOLOLOLOL, chud. I can understand that you, a guy (gotta be A Guy, likely with a small yet ineffectual reproductive organ) would think that there was no long-term damage (hyphenate it, idiot). And I can understand that you feel those involved need to check in with you on how *appropriate* it feels to you. Time served? What about the time his girlfriend will serve for the rest of her life, even if she decides to drop the charges and stay with him, wondering if he'll do it again? You want to put a number on that, or would you like Osuna's agent to check in with you and make sure it's acceptable? Or are you the sole arbiter in the world? Is that why you objected for hearsay earlier? Wow this is making way more sense now.

- Winning is more important in baseball than character. Ghandi never got an invite to spring training. "High character" guys put up better stats because work ethic translates over time and chemistry matters, that is the extent of it. 

First off, if "Gandhi" (spell his name correctly) wanted to hit a curve, he probably could.

Secondly: for you, this may be the case. And it makes me actually set aside my feelings of revulsion for your very existence in exchange for sadness that you actually want a place where you don't have to feel the humanity and morality of everyone involved. When the Astros play, I generally get pretty excited, but the Astros are still human beings, and humans do terrible things. And when they do a terrible thing, I'm going to comment on it via this God-forsaken medium.

This post is incongruent with the nature of the site and I hope you will consider taking it down. Baseball isn't an honorable cause but simply entertainment. Astroscounty is the same. You have had a platform for years to promote something other than cheeky entertainment and havent. Stay in your lane and dont propogate hate or hearsay.

First off, it's "propagate." And it might seem petty to point out your grammatical issues but I feel like it's important, as you seem like what a dumb person thinks a smart person sounds like. And, as the owner and operator of "the site" this post is decidedly not incongruent with the nature of "the site." The only thing getting taken down tonight is you, kumquat. When you're not willing to invoke honor because it's entertainment, you're already so far down the rabbit hole that you can't be recovered. I'm not comfortable with the idea that there are morality-free zones. If you are, then God help you.

Do not tell me to stay in my lane. "My lane" is "my website." I asked Jexas to write about the Astros long before the Osuna trade. Never once did I ask you to visit, nor will I encourage you to ever visit again. In fact, if I find out you're in "my lane" I will kindly - and with respect to your already-fragile feelings - beat the hell out of you. That's not a threat, that's a promise.

If you wanna take a stand because this issue matters to you, do something substantive. In the years since your traumatic experience I will posit that you have spent 10 hours on baseball for every 5 minutes you have spent doing anything to curb this issue (or any other one for that matter).

How do you know what Jexas has or hasn't done in regards to domestic violence? Do y'all hang out? Or are you talking to me, personally? Do you want to talk about the 24 hours straight that Pat McLellan, Tim DeBlock, and I spent broadcasting a silly feed in an effort to raise money to help the victims of Hurricane Harvey? Do you want to talk about how I left a career which was, admittedly, solely focused on myself and my ego in order to teach US History at a low-socioeconomic high school in which 71.9% of the student body is classified as "at-risk" and 71% are "economically disadvantaged?" Or do you want to spout some shit in the comment section under the cover of anonymity about how I do things around here and how Jexas - whom I trust - and has personal knowledge of a very specific situation which just so happens to apply to this very baseball situation, affects her on an emotional level? Pull up, then. I bet you want to talk about "the latter." Please do, anonymous horse's ass, let me know what is an acceptable issue for me, for Jexas, for any of us who write in this spot, is appropriate to discuss.

You do not have a platform to speak on this. This article doesn't make the cut. If you think it does,try submitting anywhere else and see if anyone is willing to publish it. 

Jexas absolutely has a platform to speak on "this," and that platform is Astros County dot com. Do not say it out loud. You're no longer allowed to have my website's name in your mouth. If by "this,"  and I'm assuming you mean "domestic violence," in the very heart of her post she already established her "domestic violence chops." This article makes the cut. She doesn't have to try and see if anyone is willing to publish it. I am.

Go stros, welcome to Houston Osuna. I will judge you for your performance on the field. Lets win a few world series!

I hope the hair on your balls falls out.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

We need to talk about this Atlantic piece

No, not The Athletic. The Atlantic. Specifically Olga Khazan's "What To Eat in the Texas Suburbs" article. A lot of great work was done in a thread by Andrea Grimes, but I feel like this is worth dissecting.

We'll start at the beginning:

In my daily life as an East Coast journalist, pretty much all I eat is lentils, salad, and lentil salads.

Self-deprecating! East Coast Bias! I'm on board so far.

The thing is, I recently returned to my homeland, Texas, for a reporting trip. Before you ask, hipster, I'm not from Austin, or even Houston.

I was not aware that asking where someone was from was hipster-y, but what do I know?

I'm from the gosh-dang suburbs of Dallas, where lentils and salads are less plentiful, and beef and cheese are...more so.

Dallas has a GrubHub section specifically for Lentil Soup delivery in Dallas. But the point is taken, it's easier to eat beef and cheese in Texas than on the East Coast...I guess?

Midway through it, I traveled to the small town of Wichita Falls...

Stop right there. There are 104,000+ people in Wichita Falls. While that's not Dallas' population, it's the 37th largest city in Texas, the 2nd-most populated state. It's not...small. I hear "small town" and I think - perhaps you'd agree - Winnie, Gun Barrel City, Baird. A city of 100,000 people is not a "small town."

...in Central Texas,

Hold the phone. In what geographic system is Wichita Falls in "Central Texas?"


If you're doing that snarky "North Texas is South Oklahoma" thing, then maybe I can see it. But it's 23 miles from Wichita Falls to Randlett - the first town you would hit in Oklahoma if you took I-44 North and exited at Highway 277. That's not "Central Texas," by hundreds of miles.

...where my stomach microbes were further exposed to things they've never witnessed in their precious, coddled, organic Washington, D.C., lives. I'm talking ice cream that isn't Halo Top and tap water from a La Quinta bathroom.

We're dancing between "aware of your own privilege" and "disdainful" here, and I don't like it. I can get Halo Top at my local HEB. It's okay. Tap water is fine.

I have returned with, for now, a brief travelogue of things I ate...Here is what you should eat if you ever find yourself in North-Central Texas.

By "for now," do you mean that there could be more? I'll pass. I trust her judgment on "what I should eat" as much as I trust her geographic ability.

Square Burger - My hometown of McKinney...

McKinney is 78.5% white with a median home value of $228,500 and a median household income of $83,257. Collin County, in which McKinney is located, is the 2nd-richest county in the state, only behind Loving County...which has 134 people, in the whole county. And McKinney's median household income is higher than the rest of Collin County, and is just under double the median household income in the county in which I live. So this "look at what these people eat" gambit is actually starting to make sense now.

...has not many outstanding non-chain restaurants, but this is one of them.

The ten highest-rated restaurants in McKinney on Yelp are not chains. And no, I don't consider a restaurant that has a location in McKinney and one in Frisco to be a chain. What I think Ms. Khazan was trying to do was...well...I don't know, really. I'm starting to think the premise of this entire article is suspect.

Very good hamburgers, and even - in a surprise move for Texas - a salmon one.

Oh for sure. It's so surprising that you can get a salmon patty on a bun in the richest county in Texas, located in North Dallas.

They were out of the pea soup when I went, but the waitress assured me that "people like the cauliflower soup just as well," so I ordered it, and, sure enough, it was just as good as the pea soup of my imagination.

The imagination in question sucks. And, hey, isn't the split pea a legume? Isn't a lentil another variety of a legume? Yep! So in her opening paragraph, she's lamenting the lack of availability of lentil soup and IN HER OWN HOME TOWN they had sold out of a similar variety of soup?

In-and-Out - North Texas got this cultish burger joint in 2011, and now every time I'm back, I drive through, roll up my windows, and pretend I'm in California, where I first enjoyed In-and-Out on one of my brief rumspringas from veganism. Except in Texas the servers are less stoned.

Wait wait wait wait wait. In an effort to inform the readers of The Atlantic what they should eat in the Texas suburbs, they should eat at...not a Texas restaurant? By God, go to Whataburger and describe the joys of the Jalapeno & Cheese, the Patty Melt, or the Monterey Melt. This article is telling readers what to eat in the suburbs if they want to pretend they're in California. Invalid.

Chick-Fil-A - The company's purpose is to "glorify God by being a faithful steward of all that is entrusted to us."

I bet you can see a religion joke coming a mile away.

I entrust them to make chicken, and God, do they steward it successfully. I had the chicken minis, which are essentially chicken nuggets laid respectfully on butter-sodden biscuits. Nearby, two children whined and their mothers threatened to take them home, and I learned the meaning of the phrase Kids these days don't appreciate what they have.

There are seven got dang Chick-Fil-As in Washington, D.C. I bet if the precious, coddled, organic Washington, D.C. resident clicked their heels and hopped on the Metro, they could appreciate what we rubes have down here within about 20 minutes.

Taco Bell - Because Wichita Falls doesn't have many other good lunch spots...

Literally the first 20 restaurants listen on Yelp in Wichita Falls are rated 4.5 stars or higher. The 21st is Texas Roadhouse which, obviously, is a chain.

...and because Doritos Locos Tacos are a miracle of modern engineering. I got the "fiery" flavored shells, which are as red as a patriot's heart. The cashier seemed to know everyone in the place, which just goes to show you that fast food is soulless only if you already don't have a soul.

Ahhh the down-home folksiness of the Texan. Crazy to think that a restaurant - even a fast food one! -  wouldn't have regulars.

DQ - When I was a kid, this place was called "Dairy Queen,"

Yeah...there's four of those in the DC area. And guess what else? THEY'RE ALL CALLED "DAIRY QUEEN."

but some locations have since rebranded to "DQ Grill and Chill." 

Cool. Anything that ends with "...and Chill" tends to be pretty sexy.

...I paid homage to the original name and ordered a blizzard: soft-serve ice cream embedded with various types of candy.

Wow I bet no one has heard of that backwards practice back east!

Texan cashiers tend to ask "What else?" at the end of your orders...

Wait for it...

which, as I wrote on Twitter,

hold

must be good for sales

HOOOOLLLLLDDDDD

but helps explain a lot about the obesity epidemic.

There it is.

In any case, after the blizzard, I wanted nothing else.

Put some got dang respect on it and capitalize 'Blizzard" or get its name out your keyboard.

Flying out of Dallas Love Field, the world's best airport

There may be some truth to that. It's better than DFW, for sure.

Stop by Dickey's Barbecue

And the credibility is once again gone. You wrote a travelogue about what to eat in Texas suburbs and included an airport Dickey's? GTFO.

for some beef brisket (not pork, this isn't North Carolina).

I actually would like to read about a travelogue from the writer about what to eat in the North Carolina suburbs, provided that it gave equal treatment and told me about the Charleston Wendy's.

They will give you a beer, but you have to drink it right there in front of them. (Not walk all around the airport with it, this isn't Europe.)

I'm willing to bet $5 that the [snicker] Love Field Dickey's will let you take your beer to your table, and not require you to slam it at the register like you're in front of some fictional Old West handlebar-mustachioed employee while maintaining eye contact with them.

Return to the East Coast and do a cleanse.

Ah! We've come full circle! Well done. Wrap up with a reference to how you opened. Classic J-School prowess right there.

But wait! There's an update:
The tab for the article literally reads "The Best Fast Food Near Dallas, Texas - The Atlantic." The headline is literally "What to Eat in the Texas Suburbs." And before you give me the ol' "Read the Article!" crap, I know she said that it's a travelogue of what she ate. She ate fast food, and then went East Coast Elite on people...who eat fast food. But enjoy that cleanse!

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

The Unbearable Lightness of Being an Astros Fan

After 113 games of the 2015 season the Astros are 61-52 and have a 1-game lead in the division. In years past, the Astros' division standing looked something like this after 113 games:

2014: 22.5 games back
2013: 27 games back
2012: 30.5 games back
2011: 26.5 games back
2010: 16 games back

So you'd think I'd feel good about this. The last time the Astros led the division after 113 games was 2003, when they were also 61-52, and had a 2.5-game lead on the NL Central. At this point in the season in the past five years we've already been talking about next June's draft, college football, or English soccer. Honestly, we had been doing everything we can to not really think about the Astros.

But I don't feel good about this. The offense is scuffling. The bullpen is shaky. It just feels like the Astros are squandering opportunities to put this division - which, as a whole, is struggling.

Let's think back just a few weeks ago. The Astros had a six-game losing streak heading into the All-Star Break, we speculated that maybe the Astros were tired, having played 40 games in the previous 42 days, and just needed a few days off. That may have been part of it, because the Astros came out of the break guns hot, winning six of their first seven games and sweeping the Angels, ushering the Astros back into 1st place, where they have spent a total of 103 days this season.

Still, this - right now - doesn't feel like a 1st place team (and I know, feelings don't have much of a place in baseball analysis). They have been up four games five separate times this season, and have seen that lead slip away. Perhaps this fact makes you feel better about how resilient the team is, and that would be a valid emotion.

After having won five of six heading into a nine-game road trip at Arlington, Oakland, and San Francisco, I felt good. The Rangers, even after having drugged Cole Hamels into agreeing to a trade, BABIP'd Lance McCullers back to the minors - after the only bad start of his Major-League career - but the Astros came back in that game. In the past I would have turned the game off - my mantra was "Nobody should feel like a martyr watching their favorite team." Or I would have had to turn the game off, having destroyed the remote.

That game was followed up by a couple of 4-3 losses where the Astros played a game of seeing how many men they could leave on base. Then Luke Gregerson blew a game against Oakland to have Jed Lowrie win it in the 10th, and then the Astros got dominated a couple of times before Gregerson blew another game.

The Astros haven't outright won a road series since April 27-29, when they swept the Padres to improve to 14-17. Since that series, the Astros are 13-32 on the road, 8-26 in road games since June, and 4-16 in their last 20 road games. Thirteen of their road losses since the Padres series have been by one run.

I honestly have no idea what to make of this. But I do know that the playoffs are not guaranteed. I refuse to write off 2015 because it was unexpected. The idea that the Astros *could* (or, could not) miss the postseason because they can't win close games on the road infuriates me, and I refuse to be comforted because of a Sports Illustrated cover.

We - as a fanbase - have watched a lot of miserable baseball, from the Buttslide to the Blocked Bunt, games in which the Astros seemingly tried to find new ways to lose and embarrass themselves. While we haven't watched a Buttslide moment this season - if we have, I've blocked it out - being close and losing is somehow worse to me than getting embarrassed.

This is clearly a talented team. Carlos Correa is a legit superstar, to go along with Altuve, Springer, Keuchel. How the Astros still have a 1-game lead with the Astros running out Chris Carter and Luis Valbuena every game shows that nothing in the world makes sense and maybe it's an indicator of better times ahead.

If the Astros make it to the postseason I'll be surprised. Maybe that's the fatalism of the last four years. If they don't, I'll be more mad than I was about 111 losses. What's the point of this? In Milan Kundera's "The Unbearable Lightness of Being" Tomas and Tereza live in Prague at the beginning of the Soviet occupation of the 1960s. Tomas is a womanizer, living freely within his marriage; Tereza is jailed by the heaviness of her love for Tomas and is destroyed by his "lightness of being." The story goes on - obviously, because it's one of the greatest novels of all time - but in this stretched analogy, we are the Tereza, tortured by the Astros' flirting with disaster - hopeful that they will change - and their current unbearable lightness of being.

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

2001 Co-Champions?

The Cardinals unveiled what is possibly the douchiest scorecard ever, though it does look cool:


As the Chronicle noted, they include 2001 in their division title list, which is nonsense. And since the Astros were a trainwreck last night, let's go back and talk about this, because it's fun to think about winning games and divisions and playoffs and whatnot.

The 2001 Astros were 93-69. So were the 2001 St. Louis Cardinals. The Astros were 50-34 against the NL Central, one game better than the 49-35 record the Cardinals posted against the division. Furthermore, the Astros were 9-7 against the Cardinals in 2001 which, for our mathematically-challenged friends from Missouri, is - stay with me - two games better than the 7-9 record the Cardinals posted against the Astros. In the final series of the 2001 season at St. Louis, the Astros were 92-69 while the Cardinals were 93-68. The Astros won the season finale 9-2 (Shane Reynolds got the win, Darryl Kile got the loss).

I had to go to a Cardinals bulletin board to get the details of this, but somehow the Cardinals decided that they weren't just "2001 Wild Card Winners," they were "NL Central Co-Champions" on their 2002 Media Guide. The Astros weren't pleased. Cardinals GM Walt Jocketty said, "I would think they have more significant concerns than something trivial like that."

Except it's not trivial, dammit. MLB VP of Scheduling and Club Relations Katy Feeney said at the time:
Since the Astros had the better head-to-head record, they were determined to be the champions and the Cardinals the wild card for the post season. But since they both had the same regular season record, they were both co-champions. Technically, the Astros get the champion title.

No. There is no "technically." But Walt Jocketty, who you would think had more significant concerns that something trivial like this, cited the official certificate, which reads:
By virtue of having the highest percentage of games won in the National League Central Division, the lesser record vs. co-champions Houston Astros and better record of all second-place teams, the St. Louis Cardinals are hereby declared the 2001 Wild Card Champions and Central Division Co-Champions of the National League...

Except this is stupid. Rule 33 says, in the event two teams from the same division have the same record, the division champion shall be "the club with the higher winning percentage in head-to-head competition..." The Astros were 9-7 against the Cardinals. Nine is higher than seven. And because seven is not as high as nine, the Cardinals are not "co-champions."

But even if you live in a world where nine is not higher than seven, and instead your world treats nine and seven as though they are the same number, the Cardinals didn't have the highest percentage of games won in the NL Central. 50/84 is .595. That is the Astros winning percentage against the NL Central. 49/84 - and this is apparently where it gets hard - is .583. Now it's theoretically possible that there is a universe where .595 is not higher than .583. And in that universe, yes, the St. Louis Cardinals are co-champions of the NL Central in 2001. Good mathing, Cardinals. And good job, Chronicle, you got me all petty and pissed off at 6:15am on a Tuesday over the 2001 season and a 2002 Cardinals media guide.

Monday, July 28, 2014

Oh You Have To Be Kidding Me, or, The Day A Bullpen Session Got The Chronicle All Whipped Up Into A Tizzy

I slept on it. I wanted to see if my perspective had changed with six hours of sleep. (Any more than that and I lose my #edge which hurts my #brand). It didn't.

So let's start with What We Know.

*We know Mark Appel has struggled this season.
*We know that on July 24, Mark Appel threw 6IP, 5H/2ER, 7K:0BB at Stockton in the longest start of his career and the best start of his season.
*We know that, following that July 24 start, Mark Appel was promoted to Double-A Corpus.
*We know that, on his way to Corpus, the Astros had Mark Appel come to Minute Maid for a bullpen session yesterday (Sunday) morning to throw for Houston pitching coach Brent Strom, before the players arrived for the third game of a series with the Marlins.

This is where the plot begins to wobble, because I interpreted yesterday morning's events (and I don't feel as though I was alone) as such: Seeing as how Houston is kind of on the way from Lancaster to Corpus, it made sense for the Astros to bring him in to pitch for possible future pitching coach Brent Strom, you know, to looks at his mechanics, offer some advice, you know, generally take a little bit of extra time with your 2013 1-1 pick in light of this month's events with the 2014 1-1 pick. It made perfect sense to me, a guy who has never pitched on any level beyond BP to his 7-year old nephew.

The Astros, however, did not like the fact that Appel threw a bullpen at Minute Maid Park, just hours before the Marlins finished off a sweep in which the Astros scored five runs.

It then turned into A Thing. "It's (expletive) unbelievable," said one anonymous Astro. Another Astro voiced his concern to Jose de Jesus Ortiz, and dropped even more expletives.

The Chronicle, smelling blood in the water and yet another chance to rip the front office, went full-on Hard Nipples on the Apparatus:
And hey here comes Texans beat writer Brian Smith!
And there it is. By getting last year's 1-1 pick in for a bullpen session with a pitching coach before the players arrived for the game, before said pick's final leg of his promotion to Double-A, the Astros have violated an unwritten rule.

Randy Harvey piggy-backed on the hoopla to write a column (which is apparently on the FRONT PAGE OF THE HOUSTON CHRONICLE TODAY):
The players don't believe Appel should have been working out in the Astros' home park until he has earned the right to call it home...the Appel incident makes it appear as if management is either tone deaf when it comes to players' feelings or, even worse, doesn't care.

This is absolutely preposterous. Do the Astros value Mark Appel more than, say, Josh Hader, who had his own thoughts in a since-deleted tweet. Of course they do. They spent $6.35m on Mark Appel, and traded Bud Norris for Josh Hader. That doesn't take anything away from Hader, he's a good young pitcher having an excellent season in a challenging environment. Mark Appel is an older pitcher struggling in the same environment, and the Astros wanted to get him out of there as quickly as possible to see if a change of scenery improves his career. You can swing and miss on trades. You don't swing and miss on your 1-1 pick.

You could say the Astros were trying to sneak Appel in, or you could say that there are only two non-stop flights from Houston to Corpus on Sunday mornings, and they really wanted him to make it to Whataburger Field in time for the Hooks' game vs. Midland.

You could even say that the two anonymous Astros players need to focus more on not getting swept by the Marlins. You could say that the two anonymous players should be more concerned with their own jobs than with what Mark Appel is doing before their game.

And let's be clear: this was a manufactured story. Ortiz tweeted two anonymous players who had problems.  Brian Smith felt as though it was his job to spend a significant amount of time commenting on an unwritten rule of which no one has ever heard. Randy Harvey wrote a column about it. The Chronicle went ESPN on this story, manufacturing outrage (I fell victim) and perpetuating it all day. 

Perhaps you remember a few years ago when the Houston Press wrote about how the Chronicle killed a story examining PEDs and Roger Clemens, among others (http://blogs.houstonpress.com/hairballs/2011/01/craig_biggio_steriod_user.php). It feels as though the Chronicle's pendulum is now swinging the other way, where there has been an editorial directive to be the Tough Voice On The Astros, consistency and logic be damned.

It's not as though the Astros don't deserve criticism. From CSN Houston to Brady Aiken there have been plenty of well-founded opportunities to emote a shrug of the shoulders in print. But this is different. I saw literally zero people taking the players, or the Chronicle's, side on this. "Don't let a minor-leaguer use your bullpen before a game" is not an unwritten rule, it's a nitpicky way to act like a tough guy, to whip the dead horse of the Front Office's perceived indifference to basic human emotion and social skills. 

But if the Astros players don't feel as though the front office shows a commitment to winning, what does that say about them? "The front office doesn't want to win - and I'm Exhibit A in this, because if they cared, I would be on some other team's Triple-A roster!" That's ridiculous.

It's a farce, and I'm mad at myself for having wasted this much time on it. A lot of growing up needs to happen - the Astros players themselves, and the people who cover them for a living.

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Astros blow it with Correa

.332/.421/.509.

That's 19-year old and 2012 1-1 pick Carlos Correa's slash line in the California League, where he was recently named to the Cal League All-Star Team. Correa is 7th in the league in runs scored (44), 9th in hits (75), tied for 3rd in triples (5), 4th in RBI (52), 15th in Total Bases (115), 11th in walks (32), 4th in stolen bases (20), 5th in batting average (.332), 3rd in OBP (.421), and 9th in OPS (.930). He's just a shade under four years younger than the average Cal League hitter - in 266 Plate Appearances, only four PAs have come against younger pitchers.

In April, Correa hit .300/.366/.463. In May he hit .330/.389/.496. In nine June games he's hitting .419/.617/.677. After missing about a week with a sore shoulder in late April/early May, Correa is hitting .349/.451/.534.

Maybe you look at his splits and think "yeah but those LHP splits" and you would notice something - mainly that Correa is hitting .389/.475/.593 against RHP and .169/.258/.271 against LHP. Alarming, right? But don't worry! Correa hit .283/.365/.440 against RHP and .432/.523/.550 against LHP at Quad Cities last year - so let's just keep in mind that his 2014 LHP splits are wrapped up in 66 plate appearances and move on.

Here's the point: For the first time during the regular season, the Corpus Christi Hooks are playing a game tonight at Minute Maid Park against the San Antonio Missions that is billed as the "Astros Futures Game." Yet the shortstop of the future is in Lancaster, tearing up the league.

Nolan Fontana is hitting .273/.432/.397 at Corpus, and OKC has Ronny Torreyes (.728 OPS) and Gregorio Petit (.729 OPS) getting time at short, as well. So there's not exactly a domino effect here, although you can't tell me with a straight face that any of those guys - or Jonathan Villar, for that matter - are keeping Correa from advancing through the system. Also, Fontana and Torreyes have played more 2B than SS for Corpus and OKC, respectively.

The JetHawks were off today, after playing a day game at Visalia yesterday. That provided plenty of time to get Correa to Houston to play in front of Astros fans in a "Futures Game" and into a league that, you know, might offer a challenge - because it's not happening in Lancaster. It's been an exciting few weeks for Astros fans, what with all the winning, and all - but this was a giant opportunity for the Astros to show off Correa to Houston, and they whiffed.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

My quick take on the Popularity Contest...

I really can't do better that the Constable's take on the Drellich article that is around five days old.  I also notice that our friends at Crawfish have written a rebuttal duo, expressing their discontent with the whole controversy, and defending the Front Office.  But the Constable sums it up really, really well.

That said, I want to make two points.  The first point is a comment on Drellich's article, and a comment on the various rebuttal articles.  The second point is mine, and may or may not hit the mark.

Drellich quoted Bud Norris and Jed Lowrie - two players that know a fair bit about the Astros, with the former's association spanning the two regimes - quoting directly on the Astros.  

Norris:
"They are definitely the outcast of major league baseball right now, and it's kind of frustrating for everyone else to have to watch it," said former Astros pitcher Bud Norris, now with Baltimore. "When you talk to agents, when you talk to other players and you talk amongst the league, yeah, there's going to be some opinions about it, and they're not always pretty."  
 Lowrie: 
"If you look at every organization, I think the trend is going toward sheer statistical-driven analysis, and I think that (the Astros) are certainly on the front lines of that," said former Astros shortstop Jed Lowrie, now with Oakland. "Baseball is kind of going through this tectonic shift, and there are people out there banging on tables saying, 'This is not the way the game's supposed to be played or evaluated.' But from a business standpoint, I get it. 
"It is a purely statistical analysis. I think you can't have that approach and expect to have good personal relations. That seems like a hard balance to strike, when you're judging someone strictly on numbers and nothing else, and I'm not talking about whether it's a good guy or a bad guy. But there are certain intangibles, and the perception is the numbers are trying to drive out (the importance of) those intangibles."
My impression is that those quotes are measured, mature quotes from two players who should know enough to comment. The Astros have had their fair share of difficulties with both players, and I think that either player would have the right to be bitter and twisted.  But neither of the quotes seem to belay any kind of unreasonable negative emotion.  Norris merely expresses frustration (my interpretation) on behalf of his former teammates, and comments on the gossip (and, in such a closed a wealthy industry, people will gossip - the gossip is there).  Lowrie points out that numbers are great, but ultimately, it is a human sport, and relationships are going to matter.  And that is an excellent point.

Lets put it another way.  If you told me that Drellich was going to write an article critical of the way the Front Office runs player relations, and Norris and Lowrie were going to be quoted, I would have run straight to my lead-lined panic room, and not emerged until this all blew over.  Probably, about the same amount of time as it took for Chernobyl to become habitable.  These quotes are a very reasonable, even slightly positive, outcome.  They both acknowledge the plan, recent progress, and an understanding of why this needed to occur.  They both warn against being dicks in negotiations, and indicate that some chatter has occurred between players, about how the Astros are doing things.

Drellich goes on to talk about negotiations, leading to my second point.

Without going into details, I have played competitive sport at a pretty decent amateur level.  At times I have played on some bad teams.  I know what it is like to lose.  I especially know what it is like to lose because you just aren't as talented as the opposition.  It is frustrating, and literally the only thing you can do is outwork them.  Warm up when it is pouring with rain??  Done that.  Exercised meticulously during competition weeks, despite the fact that tomorrow's opposition are sitting comfortably having a few drinks?  Yep, been there.  You have to try twice as hard to compete.

And the rewards are rarely there through results, because the results are largely out of your control.  Because, if the opposition has any kind of good day, you, and the team, are toast.  It can get really frustrating.  I know what Bo means when he talks about "sticking to the process".

I can only imagine being George Springer, who is nearly singlehandedly bringing excitement and interest back to the Astros franchise.  I have said this during recent game recaps - this is a young, exciting team when they are playing well.  George is a big part of that.  Altuve is having a great offensive season.  Fowler is as-advertised - on-base threat with some pop.  Villar is intermittently fantastic, but also forehead-slappingly frustrating at times.  Now, the hope is kind-of at the Major League level, with much more to come later in 2014.

But imagine being Springer sitting down with your agent and the Front Office prior to the season.

FO:  Hey, George, welcome, sit down.  Coffee??  No?  Ok, our computer says that you are worth $7 million guaranteed, options can take it to $23.  Interested? 
George's Agent:  Um, can we negotiate? 
FO:  No, the computer says that this is right.*
* - Mucho paraphrasing.  But the leaked information seems to indicate that this approximates what happened.  But who really knows.  My point is, if this happened, it sucks.  Read on.

Then, George leaves the room.  He logs on to Astros County on his mobile phone, and sees articles from fawning nerds like Batguy, myself and the Constable.  He logs on to Astros.com.  He likely sees his image on promotional material - George is coming, donchaknow.  He leaves MMP and sees himself on a billboard.  Or something.  Regardless, the Astros think enough of him to pump him up publicly, use him for marketing, create conversations about hit, sponsor a website (ok, they didn't do that), but they won't even talk turkey with regards to numbers.

And he is being asked to play in a losing team, having to work twice as hard and be twice a mature and when the opposition, the media, the baseball insiders and others make disparaging remarks and jokes about your team, and you don't get rewarded through winning, then it double-sucks.

As a kicker, after May 2014, the reported counter-offer of 7/42M seems waaaay too low.

That said, I would be surprised if the Front Office didn't have a business plan too.  Overpaying for Springer, or at least fairly purchasing his arbitration years, essentially buying the risk ('cause he isn't a sure thing) may not be what they want to do.  That could lead to difficult conversations with Folty, Correa, Appel, Santana et al.  Springer's negotiations aren't happening in a vacuum, and there are many other things to consider here.

But still, this is a team with no albatross contracts, no one they need to pay down (aside from Wandy), in one of the largest media markets in the States (if they are ever able to, like, broadcast to their home city).  I would have done backflips if they had signed Springer to 7/42.  If nothing else, it would have indicated a belief, a commitment.  A belief in a guy.  A human guy.  Screw the digits, lets take a chance!  Because the fan base, and the other players, and the poor nearby bloggers are all waiting for a sign that it is go-time.

My point is this.  Gosh, I hope that these statements from Norris and Lowrie are wrong.  I hope that the Grossman and Dominguez negotiations aren't as alluded to in the article.  I hope that the Astros didn't immediately turn down 7/42 for Springer, but at least made a counter-offer, or moved on the guaranteed money thing, or did something to sweeten the deal.  Because that is not a way to run any business that has human beings in it.

Because, as Robert Ford's voices says in the radio ad in the radio feed: "Have you ever heard of a bat hitting a grand slam??"  At the core of this huge business are a bunch of people.  And where there are people, relationships matter.  And reputations.  And narratives.  And gossip.

God forbid if the Astros are treating the players like they have treated the fans.

Winning may not fix that damage until it is too late.  Because, hopefully soon, the Astros will want to sign that one free agent who can push them over the top.

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Actually, it is a popularity contest

Over the course of this past holiday weekend, I spent a lot of time thinking about the Astros. I didn't spend a lot of time actually watching the Astros (barbecues, napping, family time, and whatnot), but my thoughts were certainly on the Astros in light of Evan Drellich's article about the Astros' "radical ways."

In the quick post we threw up on Friday morning, I told you I'd need some time to think about it. Now I have. /cracks knuckles

Anybody surprised by the "radical ways" of the Astros has not been paying attention. Yes, they shift their defense around to try to make more outs which, on occasion, pisses pitchers off. Yes, their minor-league pitchers are on a different schedule than the other 29 teams' minor-league pitchers. Sure, winning 51 games is - in the grand scheme of the standings -  no worse than losing 61 games. And so the Astros ended the 2013 season on a 15-game losing streak that ranks among the most painful things I have ever endured for "leisure" in my entire life (other than, you know, "2011-2013" of watching Astros baseball).  No, you cannot watch Astros games because there is a first-class screw job happening courtesy of the Astros/Rockets/CSN Houston/DirecTV/UVerse/Suddenlink. These are odd ideas to implement in baseball.

The reason you can't see Astros games is because the Bidness Side of the Astros is the mirror image of the Baseball Side: Short term pain for long term gain. This #process has all been undertaken on the premise that it will get better. The minor-league system, depending on who you read and value, ranks anywhere from 1st to 5th in all of baseball. For years the most fun part of writing for Astros County has been the minor-league recaps, because there's so much hope, which is of course different from "promise."

Former Astro/Noted Hater Bud Norris (who, give him credit, went on the record for the piece) said that the Astros are "definitely the outcast of baseball right now, and it's kind of frustrating for everyone else to have to watch it." The second part I'll agree with - the first three weeks of 2014 were equally as frustrating as the last two weeks of 2013. The first part? I'm not so sure. I mean, if you take the time to photoshop Dre 3000 and Big Boi on Luhnow and Reid Ryan, that'd be funny. But what does Norris mean by "outcast?" The Astros (presumably) made serious bids for both Tanaka and Abreu this off-season, and were turned down by both. Who knows how many free agents the Astros approached to better the team this off-season? The three pieces they added to the bullpen included Chad Qualls and Matt Albers - who began their careers with Houston - and Jesse Crain, who has not pitched a game for the Astros*.

*full disclosure: I said on an Astros Boxes podcast that, if the Astros didn't sign Jesse Crain, I would burn something down.

You have already seen Chapman, Clemens, Valdes, Oberholtzer all get shipped back to Triple-A. The Astros have made some fantastic acquisitions (so far) in Tony Sipp and Collin McHugh. Dexter Fowler has shown that he can hit and get on base outside of Coors Field. Tony Sipp and Collin McHugh have been fantastic. But how were they acquired? Trade, signed after being released, waiver claim. Point is the Astros aren't enticing free agents to come to Houston. In the interest of not looking like I'm cherry-picking quotes to fit my points, Luhnow told Drellich that their plan hasn't prevented players from coming to Houston.

Is (our plan) going to change what we're doing if we believe we're doing the right thing? No, it's not going to…We're sensitive to it. If it starts to affect us in a meaningful way that we can't sign players, or players quit, or players don't give us their best effort, then we'll have to address it. As of now, that hasn't happened.

One way of looking at this would be to say that the Astros aren't in a position to need free agents right now. The whole point of the rebuilding process has been to draft, develop, and trade their way into contenders - the Astros aren't going to throw $45m at Carlos Beltran to plug a hole, as the Yankees did. The Red Sox model of 2013 (hit big on a number of free agent signings) would not work in Houston because, if you're a player trying to rebuild some value, doing it in a Red Sox uniform than it is more appealing than in an Astros uniform (see: Sizemore, Grady).

Another way of looking at this would be to take the anonymous quote in Drellich's piece at face value, which, in its entirety, reads:

I don't think anybody's happy. I'm not. They just take out the human element of baseball. It's hard to play for a GM who just sees you as a number instead of a person. Jeff is experimenting with all of us.

That's dramatic, and we'll come back to that towards the end. But then things get strange in Drellich's article: Luhnow - appropriately - wouldn't answer that specific charge...for now, more on that in a minute. Jim Crane said they treat every player with respect and that he supports Luhnow's use of statistics. Okay, let's stop here.

I feel like we're veering back into the old paradigm where the two sides of baseball can't mix: scouting vs. analytics. You can totally have it both ways; Analytics and scouting can mix, and the Astros do both very well. The problem starts with the next quote from Luhnow...

"We're not running for election here; it's not a popularity contest," said Luhnow, who seeks feedback from across the organization but said feelings aren't high on his list of concerns unless they impact outcomes. "We're trying to win big league games, and we're trying to produce major league players in the minor leagues, so if those two results are occurring, that's predominantly what we care about. Now of course, any time you've got human beings involved … you want to understand how they're impacted."

And that's where the Astros problem starts because Luhnow is dead wrong about that. The Astros should absolutely be trying to win a popularity contest. What I'd like to see is Luhnow and the rest of the organization go out of their way to make the Astros the most attractive team in baseball to other players. Houston should be a marquee destination for any player who needs a team. Right now, that's not exactly the case.

The Astros have been very upfront about what the plan all along: short-term pain for (ideal) long-term gain, and the toll it has taken on the fanbase is pretty clear. The Astros are averaging a shade over 21,300 fans per game, which is somehow 11th in the American League. If you take out Opening Day against the Yankees, the Astros are averaging 20,466 fans per game. They've had three home games - two against the Rangers (!) - where fewer than 15,000 fans showed up. And you want to talk about CSN Houston? The only thing you hear about Astros' broadcasts is either (1) another 0.0 rating or (2) how nobody can watch the games.

If you're an Astros fan in Houston or the arcane blackout zone who doesn't have Comcast and you don't feel comfortable trying to scramble your IP address so you can pay $120 to see your local team on MLB.TV, you are reduced to watching the game through others on Twitter, or watching MLB Network during the game in the hopes that they'll cut away from showing the Braves long enough to show a highlight or two. Trying to follow a game that way sucks.

It's far more fun lately, what with winning more often, and all. Springer has sprung, and that's great, but the organization isn't exactly helping. Singleton and Foltynewicz still sit in Triple-A when they're clearly ready for the Majors, and there are a whole train of prospects waiting for the dominoes to start falling. While I understand the business decision behind service time and Super Two statuses, every time Marc Krauss gets a start at 1B another piece of my leprous heart falls off. Dallas Keuchel has become a pitcher you make evening plans around. George Springer is, well, George Springer. Bo Porter brings a fire and intensity to the bench and clubhouse that makes me want to run through a brick wall. It's more fun to watch Porter react to a player when he rounds the bases and heads back to the dugout than it is to watch the player. I might write an actual letter and see if he'll be my daughter's godfather. For the last few weeks the bullpen has made it so that I have pulled out exactly zero hairs in final third of Astros games.

I love that the Astros use as much information as they can about the game of baseball. Ultimately I'm in favor of anything that will make my leisure time more leisurely. But I'm different. You're different, too, if only for the fact that after 324 losses in three seasons you're still reading an Astros blog. We've said this before, the Astros aren't trying to appeal to hardcore fans - we're here regardless.

It is a fact that The Apparatus likes losing precisely as much as we fans do. But Drellich said in the above quote that feelings aren't high on Luhnow's list of concerns. That should probably change. Perhaps Luhnow and the Baseball Side of the Astros leave the "pleasing of fans" to the Business Side. Like "Scouting" vs. "Analytics" playing together well, baseball is a business and the business of baseball has to do with fans coming to the games or watching on television. There's not a whole lot of either going on.

The Astros, and Jeff Luhnow, need to be very careful about their plan for the future. It doesn't matter which anonymous Astro said he felt like he was in Luhnow's own science experiment, that quote is out there now. As Torii Hunter told Evan Drellich, "I don't think a lot of people know that we communicate with each other and all the free agents out there, they communicate with other players." Think about the past three years (yes, even before Luhnow arrived) and tell me that you - Astros fan - don't feel exactly the same way. The Astros need to treat their organization exactly like a popularity contest, to players and fans alike, because if the Astros clinch a playoff spot in front of 18,000 screaming fans, who actually wins?

Friday, April 25, 2014

On retribution and the Astros

...If you prick us, do we not bleed? 
If you tickle us, do we not laugh? If you poison
us, do we not die, and if you wrong us, shall we not
revenge?
-Shylock, The Merchant of Venice

Those wars are unjust which are undertaken without provocation. For only a war waged for revenge or defense can be just.
-Marcus Tullius Cicero

Revenge is not always sweet, once it is consummated we feel inferior to our victim.
-Emil Cioran 
---

I have been wrestling with the actions of the Bo Porter, Jed Lowrie, and Paul Clemens over the past seven days and I do not know what to think. A week ago today (Friday), Jarred Cosart managed to get one out before being pulled with the Astros already down 7-0. As you are already well aware, Jed Lowrie tried to lay down a drag bunt in an effort to beat the shift. It didn't work, he was thrown out. Two innings later, Paul Clemens threw a wicked googly between Lowrie's legs before Lowrie flied out. As he was on his way back to the dugout, Lowrie and Altuve started talking. Lowrie swears he was asking why Clemens threw the ball between his legs. But still tempers flared. Bo Porter came out of the dugout to yell at Lowrie who, innocent as a cherub, had no idea what in the world was the matter.

Lowrie, after the game:
I just don't understand why he came out in such a rage. ... I just don't get it. I don't know what it shows, but not a lot of confidence in his own team. Point blank.

Lowrie said, basically, if the Astros can shift down 7-0, he can bunt to beat the shift. This is a decent point.

Remember the week Porter had. Dominguez running into an out by 30 feet at 2nd base. The 17-second stare. Cosart's disaster start which led to the Goatpen getting to pitch 8.2IP, and BuntGate (as no one calls it). Then Qualls gave up the walk-off homer on Saturday, the Astros had nothing on Sunday. And those four games take place in the space of four days.

Fast forward six days. The Astros won a series in Seattle, but missed a sweep because Josh Fields allowed a walk-off homer to Kyle Seager. That afternoon/evening the team flies to Houston for a four-game series with the A's, who have owned the Astros since the beginning of last season. And then the A's do what the A's do to the Astros: beat the hell out of them.

Down 8-1 in the 7th, Paul Clemens has thrown 2.2IP, replacing Brett Oberholtzer, who was down 2-0 by the 3rd batter of the game. Jed Lowrie, who is already 3x4 with two doubles, gets plunked. The details are sketchy. Porter and Clemens have spent the day getting slammed. Lowrie has presumably spent the day at a Starbucks talking to anybody and everybody who will listen about how he has been wronged and he does not understand.

Porter won't discuss specifics. While Chris Singleton has apparently confirmed through a source that Clemens was acting on his own, Bo Porter won't confirm or deny it.

If Clemens acted on his own, Porter isn't going to be the guy that throws him under the bus. I'm not saying that Porter threw Dominguez under the bus in the 17-second stare, but he didn't shy away from his disappointment/anger/murderous rage. Was Porter trying to avoid the same thing with Clemens?

I'm not saying it's right. I'm not saying I agree with Porter's actions this week. While I agree with everyone who happens to be an Astros fan that maybe Lowrie should just shut up and wear it and realize that he's helping his team while perhaps causing his opponent to completely lose the plot and unravel, I can sympathize with Porter's position.

Do you watch the Barclay's Premier League? I do. My grandfather played soccer professionally in England, so I have an affinity. I also have an affinity a team who has suffered one of the greatest collapses of the last 15 years - Leeds United (sound familiar?). Because of my affinity for the BPL, I see a lot of Chelsea, because they're basically the Yankees of the Premier League. Their manager, Jose Mourinho, has a wonderful knack for making such a scene of himself that it takes the attention off of how Fernando Torres has been a complete disaster and can't score a goal to save his life. Does that sound familiar?

The Astros have had one day off so far this season. Tonight's game against the A's is the 24th Astros game in 25 days. Hell, I'm mad, and I don't have anything beyond a rooting interest. My job isn't on the line. I don't have to go into the clubhouse and keep myself from physically assaulting (insert Astro here). What I'm saying is that I can understand that maybe Porter is a little on edge, maybe he feels bad for destroying Matt Dominguez in a press conference and has decided to get out in front of Clemens here.

There are so many variables here that it's hard to figure out a middle position where I don't sell out a manager whom I respect on a personal and professional level or sound like a complete homer. Because our options for Bo Porter's actions are that the losing of the past 187 games have sharpened his intensity to where he's at his breaking point, or he is a calculated genius deflecting attention to himself for just how bad the current team is performing.

Everybody in this situation is a human being. Jed Lowrie, while I've spent most of my free time today casting him as a titty-baby, has suffered through some pretty serious fluke injuries who finds himself getting plunked at an alarming rate over the last week. Paul Clemens is a fringe pitcher at best who perhaps is searching for a role as an enforcer on a team that has no identity. Bo Porter is trying to be the rare manager who doesn't lose a clubhouse that loses approximately 65% of its games and still manages to keep his job into the Good Times.

Ultimately Jed Lowrie needs to shut up. Paul Clemens needs to stop. Bo Porter needs to distance himself from whatever beef there is between the two.

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Why this week matters

I can't remember who tweeted out the link - because, while I consider some Brewers bloggers to be good Twitter friends, I'm not in the habit of reading Brewers blogs in January - but I came across this post by Brew Crew Ball, entitled "Why Do We Worry About Top 100 Prospect Lists?" The Brewers had no prospects in BP's Top 101 list, and just one in MLB.com's Top 100 list. So the following paragraph was written:

This news inflamed people who are heavily concerned about the Brewer organization's ability to locate and develop impact talent. There's reason to be concerned about the Brewers' drafting and development, but I don't think prospect lists are a fair indication of talent levels across organizations. Baseball-wide prospect lists are, for the most part, an educated guess at best.

I can certainly understand this viewpoint. The next paragraph in the post points out the sheer volume of minor league games being played on a given day, and how it's just so much information, etc. And that's absolutely true. Since no one can watch every minor league game, then the evaluators are making generalizations based on a set of statistics, however advanced that may be.

That said, the post in Brew Crew Ball is exactly the sentiment I would have, were my favorite team the one with zero to one prospect on the top prospect lists. But the Astros have, as we have covered ad nauseum, seven prospects on Keith Law's and MLB.com's Top 100 lists and five prospects on BP's Top 101 list. These are good things.

To me - and I could be way off on this - prospect lists are overall snapshots of an organization's health; and the snapshot of the Astros' organization is good. It's not great, because of The Crynasty. If you don't feel like clicking the link, we dubbed 2011-2013 as "The Crynasty" because the Astros are 118 games worse than the team with the best record in that span (which, oh yeah, just happens to be the Rangers) and are 33 games worse than the team with the 2nd-worst three-year record.

The point is that, while the Astros have lost at levels bordering on Crazy-Making over the last three years, these prospect lists show that there at least is a point to it. The 2009 Astros went 74-88 and put one prospect on BP's Top 101 list (Jason Castro - #76). That was a team that ran out Kaz Matsui, Miguel Tejada, Pudge Rodriguez, the ghost of Mike Hampton, Brian Moehler, and Russ Ortiz with regularity. There was literally nothing exciting about that team, and there was nothing foreseeable about which you could get excited about.

The outlook has since changed, and it's the new front office who has changed it. I'm not going to rehash everything The Apparatus has done over the last two years, because there's no need. TL;DR: they told us that 2012 and 2013 was going to happen. They also promised it would get better. And, at least on paper, it has.

Prospect lists are littered with players who busted or just didn't pan out. Even the Olney-anointed Genius Rays miss. Tim Beckham, the #1 overall pick in the 2008 draft (and the #15 overall prospect in BP's aforementioned 2009 list - ahead of Andrew McCutchen and a host of other players who have played in more than five major league games), has played in five major league games. But this time of year, prospect lists are like gold.

This is the worst time of year. It's freezing cold, the sun doesn't come out, basketball isn't my thing, the Super Bowl is almost over, and if soccer is your thing, you're constantly trying to figure out a way to get home by 1:45 in the afternoon to watch a game (or you're getting up at 6am on a Saturday). You wonder why people get so excited about Truck Day? Because it means something is actually happening.

So when BP or Keith Law comes out with a list at the end of January that shows there *may* be brighter days ahead for the Astros, it's exciting to me because it means that maybe, just maybe, all the remotes I have destroyed and subsequently replaced over the last three years were not sacrificed in vain.

A blown elbow here, an inability to adjust there, and the Astros' farm system is back to where it was a couple of years ago. Are all seven (or five) of the players going to be Willie Mays or Tom Seaver? Certainly not. But for once, let's just enjoy a nice thing. At least until Opening Day.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

On tanking, Buster Olney, and the Astros

Buster Olney started it. In his (Insider-Only) blog post for ESPN yesterday in which the headline read "Astros' season highlights incentive to tank," Olney took the Astros task for not fielding a competitive team and how it's destroying the very fabric of baseball. Give him credit, because back in March he was trumpeting the exact same thing (you can read our thoughts on that piece here).

The interesting thing is that, once again, Olney is the one with the problem. A rival official told Olney, "They're going to be good because they're getting access to the best talent and Luhnow is a really smart guy." (emphasis Olney's) Olney admits, "In the minds of many rival evaluators - many - the Astros are playing baseball's current system to perfection."

Back in his March hand-wringing, Olney said, "Privately, rival executives really like what the Astros are doing, in stripping down the organization and rebuilding from the ground up."

Even Bud Selig, who is clearly the devil, told Brian Smith:
"I do trust the organization. Look, every organization goes through certain phases. They have chosen the path with some very qualified people. And the only way you can really build a solid organization, a solid team, is through a very productive farm system. And I think they're doing it the right way. There's no question in my mind."


Olney, typically, is providing the knee-jerk reactionary's viewpoint. He even mentions "an evaluator" who admired that the NBA instituted a lottery system to prevent rewarding teams from losing, as though MLB and the NBA are interchangeable parts. 

Olney says that the Astros could have spent more money in an effort to be competitive and chose not to do so and "what should scare Major League Baseball" is that the Astros are admired for their strategy. "Fans are paying major league prices to watch major league competition...that fan is not buying a ticket because he knows Houston is positioned to pick NC State's Carlos Rodon in next June's draft."

Here's where Olney is missing the point: No, fans aren't exactly lining up to get into Minute Maid Park. Attendance is roughly half of what it was in 2004. And - if they're even able to watch Astros games on CSN Houston - they're not doing so (while fully realizing that Nielsen ratings don't count those of us watching on Extra Innings, MLB.TV, or even fans in Houston using an IP masking service watching MLB.TV). A 0.0 rating?

Because it's not fun for people who don't follow the Astros on a regular basis to give it any thought, Olney stops his argument short of following a logical line: That there is no guarantee to what the Astros' situation is, and there is the possibility that the Astros are slowly, methodically, being destroyed. It's hard to look at attendance at Minute Maid Park, whole sections of which are representative of the television ratings (while my personal opinions of tv ratings are well-documented) and say that the Astros are reaping the benefits of a broken system.

What if Jon Singleton doesn't put it together? What if George Springer and Chris Carter combine to strike out Seventabilly times in 2014? What if Jordan Lyles can't figure it out for more than three starts at a time? Drafting in baseball is not like the lottery system in the NBA. An NBA lottery pick - more often than not - means there is an impact on the team within six months. We'll be lucky to see Carlos Correa, who was drafted fifteen months ago, by 2016.

And besides, if/when the Astros start winning again, how long will it take for fans to start returning to Minute Maid Park? Two years? Three? And if you think that DirecTV and UVerse didn't see that the Astros/Indians game drew a 0.0, and are now tripping over themselves to get CSN Houston on board for $3/subscriber....

Olney is short-sighted, discounting the immense risk that the Astros are taking. The Astros are not providing a blueprint for teams that want to save a few bucks and get a higher draft pick, as Olney alleges. The Marlins? you ask. Hell no. Jeffrey Loria goes out of his way to find new strategies for screwing over his team, fanbase, and probably the government, too.

But of course, like crows attracted to shiny things, here came Peter Gammons:
And then, not to be outdone by a ridiculously tired narrative, Jayson Stark:
I guess we can forget that the Cubs signed Edwin Jackson to a four-year $52m deal this past off-season, and have a $75.5m payroll to go 65-97 (closer to the Astros than they are the Angels in the standings), and are 24-48 against the NL Central, the division that will have three playoff teams. Oh, yes, the Astros are 25-50 against the AL West, meaning that the Astros and Cubs have the same inter-division winning percentage. Cubs Factor?

Sure, the Rangers are helped by beating the Astros 16 out of 18 games. But they're in a Wild Card race in part because they're 13-19 against the AL Central. Cleveland is in line for a playoff berth in large part because they're 16-2 against the White Sox. Atlanta is 26-12 against the Marlins and Nationals.

Bad teams all end up in the same place - at home in October. Good teams beat those bad teams. It's how it works. The Astros are bad. Really bad. We're going to see video clips of the Blocked Bunt and Butt-Slide for years to come. But to hammer the Astros, link them to Pete Rose and Joe Jackson (As Olney did in March), and to maintain this tired TEH ASTORS narrative is as reckless as CSN Houston playing chicken with 60% of televisions in the Houston area. The real damage the Astros are doing is to their own franchise, it has nothing to do with the rest of Major League Baseball or Buster Olney.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Don Cherry got pissed at the Blue Jays this weekend

In a series of tweets over the weekend, CBC's colorful hockey commentator Don Cherry took the Blue Jays behind the woodshed for their hijinks and shenanigans in Houston:





 

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Let's prove SportsCenter wrong

This morning, on the 6am SportsCenter that I watched because my daughter has forgotten how to sleep, they did something unconscionable:

They showed the box score from Friday night's 30-8 beatdown of Lancaster by High Desert and one noob anchor actually said:

If the minors are an indication of future success, it's only going to get worse for the Astros.

Then they showed the highlights from the Astros/Rangers game last night. Because that fits the ESPN narrative that the Astros are bad, won't get better, and it's generally funny for everybody else. F SportsCenter.

So how about some facts, rather than a cherry-picked box score? (Note: many of these stats come from the invaluable MLBFarm. Stats are valid through games on August 10.)

*At .576, the Astros have the highest organizational winning percentage in the minor leagues, better than the .560 Giants and .558 Rangers.
*At 391, the Astros have the most organizational wins in the minors, one ahead of the Mets, eight ahead of the Mariners, and 32 wins above the fourth-place Rays.
*At 520, the Astros' affiliates have hit the most organizational home runs. Oakland, with 519, is next. Seattle, at 514, is 3rd.

Oklahoma City

*At 69-52, the Triple-A Oklahoma City RedHawks are tied with the Salt Lake Bees for the best record in the Pacific Coast League, and are four games up on Albuquerque in the division. They are three wins short of their 2012 season total, with three weeks left in the season. They have already posted more wins in 2013 than they did in the entire 2007-2011 Triple-A affiliate seasons.
*OKC has the youngest batters in the League, at 24.7 years old, almost a full year younger than next-youngest Tacoma, at 25.4. Their pitching staff is the second-youngest in the League, at 25.2 years old. Memphis is the youngest, at 25.1 years old.
*George Springer is the first 30-30 player in the Minors since Grant Desme in 2009. He's 23 years old, and between Corpus and OKC is hitting .304/.411/.602 with 31 homers and 38 stolen bases. He has 12 HR in 173 PAs at OKC, and is hitting .317/.434/.648 in 41 games. That's the 3rd-highest OPS in the league.
*In the last month, Jon Singleton has 19 hits and 19 walks, for a .352 OBP.

Corpus

*At 72-47, Corpus is 25 games over .500 and has the best record in the Texas League. Their 72 wins are the 3rd-most in all of MiLB, as is their .605 Win%. With three weeks left in the season, the Hooks need nine wins to match their 2012 win total. They won 50 games in 2011.
*At 22.8 years old, the Hooks have the youngest batters in the league. They also have the highest OPS in the league, at .745, and their .414 SLG is 21 points higher than 2nd-best.
*At 23.4 years old, they also have the youngest pitching staff. At 2.6 BB/9, they have the best walk rate, as well.
*20-year old Domingo Santana is 6th in the league with 20 home runs.
*George Springer is still 4th in the league in stolen bases.
*Only two Texas League pitchers have thrown more than 60IP with a WHIP under 1.00: Jake Buchanan (0.93) and David Martinez (0.997). Both are now in Triple-A.
*In 86.1IP, Mike Foltynewicz has 85K, and has allowed just six home runs.

Lancaster

*At 69-50, the JetHawks have the best record in the California League, one game ahead of the San Jose Giants. In their own division, they're seven games better than 2nd place Inland Empire.
*They, as well as Modesto and Lake Elsinore, have the 2nd-youngest batters in the League, at 22.4 years old.
*The JetHawks have scored 840 runs, 156 more than their nearest competitor. They have the league-lead in hits by 86, doubles by 19, and are 2nd in team home runs. Their .864 OPS is 68 points higher than 2nd-place High Desert.
*They have the lowest strikeout total by 57 strikeouts (369 fewer strikeouts than league-worst Modesto). Lancaster also has the most walks in the League, by 134 (and have drawn 236 more walks than league-worst Bakersfield.)
*The pitching staff averages 22.9 years old, next-youngest in the League after High Desert at 22.6 years old.
*They have the highest ERA in the League, thanks to the elevation, but have the 4th-best K:BB ratio, at 2.68.
*Four of the top ten California League batters in OBP are Lancaster players: Nolan Fontana (5th), Joe Sclafani (6th), Brandon Meredith (9th) and MP Cokinos (10th). All have OBPs over .400.

Quad Cities

*At 67-49, the River Bandits - in their first season as an Astros affiliate - are four games behind Cedar Rapids for 1st place in the Western Division, but they have the 3rd-highest winning percentage in the League.
*Last year, under the Cardinals affiliation, the River Bandits were 68-71.
*With 493 walks, the River Bandits have the highest walk total in the League, by 31 walks. Their .338 OBP is third-best in the league.
*The pitching staff has the 4th-highest strikeout total (35 behind league-leading Great Lakes), and the 2nd-lowest walk total, at 333 - 10 walks behind Peoria for league-best.
*Their 2.9 BB/9 ratio is tied with Peoria for the lowest in the league, while the 8.1 K/9 is 3rd-best in the League.
*Carlos Correa, at 18 years old, is hitting .327/.409/.480 in a league where the average hitter is 21.3 years old. His .327 average is the 4th-best in the league, and the best among players with over 300 PAs. His .889 OPS is highest among players with more than 300 PAs.
*Correa and Teoscar Hermandez are 11th and 12th, respectively, in total bases.
*Vincent Velasquez and Lance McCullers have 123 and 115 strikeouts, respectively. This is good enough for 1st and 2nd in the Midwest League.
*Gera Sanchez, Lance McCullers, and Vincent Velasquez rank 8th-10th in K/9 ratio. Mitchell Lambson is 14th.
*In five starts (19.2IP), Mark Appel has allowed 15H/5ER, 16K:6BB for a 2.29 ERA/1.07 WHIP.
*In 83.1IP, Mike Hauschild (now at Lancaster), allowed one home run.

Tri-City

*The ValleyCats, at 31-22, have the 2nd-best record in the New York-Penn League, and are leading their division by 1.5 games.
*ValleyCat batters have 327 strikeouts, three more than league-leading Batavia. They are also tied with Vermont for the 2nd-highest number of walks. They're also scoring the 3rd-highest runs/game.
*In 462IP, the pitching staff has issued just 90 walks, best in the league, and 100 fewer walks than league-worst Auburn. Their 1.8 BB/9 is 1.2 walks less than League-Average.
*They also have the 3rd-highest strikeout total. As a team, their K:BB ratio is 4.52 - 1.43 better than 2nd-best Lowell.
*Before getting called up to Quad Cities, Dan Gulbransen was leading the league in BA (.397) and SLG (.638).
*Mike Martinez's seven HR are tied for 3rd-best in the League. Conrad Gregor's 55 hits are 6th in the league, four behind the League leader.
*Pitcher Zach Morton has allowed 17 hits and seven walks in 32.2IP for a 0.74 WHIP - 7th-best in the League, and best among pitchers who have thrown 30+ IP.
*Richard Rodriguez, Tanner Bushue, and Michael Feliz also have a WHIP under 1.00.
*Chris Cotton (21K:2BB) and Richard Rodriguez (20K:2BB) are two of the six pitchers in the league with a K:BB ratio over 10.00

Greeneville

*At 32-16, the Greeneville Astros are a game behind Bluefield for the best record in the Appalachian League, and they're leading the division by four games.
*They have already won more games than the team did in 2007-11 seasons. The 2007 Greeneville Astros won 17 of 68 games, the 2013 Astros won 13 games in a row between July 11-25.
*Their 206 walks lead the league by 27, and they have the fewest strikeouts (318) by 15.
*Staff ERA, at 2.80, is the best in the League. They have the most strikeouts, 3rd-fewest walks issued, lowest WHIP (1.14), and the best K:BB ratio, at 3.13.
*Chris Munnelly (0.84) and Frederick Tiburcio (1.26) are both in the Top 10 in League ERA. Munnelly has the League's 2nd-lowest WHIP, at 0.56.
*Chris Lee is 4th in strikeouts, with 47 in 39IP.
*Only four pitchers have thrown 10+ IP and have BB/9 rates under 1.0. Raul Rivera is one of those pitchers, walking one of the 42 batters he has faced.
*Tyler Brunnemann has the 7th-highest K/9 ratio, at 13.0, while Raul Rivera's 13.00 K:BB ratio is 2nd-best in the league.

That's far enough, I think. Of the six teams highlighted here (I didn't get into the GCL or the VSL), three have the best record in their league, two more are 2nd in the league. The Hooks have the 3rd-highest winning percentage of all minor-league teams. Five of the six teams are leading their division.

That 30-8 game from Friday night fit ESPN's narrative of "TEH ASTORS R BAD HAR HAR HAR." Too bad they didn't get some statistics before making their funny, funny little joke.