Showing posts with label Leeds United. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Leeds United. Show all posts

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Sunday Evening Hot Links

Note: Hot Links will return Tuesday morning, and go back to the morning posting schedule from that point forward until after the World Series. 

*Justin Verlander threw 5IP today, with 3H/1ER, 7K:1BB - the lone run was a homer by Jack Mayfield. Cristian Javier announced his presence with authority: 4.1IP, 6H/1ER, 3K:1BB. Cristian Javier is going to be a freaking star.

*There's an 80% chance of rain in Kansas City tomorrow (Monday) evening. If it looks like the game will get rained out, the Astros just won't go to Kansas City. If there's no game tomorrow, they won't play on Tuesday, either. Great system you've set up here, MLB.

*Pitching matchups for this weekend:
Friday: Verlander vs Marco Gonzales
Saturday: McCullers vs Taijuan Walker
Sunday: Greinke vs Yusei Kikuchi
Monday: Josh James vs Kendall Graveman

*Dusty Baker says that Roberto Osuna isn't hurt, he just came to Camp late ("through no fault of his own").

*Austin Pruitt is apparently ahead of Brad Peacock in terms of being ready for Opening Day, but neither will be ready for Opening Day.

*Brandon Bielak and Framber Valdez are trying to make the team out of Summer Training.

*Chandler Rome: No one is talking about George Springer's impending free agency.

*Dusty Baker, on John Lewis.

*Aledmys Diaz thinks Yordan will "be ready." When? Who freaking knows.

*Former Astros Great Collin McHugh is opting out of the 2020 season. Reminder that Collin McHugh did every single thing the Astros asked of him, and he is not to be slandered in any way on this web site.

*Tony Gwynn made his MLB debut on this date in 1982. Some key things to remember about Tony Gwynn:

-His lowest OPS+ in a season was 105...in his 2nd year with the Padres.
-From 1984 to 2001 Tony Gwynn hit .340/.390/.463, a 134 OPS+.
-Tony Gwynn's highest single-season strikeout total was 82, in 1987.
-Tony Gwynn had more doubles than strikeouts in 1987, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, and 2001.
-Tony Gwynn's career games with four strikeouts: 0
-Tony Gwynn's career games with three strikeouts: 1
-Tony Gwynn's career games with two strikeouts: 33
-Tony Gwynn's career games with one strikeout: 365
-Tony Gwynn's career games with zero strikeouts: 2,041
-I had the good fortune of working at the Hall of Fame in 2008 when Tony Gwynn was inducted, and I got to meet him (and Cal Ripken, Jr.). Tony Gwynn was hands-down one of the kindest, nicest people I met, and I was extremely sad when he passed away.

*Derby County 1 - Leeds United 3.

Piss off, Derby County. Last year, after an unlikely Leeds' home defeat in the playoffs to Derby County, the Frank Lampard-led team wrecked the visitors' locker room and took a dump on the floor. Today they had to form a guard of honor at their own park to welcome the f***ing champions.


How Marcelo Bielsa turned Leeds into a team of champions.

*Smithsonian Magazine: An early run-in with censors led Rod Serling to The Twilight Zone.

*A 16-minute long Musical Selection:



A bonus Musical Selection: Watch Prince absolutely destroy While My Guitar Gently Weeps:

Friday, July 17, 2020

Friday Evening Hot Links

There's another one of those inter-squad games this evening. Bench Coach Joe Espada will play right field. For real.

*Somehow Roberto Osuna hasn't thrown off a mound yet and given that it's [squints] seven days until this Sprint Season starts, that seems...not good.

*Tuesday's exhibition game against the Royals (2015 ALDS GAME 6) will be on MLB Network. Monday's will be on MLBTV.

*Chandler Rome: The bullpen is a whole bag of question marks.

Consider who the Astros won't have from the 2019 bullpen:
Collin McHugh: 74.2IP, 0.5 fWAR
Hector Rondon: 60.2IP, -0.2 fWAR
Will Harris: 60IP, 1.1 fWAR
Joe Smith: 25IP, 0.4 fWAR

That's a total of 219.2IP, and 1.8 fWAR, and that's over a 162-game season. This is obviously a 60-game season, so they don't need to replace all those innings like they would in a normal season. These four relievers pitched 1.36 innings (if I'm doing the math right, and I'm not sure, dividing 219.6667 by 162). Again with the math, in a 60-game season the Astros need to fill 81.36 innings. Not unreasonable, but probably not all that ideal, especially in a season with way fewer off-days.

*Related, a couple of interesting reliever names to keep an eye on: Bryan Shaw and Jake McGee. Both were released from the Rockies today. Shaw will be in his Age 32 season in 2020 and had a 3.13 pre-Rockies ERA / 1.23 pre-Rockies WHIP. McGee has been with the Rockies since 2016, but had a 2.77 ERA / 1.02 WHIP in parts of five seasons with the Rays before going to Colorado.

*FanGraphs has released a slew of positional power rankings: The Astros rank #1 at DH, #1 at 3B #2 at SS, #2 at 2B, #3 at CF#4 at LF, #10 at RF#17 at C, #18 at 1BCheck the SP rankings, as well.

*Also check out this FanGraphs analysis of the Astros' prospect pool.

*If you're into this sort of thing, you can take a look inside Altuve's Memorial house.

*Here's a really good piece from Former Astros Great Preston Wilson on how Baseball has lost Black America.

*Former Astros Great Joe Musgrove will be the Pirates' Opening Day starter.

*Jay Jaffe: Former Astros Great Tyler White heads to South Korea, where he'll buck a trend.

*I got my H-Town Vs. Everyone mask from Apollo today and, buddy, it's good.

*Alex Trebek once ate five pot brownies and woke up at a friend's house three days later.

*I put this at the bottom because I know a buncha y'all think English Soccer is basically Commie Shit, but with West Brom's unlikely 2-1 loss to Huddersfield (less than 20 miles from Leeds) today, Leeds United are headed to the Premier League for the first time since 2004 and I cried, sir. Here are Ten moments that mattered under Marcelo Bielsa, whose managerial skills I put right up there with A.J. Hinch. Honestly, I put today up there with November 1, 2017, sports-wise. It's the happiest I've been as a Leeds fan since (certified Leeds United fan since 1992, so shut up)...I don't know, actually. This is for Don Revie, Norman Hunter, Jack Charlton, Trevor Cherry, Billy Bremner, Gary Speed, David O'Leary, Tony Yeboah, Mark Viduka, Harry Kewell, Jonathan Woodgate, James Milner, Rio Ferdinand, Dominic Matteo, Olivier Dacourt, Robbie Fowler, Robbie Keane, Jermaine Beckford, Garry Monk (twat), but mostly for Luke Ayling, Kalvin Phillips, Pablo Hernandez, Mateusz Klich, Helder Costa, Illan Meslier, Stuart Dallas, Liam Cooper, Ben White, Gianni Alioski, Gaetano Berardi, Jack Harrison, Patrick Bamford (Bamford is good, Bamford is handsome, if I order some apps, Bamford can have some). And God bless you, Marcelo Bielsa; and God bless you, Andrea Radrizzani. Can't wait to wear out you Chelsea, Arsenal, Spurs, United, and City fans next year.



*A Musical Selection:



Another Musical Selection:



Each day is better than the next (but today is pretty good).

Friday, April 17, 2020

What happened to Leeds United?

Leeds sits in West Yorkshire, 200-ish miles north of London, 40-ish miles east of Manchester, roughly the same distance as Sugar Land to Baytown. Imagine that 20 of the best (American) football teams are all in the state of Texas, that's basically the English Premier League. The short answer for "Why am I a Leeds United fan?" is "Because my dad was a Leeds United fan." He grew up in Lubbock, became a missionary in England in the mid- to late-1970s, married my mom, had me, and we moved back to Texas when I was two. I was/am proud of my English heritage. I still have an Ocean Colour Scene hoodie I bought at a concert in Hull, UK. I have many thoughts on Blur vs. Oasis (Oasis).

Leeds United was formed in 1919, a successor to Leeds City (est. 1904) whose demise was forced due to the fact that they paid their players a weekly wage, something that was looked down upon at the time..."the time" being World War I. Leeds United began playing at Elland Road, still their home to this day, and the 14th-largest stadium in England.

Things weren't great over the next 40 years, though they did win the 2nd Division Championship in the 1923/24 season. They got relegated a couple of years later, got promoted a couple of years after that, finished 5th in 1929/30, and that was pretty much it until the 1960s. In the 1946/47 season, Leeds recorded 18 points (three points for a win, one point for a tie, zero points for a loss), the fewest number of points in a First Division season until Stoke tied it in 1984/85. It was bleak. Leeds bounced down and up over the 1950s and were relegated again during the 1959/60 season.

(So, an aside: in most professional football soccer leagues, there is relegation and promotion. If you finish in the bottom three of the Premier League, you get sent down a league to the Championship - what was then known as the Second Division. If you finish in the top two in the Championship, you are automatically promoted to the Premier League. If you finish in 3rd-6th in the Championship, you go through a few playoffs, with the winner moving up. This happens all throughout the Football Association of England and, again, most other soccer leagues).

In March 1961 Leeds United appointed Don Revie as player-manager. Revie played for 18 seasons, scoring 108 goals - four for England - his last three seasons with Leeds United, but time was catching up with him, and he transitioned to full-time manager in March 1962.

Revie shook things up at Leeds: players stayed in better hotels, Revie took an interest in everyone's lives at the club, from the cleaning staff to the players. He let his players do their own thing, but let them know that he was watching, like by telling them to dump their girlfriends if he didn't like them. Revie created detailed scouting reports, setting Leeds up to exploit their opponents' weaknesses and prepare them for their strengths. Revie was superstitious: he thought birds were bad luck, so he got rid of the owl on the club crest and changed their name from the Peacocks to the Whites. Revie developed Leeds' youth academy, bringing in future internationals Norman Hunter and Peter Lorimer. He focused on conditioning, nutrition, and team bonding.

Leeds United won the Second Division in 1963/64 to gain promotion. The following season Leeds finished second to Manchester United on goal differential and were FA Cup runners-up. Over the next ten years Leeds won the First Division twice (1968/69, 1973/74) and finished 2nd four times. They won the FA Cup (1971/72), the League Cup (1967/68), and were European Cup runners-up twice, most notably in 1975 when some Joe West-level BS refereeing saw Bayern Munich win the title.

Revie left Leeds United to manage the England national team - eight years removed from their World Cup win - in July 1974. The Leeds United board appointed Revie critic Brian Clough as the new manager. Clough had managed Derby County to the First Division championship in 1972, edging out Leeds United by one point. It was an interesting move, as Clough hated Revie and Leeds United, allegedly telling his new team "You can throw all your medals in the bin because they were not won fairly." He lasted 44 days (this is the subject of the wonderful movie The Damned United).

After consecutive League Cup semi-final appearances in 1978 and 1979, Leeds were relegated in 1982. Under manager Howard Wilkinson, Leeds won the Second Division in 1989/90 to return to the First Division and won the championship in 1991/92. The 1992/93 season was the first under the new Premier League, and Leeds were founding members. Wilkinson had brought in key players Gordon Strachan and Vinnie Jones (of whom you have likely heard). The youth academy brought in David Batty and Gary Speed. After a couple of good finishes, the board approved the purchase of John Lukic (their first £1m signing), Tony Dorigo, Eric Cantona. In 1992/93 Leeds didn't win a game on the road all year. Eric Cantona was sold to Manchester United, Leeds finished 17th, followed by two straight 5th-place finishes. More inconsistency, and Leeds fired Wilkinson in 1996/97 and brought in George Graham, who had just finished up a 12-month ban for illegally accepting payments from Arsenal.

The youth academy developed Australian Harry Kewell under Graham, and he purchased Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink. Another 5th place finish, and Graham left for Tottenham Hotspur. The board promoted assistant manager David O'Leary to the main gig for the 1998 season. O'Leary (with whom my mother is still in love) brought up Jonathan Woodgate to complement Kewell and Ian Harte, and Leeds qualified for the UEFA Cup (now known as the Europa League) with a 4th-place finish in 1998/99. The 1999/00 season was marred by an incident in which Woodgate and 1st team regular Lee Bowyer allegedly beat the absolute piss out of an Asian student in January 2000. In the UEFA Cup Semi-Final against Istanbul's Galatasaray, two Leeds fans were killed in a riot. Still, Leeds finished in 3rd place, earning a spot in the Champions League in 2000/01. Leeds made it all the way to the Champions League semi-final, losing to Valencia (this run included a 3-3 draw at Elland Road against Lazio, a game in which I was in attendance with my dad - the only Leeds United game I have ever attended. I had never before - or since - heard tens of thousands of grown adults sing "Ravanelli is a wanker, is a wanker, is a wanker" to the tune of the Hallelujah Chorus. I was in love.)

This is where things begin go sideways for Leeds United. The Champions League is an extremely lucrative tournament. Obviously finances in sports have improved over the last 20 years, but if a team were to win every single game in the Champions League, they currently stand to make over 80m Euros. Getting to the Champions League was a priority for Leeds. They spent £6m on striker Mark Viduka, £4.75 on Dominic Matteo, £18m (then an English transfer record) on Rio Ferdinand, £7m on Olivier Dacourt. Injuries hampered Leeds United early on - they lost five of seven games from November 18 - December 26. When they got healthy, Leeds went on a tear: they got points from 15 of their last 16 games. Unfortunately the one loss came at Arsenal on May 5. Manchester United ran away with the title with 80 points, then it was...

2. Arsenal - 70 points
3. Liverpool - 69 points
-
4. Leeds United - 68 points.

They missed the Champions League by one point. Manchester City, Coventry City, and Bradford City got relegated that season. Out of 18 possible points against the three relegated teams, Leeds United got 11 points, including two out of the first possible nine.

The 2001/02 season saw Leeds United spend in an effort to get back to the Champions League - they brought in Robbie Fowler and Seth Johnson for £20 million. They spent £11m on Robbie Keane. Initially it worked! Leeds lost just two games before January 1, they were top of the Premier League. Then Leeds lost to second division Cardiff in the FA Cup on January 6 that started a run of eight games without a win. Leeds finished fifth, missing out on Europe entirely by five points. Against the four teams that finished above them, Leeds got six out of a possible 24 points.

David O'Leary was fired by chairman Peter Ridsdale, with the explanation that Leeds had spent £100m and not qualified for Europe. As it turns out, Leeds - under Ridsdale's direction - had started to dig their grave, borrowing money for players against future ticket sales and TV money and banking on the return in Europe. Europe didn't happen and finances unraveled. Leeds started a fire sale: Rio Ferdinand was sold to Manchester United, Jonathan Woodgate to Newcastle. Olivier Dacourt was sold, Robbie Keane left, Robbie Fowler was sold (but Leeds still had to pay him £12,000 every two weeks for two years after he left the club. Lee Bowyer was sold to West Ham. Ridsdale stepped down in 2003 with £103m in debt, but didn't think he was to blame.

New manager Terry Venables, faced with the near-impossible task of staying in the Premier League while also watching his best players getting sold off, quit the team with eight games left and was replaced by Peter Reid. Leeds saved their season with an 88th-minute goal from Mark Viduka at Arsenal in the next-to-last game of the year. The last game saw Leeds beat Fulham to claim 15th place in the Premier League. Harry Kewell left after the season was over. One bright spot was the 1st Team debut of 16-year old James Milner, who figured in numerous positive results.

The 2003-04 season was Leeds' last season in the Premier League. While Arsenal went undefeated for the entire season, Leeds fired Peter Reid after getting eight points out of their first possible 36, and replaced him with Eddie Gray, but the loss of quality players proved too much. Leeds United won eight of 38 games and were relegated to the Championship (the former Second Division). From September 15 to February 7 Leeds lost 14 of their 20 games with just three wins and three ties, and failed to win any of their final six games.

In 2004-05, their first season outside of the Premier League or First Division since 1990, Leeds had to sell training ground Thorp Arch and Elland Road. On January 21, 2005 Leeds United was sold to Ken Bates to prevent going into Administration (British for "bankruptcy") for £10m. Leeds finished in 14th place as they continued to sell players, 10 points clear of relegation to League One (the third tier of English football).

In 2005/06, Leeds were pushing for promotion back to the Premier League. Manager Kevin Blackwell went on a strategy of attacking at home and basically just trying not to lose on the road. And he almost pulled it off! In 23 away games, Leeds won eight, tied eight, and lost seven games. At home they won 13, tied seven, and lost just three games with 35 goals for and 18 goals against. Leeds finished in 5th place despite having won just one game in their final ten games of the season. In the lower division playoffs, 3rd plays 6th, 4th plays 5th in a home-and-home. Away goals count more (if Team A wins 1-0 at home and loses 2-1 on the road, they advance despite the same number of goals because of the away goal). Leeds tied Preston North End 1-1 at home, but won 2-0 away in the second leg, and were thrashed by 3rd place Watford in the Playoff Final. Another season of the Championship awaited.

Keep in mind we're also getting into the nadir of the Houston Astros as a franchise. I love pain, apparently.

The 2006/07 was a disaster in myriad ways: they endured four 1-0 losses in their first eight games. They had four managers that season. Leeds lost 17 games of 26 games (with just six wins) by the turn of the calendar year. It was clear that Leeds were going to get relegated so chairman Ken Bates filed for bankruptcy, which carried a ten-point deduction. Bates filed Leeds for bankruptcy while they were still in the Championship, rather than waiting until they were in League One to absorb the points penalty. Leeds were down to the third division of English football, six years after being in the Champions League.

Leeds had to take another 15-point deduction at the beginning of the 2007/08 season after 75% of the rest of the Football League owners said the rules for operating under insolvency were not met by the club. This is the baseball equivalent of starting the season already down five games. They then won their first seven games of the season to wipe out that points deduction. It was the best start to a Leeds season since 1973. Leeds also won seven of their last eight games to finish in 5th place with 76 points. Without the 15-point deduction, Leeds would have finished with 91 points, good enough for automatic promotion to the Championship. Leeds appealed the points deduction, which was denied. Still, they made the League One Playoffs. Leeds lost to Carlisle 2-1 at home in the 1st Leg but won 2-0 in the 2nd Leg to reach the final...and then Leeds lost, 1-0, to Doncaster.

Things got a little better, though Gary McAlister was fired after a string of six consecutive defeats and a loss to Histon in the FA Cup, a team not even in the top four tiers of English football. His replacement, Simon Grayson, took Leeds to the League One playoff (they lost to Millwall) but Jermaine Beckford led all of England with 34 goals and the club actually turned a profit. The following season, 2009/10, saw Leeds finish 2nd in League One to return to the Championship, while they beat Manchester United at Old Trafford in the FA Cup. Grayson was the first manager to complete a full season at Leeds in four years.

Leeds finished 7th in the Championship in 2010/11, but Ken Bates purchased a majority stake in the club, setting up a future showdown in the boardroom. Grayson was fired in February 2012, Bates sold off fan favorites Jonny Howson and Max Gradel. Manager Neal Warnock had promised promotion to the Premier League, and was fired when it was clear that wasn't going to happen. Brian McDermott became the team's 8th manager in ten years. Bahrain-based GFH Capital took over Leeds United in November 2012, who then sold 75% of the team to Massimo Cellino in February 2014. Six weeks later Cellino was accused of tax evasion. Beginning on July 1, 2014, Leeds went through seven managers over the next two years. In December 2016 Cellino was banned from English football for 18 months due to the sale of Ross McCormack. In 2017 Cellino sold Leeds United to Andrea Radrizzani for £45m.

Now, Radrizzani is an Italian media guy, specializing in sports broadcasting rights worldwide. He bought back Elland Road. He cycled through two managers and missed out on the playoffs. The San Francisco 49ers became minority investors in Leeds United. Then, a coup: in June 2018 Radrizzani announced the hiring of former Argentina, Chile, and Athletic Bilbao manager Marcelo Bielsa to a £2m annual salary, the highest amount ever given to a Leeds manager. It was clear that promotion to the Premier League was the goal.

2018/19 was Bielsa's first as Leeds manager, and is well-documented in the Amazon series Take Us Home. Leeds opened the 2018/19 season with just one loss in its first 12 matches. After seven straight wins leading through Christmas Day, Leeds had a rough run of matches from December 29-February 2 in which they lost four of six games. 18 of the 46 matchday weekends saw Leeds in 1st place. They were in 2nd place, an automatic promotion spot, as late as the 42nd game of the season (there are 46 games in the Championship) then...disaster.

Leeds lost to 10-man Wigan Athletic despite an early 1-0 lead, 2-1, on April 19 to drop them to 3rd place and into the playoff spots. A 2-0 loss at Brentford on April 22, a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa (blowing a 1-0 lead after 72 minutes) on April 28, and a 90th-minute goal by Ipswich Town in the last game of the season for a 3-2 defeat. Leeds were going to the Playoff instead of the automatic promotion that just a few weeks earlier seemed so sure.

In the Playoff Semi-Final's 1st Leg, Leeds beat Frank Lampard's Derby County 1-0. No team had ever won the 1st Leg on the road and failed to advance. Leeds lost 4-2 at home in the 2nd Leg to lose on aggregate 4-3. The season was lost, Leeds would spend another season in the Championship.

Enter the 2019/20 season. Bielsa re-upped for another season. Leeds lost four of their first 24 games of the season. Four losses in five games from January 11-February 8 dropped them to 2nd place, then five straight wins from February 15-March 7 saw them outscore their opponents 9-0, the last win, a 2-0 win over Huddersfield, pushed them one point in front of West Bromwich Albion for the overall lead in the Championship. And then...COVID-19.

We don't know when/if English soccer, or any sport, really, will resume. There are nine games remaining in the fixture list, and Leeds have a seven-point cushion between them and 3rd place. OF COURSE this is how Leeds' push for their first season in the Premier League since 2004.

There are numerous comparisons between the Houston Astros and Leeds United: Drayton giving up high draft picks to sign Carlos Lee and Woody Williams is like betting on a return to the Europe. Leeds simply needing to win at home in the playoff against Derby County and something something 2019 World Series. Their steepest declines happened in precisely the same time frame. This is what I do for fun, apparently.

Sunday, March 1, 2020

Sunday Morning Hot Links

Sorry for the no Hot Links yesterday, sort of. I did a Simulated Hot Links instead. It went well, felt good. The Astros lost 2-1 to the Fightin' Tebows. Framber threw 2.2IP, 2H/0ER, 4K:2BB. Both Mets runs came in the 9th off of Ralph Garza. Taylor Jones was 2x2 with a triple. Springer had a hit. Myles Straw was 0x3 but with two walks. Kyle Tucker has started Spring Training 2020 with an 0x12, 1K:1BB line.

*Lance McCullers makes his 2020 debut today. It has been 502 days since he last appeared in an Astros game. Dusty:
The main thing is we've got to calm him down. He'll probably be begging or lobby for more than one [inning].

Dusty knows. Also in that link, we find that Dusty told Framber to channel Fernando Valenzuela when he gets into a jam. It's crazy to think that Dusty Baker and Fernando Valenzuela were teammates. I love A.J. Hinch, but I love Dusty Baker, too.

*Substitute Teacher Cy Sneed is a key for the Astros. Sneed, on Houston:
I tell everybody it's a heck of a lot better than sitting in Triple-A all year. We got to know the road between Houston and Round Rock pretty well.

*Brian McTaggart has an inbox. Tags has no chill. Peep his opener:
The Astros aren't sad. They're not getting hit by pitches on purpose in Spring Training. And I have no idea when, or if, they are going to extend George Springer. 

Read it to find out about Bryan Abreu's role, Myles Straw, Garrett Stubbs, Josh James, and Lance McCullers.

*Zack Greinke is getting more comfortable with the Astros.

*Josh James is preparing like a starter.

*Collin McHugh has been cleared to throw, and the Astros need to sign him ASAP. There is no reason not to, and the Astros are stupid if they don't. There are plenty of teams with pitching questions, and the Astros are one of them, and it makes zero sense to let one of the smartest pitchers in baseball answer those questions for a different team.

Sign-Stealing Stuff

*The NY Post quoted Karl Ravech, regarding a meeting between Former Yankees Managerial Great Joe Torre and the 2018 Astros and Red Sox, prior to the ALCS:
Torre basically said to the teams, both of them and those people and anyone else in the room, look, if you're inclined or have gotten away with or are doing anything that would violate the rules that you all are aware of of, you're gonna have to understand at some point, there's going to be a player, or players or a front office person that's going to leave your team, go to another team and basically rat you guys out. Basically tell the dirty secrets.

*Chandler Rome: Dusty Baker's mission is to guide the Astros through this freaking mess. Dusty:
Hopefully one time through, maybe it will be over. How long can people talk about the same things? Behind this whole thing, you kind of see a mean spirit a little bit. I'm hoping we all change our spirit.

GUESS WHAT. THEY WON'T.

This society feeds off of hate now. Don't get me wrong, the Astros deserve some to a lot of whatever is coming, but the self-righteous indignation is going to get old. I actually kind of can't wait for it.

Dusty:
I was booed in (LA) every day my first year there. I was booed in Chicago my last couple months there. That was tough. But, hey, I survived it. I'm still here. There's some people in Chicago, when I go back there and talk to people, now they're all like, 'Oh, we love you,' and I'm like, 'Wait, not all of you.'

*Tom Verducci: Baseball's fight to regain its soul.

This is porn, to Jon Heyman. Also, the "1st game Astros play in NY" in 2020 is September 21. Yankees fans can't keep up the bodega cocaine habit until September 21.

Other Stuff

*No, MLB players can't inject have pot.

*19-year old goalkeeper Illan Messier led Leeds United to a 4-0 win over Hull City after the regular GK Kiko Casilla was banned for eight games for being a racist piece of crap. Leeds have a 5-point lead on Fulham for the 2nd automatic promotion spot, and FiveThirtyEight has Leeds at a 64% chance of winning the Championship and a 96% chance of getting promoted to the Premier League.

*The Strange Case of the Man With No Name. Good luck with this.

*Texas Monthly: The Desk on Hancock Hill.

*A Musical Selection:


Saturday, April 20, 2019

Saturday Morning Hot Links

*The Astros took care of the Rangers pretty much by the middle of the 1st inning after back-to-back home runs by Altuve and Bregman - on consecutive pitches - gave the Astros a 3-0 lead before they even recorded an out. Astros won 7-2. They are 11-1 in their last 12 games and 5-1 in their last six road games. They are 13-6 overall, a half-game behind Tampa for the best record in the American League.

*Houston had five doubles and two home runs (which should have been four doubles and five home runs, but Replay happened to rule a Springer home run a double). It's the 4th time this season they've had 6+ XBH and the most since April 12, when they had four doubles and three home runs against the Mariners. The Astros are 23-0 in games with 5+ doubles since the beginning of the 2017 season. The last time they lost a game in which they hit 5+ doubles was April 19, 2016 (check the date)...at Arlington.

*The Astros set a team record for average exit velocity in a game. Hinch:
We had a pretty good game plan going in and I like it when we execute it as a team. We had a pretty good idea of what Smyly was going to do against us based on how he pitches....When we have a team offense like that, it's contagious and guys get into it.

*Houston scored seven runs for Justin Verlander, a season-high, and matching the total runs scored in his last two starts combined.

*Alex Bregman struck out twice for the 2nd time this season.

*Tyler White continued to struggle with runners in scoring position, going 0x2 with two strikeouts. The strikeout in the top of the 3rd saw White walk back to the dugout after getting ahead in the count 3-0. He's 0x10 with 7K:0BB w/RISP in 2019 so far.

Check this Chandler Rome article on White's struggle with fastballs. Hinch:
He hasn't handled the fastball. He hasn't put fastballs in play like he normally does. He's getting pitched a little bit differently and he's going to have to adjust to that. It is a small sample. It's early in the season.

*Yuli Gurriel drew two walks, the 6th 2+ BB game of his career and the first since August 29, 2018. He had drawn two walks in his previous 45 PAs combined. So Gurriel is at 8K:7BB for the season. He drew his 7th walk on June 1, 2018 in his 185th PA of 2018. His 7th walk of 2019 came on his 73rd PA.

*Justin Verlander threw his best start of the season: 7IP, 3H/1ER, 8K:3BB over 101 pitches, 71 for strikes. 23 of those strikes were looking, a season-high. Verlander also only got one groundball out, something that has only happened two other times while he's been an Astro: a September 22, 2018 against Anaheim, and September 27, 2017 against Arlington. All three instances have resulted in wins. Verlander:
Boys did a great job tonight. Putting up runs early and often is a great recipe for success. Once we got a big lead, I just kind of pulled back a little bit trying to go in energy (conservation) mode, just hit some spots and try to get deep in the game.

Verlander's Pitch Count, by inning, last night:
1st: 21
2nd: 12
3rd: 17
4th: 13
5th: 11
6th: 16
7th: 17

Verlander's last two starts: 13IP, 5H/2ER, 19K:3BB. Verlander has thrown 7+ IP in 16 of his 44 starts as an Astro.

*Michael Brantley went 1x4 with a walk and some very hard-hit balls. Check this Jake Kaplan article on what "Uncle Mike" has meant to the Astros.

*Ken Rosenthal wonders if the Astros need another starter, if they intend to be the last team standing in October.

*Brian McTaggart says that Brad Peacock is the Astros' secret weapon.

*Shoutout to Lima Time Time sponsor Bravado Spice, who signed a deal to get into every World Market in America.

*The New York Daily News' Bradford William Davis brought the noise: MLB honors Tim Anderson the way it honored Jackie Robinson: By telling him to shut up.

*Oakland's Khris Davis went 0x4 last night in a 5-1 Oakland loss to Toronto. But the most beautiful thing about it is that it lowered his average to .247.

*Mariners pitcher Rob Whalen recently retired from baseball due to anxiety, and he's not happy with how the Mariners handled it.

*Leeds United did the Leedsiest Thing they ever could have done. They Leeds'd so hard. After Sheffield United won 2-0 against 10-men Nottingham Forest to draw even in the table, Leeds United lost 2-1 against 10-men 20th-place Wigan Athletic, and are now 3rd in the Championship with two games to play. Manager Marcelo Bielsa:
I am sad at this defeat, but I am very motivated. We have had a good season, but it will mean nothing if we do not get promoted.

Leeds are currently six goals back in the Goal Differential tie-breaker, so they need a Sheffield Slip-Up in order to avoid the playoff. I am heartbroken.

*It didn't get any better when Elsik lost to Flower Mound, 3-2, in the 6A Boys Soccer State Semifinal. Flower Mound scored all three goals in four minutes.

*A Musical Selection:



The Hot Links Music Playlist on Spotify is now up to 92 songs and almost six hours of listening pleasure...provided you like the same kind of music I like.

Saturday, April 22, 2017

What to do when your favorite teams are too much alike

I like Leeds United. Many of you are soccer fans, and this will elicit one of two responses:

1) "Who?" and
2) "God, I'm sorry."

Both responses are equally understandable. More on that in a minute.

Many of you are passionately not soccer fans. You prefer Concussionball. You don't understand why if a ball is bouncing along the ground, the players don't just fall on it. You hate the game most of the rest of the world plays as fervently as you hate ice dancing, or the way you hate the way your urine smells after you've eaten asparagus. I don't really understand that stance, but I can at least agree that you are certainly entitled to said opinion and we can still be friends. I will point out that watching European soccer passes the time from the end of the World Series to Spring Training, and games for the most part are on Saturday and Sunday mornings. You don't have to wait until 7:10pm for sporting drama.

But let me try to explain how painful it is when the two teams you love (in my case, the Astros and Leeds United) are very similar, and allow me to just sort of process what has happened to the latter over the past six weeks. Because if you love the Astros and hate soccer but love drama and the tragic combination of ambition and failure, I may have just the team for you. Just let this be a counseling session. Or you can head over to FanGraphs and look at the Playoff Odds and let me do my thing. Hot Links will post in the morning. 

Leeds United have been around since 1919. Their glory years really lay in the 1960s and early 1970s under the leadership of legendary manager Don Revie (foil of the great movie The Damned United, a movie that I have tried to watch with my wife so many times she actively hates it. It's a great movie.) and captain Billy Bremner. Bremner and another England great, Kevin Keegan, were kicked out of a charity match for fighting. The story of Revie's replacement, Brian Clough, is told in the movie, and I don't want to spoil it for you. Under Revie, however, Leeds United won two championships, two cup titles, and a European Cup Winners' Cup runner-up. 

Following soccer means you know about promotion and relegation. If you finish in the bottom three of, say, the Premier League, you are relegated to the next level down, the Championship. The top two teams from the Championship get automatic promotion and then 3rd-6th places fight it out over a two-leg playoff for the 3rd promotion spot. The same is also true of the bottom three in the Championship and the top three of League One, and so on with League Two. There are Non-League teams that are fighting to get into League Two. There is such a team in the town where I was born that is a Non-League team and I have a soft spot for them, but they haven't given and taken away from me as much as Leeds United. 

I inherited Leeds United. My dad went to school in England and was a student-missionary, this was just after Revie left Leeds, so they were still good, an exciting-ish team to watch. So as I grew up and, being born in England, liking soccer was something that connected me to my American dad, British mom, and overly-British grandparents. 

1997 was a big year for me. I was 17 in the spring, going into my senior year of high school in the fall (Sam Rayburn where you at!). I hid my social semi-awkwardness by embracing England and BritPop (something I still do. The Wife and I celebrate Dependence Day on July 3, in which we honor the last day of the Colonies' dependence on England. I was also an American History major, and I currently teach AP US History, so I'm just a ball of contradictions). I wore soccer jerseys to school. 

In Spring 1997 I got to go to England - by myself! - and visit my aunt/uncle/cousin and grandparents. It was amazing. My aunt sent me cds on a regular basis. U2 was my favorite band (they still are, but more as a monarchy role - a figure-head position, as there are other bands I listen to with much more fandom nowadays) - and in March, U2 released Pop (maybe my favorite U2 album). 94.5 The Buzz (I think it was The Buzz) played Pop in its entirety the night before its release. I recorded it on a boombox. A couple of months later Radiohead released OK Computer, an album still in my Top 5 of all-time. In August Oasis released Be Here Now, an album so ridiculously bombastic that it's impossible not to love, unless you don't like Oasis, in which case it's one of the worst things you've ever heard. The Verve released Urban Hymns in September. In November I attended my first concert - U2 at The Astrodome. Smashmouth opened, which sucked, especially because the previous show in San Antonio was opened by Rage Against The Machine. 

1997 was also a big year for Leeds United. That was the season they qualified for the UEFA Cup - the forerunner of the Champions League. Manager George Graham jumped to Tottenham, and Leeds promoted assistant manager David O'Leary to the head spot. Under O'Leary, Leeds never finished outside the top five in the Premier League. It wasn't all sunshine and rainbows, however. Lee Bowyer ("He's here! He's there! He wears no underwear, he's Lee Bowyer!" went a chant I once sang at the top of my lungs) and Jonathan Woodgate were charged with assaulting and severely injuring a college student. In the UEFA Cup semi-final in Istanbul, two Leeds fans were stabbed to death. 

I went to college, Leeds were good. Real good. If you've ever played Football Manager, or Football Chairman on iPhone, making it to the Champions League is a lucrative event. You make a lot, *a lot* of money from TV distribution, ticket sales, sponsorship, merchandise, etc. So once Leeds tasted that glory in 1998, they were desperate to retain it. Chairman Peter Ridsdale borrowed £60 million against future income to allow O'Leary to buy the players necessary to make it back to the UEFA Cup/Champions League year after year. They didn't. Mortgaging the future to buy the present...ring any bells? (*Cough* DRAYTON *Cough*). Debts mounted.

But they still kept winning. Though they missed the Champions League in 1999 and 2000, they made it back in the 2000/2001 season. That was my junior year of college. I had been betting on college basketball and doing really well, so my dad and I went to England for Spring Break 2001 to see how many soccer games we could attend in ten days. We saw the Non-League team in the town where I was born. We saw an FA Cup game (Blackburn Rovers v. Bolton Wanderers). We saw Leeds take on Lazio in the Champions League at Elland Road after eating fish & chips at the base of the statue of Billy Bremner. I sang "Ravanelli is a wanker" to the tune of the Hallelujah Chorus. It was great. 

In the 2001/2002 season - my senior year of college, when "showing soccer games on TV" was sort of a thing - Leeds made the UEFA Cup semi-finals. Leeds drew 0-0 in the first leg against the Dutch team PSV Eindhoven on the road. And for the last time the core of Mark Viduka, Harry Kewell, Lee Bowyer, Ian Harte, and Rio Ferdinand took the field in a European competition. I skipped class to watch the 2nd leg. With 51 seconds left at Elland Road the improbably-and-medievally-named Vennegoor of Hesselink headed a cross over the line. That was it. 

Rio Ferdinand was sold to Manchester United that summer for the equivalent of $30m. That was the beginning of the end. David O'Leary and Peter Ridsdale fell out over his sale (think Gerry Hunsicker's resignation), and O'Leary was fired. That was Pt2 of the end. Leeds were relegated at the end of the 2003-2004 season. In 2007, unable to pay their debts, Leeds was forced into administration and put in the third tier of professional football. Five years had passed since their UEFA Cup loss to PSV. In 2011 the owner - Ken Bates [spits on ground] called the fans "morons."

In 2014 Massimo Cellino, who was president of Italian Serie A club Cagliari Calcio, launched a successful takeover bid. He was problematic. In an interview with the Yorkshire Evening Post's Phil Hay (a hero), he said that Leeds fans were:
...tired of eating shit and shutting their mouths. They accept me with enthusiasm and that gives me a lot of responsibility. I'm the richest man in the world with these fans and I can challenge anyone, everyone.

Seven months after being approved as owner, Cellino was found guilty of tax evasion. Under his reign here is the duration of the following managers:
Brian McDermott: 52 days
Dave Hockaday: 70 days
Darko Milanic: 32 days
Neil Redfearn: 200 days
Uwe Rosler: 152 days
Steve Evans: 226 days

That's six managers in 728 days, less than two years. Garry Monk was appointed manager on June 2, 2016. Ho-hum, right? After 15 years of relegation and ownership changes and managerial chaos, what could you possibly expect? But Leeds came out hot. 

Leeds United started the 2016-2017 season with one win, four losses, and a tie. Same old same old. Marching On Together, All Leeds Aren't We and whatnot. Then three straight wins. Then some mixed results. Then in December marked the beginning of a run in which Leeds won six games, drew one. January marks the transfer window, in which you can buy and sell players - think of it like the trade deadline but without swapping players, just buying and selling players like meat. Cellino did nothing, and at first glance it was excusable - why mess with something that was clearly working? Think, Trade Deadline 2016.

Brighton & Hove Albion and newly-relegated Newcastle (managed by Rafa Benitez) were almost locks for automatic promotion, but Leeds were firmly entrenched in the playoff spots. On Saturday, 18 March Leeds beat Championship leaders Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0. Convincing. Destined for at least the playoff if not automatic promotion with a break here and there. Then the international break - when national teams play World Cup Qualifiers and friendly matches - happened, and Leeds didn't play another league game for two weeks. Players in the Championship rarely get called up to international squads, but defensive leader Pontus Jansson got called up to Sweden's national team. 

Think of this two-week break like it's Leeds' very own Hurricane Ike, without the natural disaster, devastation, and general awfulness so awful that it's wrong to make the comparison. Still, Leeds lost their first two games after the international break, won one, then tied 2nd-place Newcastle. Not bad, yeah? A handful of games to go, and Leeds are sitting firmly entrenched in the playoff to return to the top flight. Nope. Leeds lost to now-15th place Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 at home to slip out of the playoff spots. Three games left and they need at least six, probably seven, ideally nine points out of those games. 

Today comes. A road game against Burton Albion, a team that will be lucky to stay in the Championship. No problem for a team looking to return to the Premier League, right? Nope. 2-1 loss in a must-win game.

This is 2003-era Astros right here. Remember that year? The Astros needed to take, ideally, three out of four against the last-place Brewers to make the playoffs? The Astros won the first game of the series, 6-1, thanks to Tim Redding, to tie the division up with the Cubs. In the 2nd game - Friday - Jeriome Robertson laid an egg and the Astros lost 12-5 to fall a half-game behind the Cubs. In the 3rd game, Saturday, a game I attended with my wife of two months, Ron Villone somehow started and gave up 5ER in a 5-2 loss. Milwaukee's Wes Obermueller threw 8IP, 10H/2ER, 2K:0BB to lower his season ERA to 5.07. Obermueller, with a career -0.9 bWAR, only threw one game in his career better than that one: On September 25, 2004 he threw a complete game shutout...against the Astros. The 2003 Astros missed the playoffs.

Is that the same as a 15-year long journey back to respectability? Hell and no it's not. The 2003 Astros enjoyed greater heights the following year, and even greater heights the year after that. But, like Leeds United, the high-water mark was the beginning of a very long struggle. Ownership changes, management changes, years of struggle (thank God there's no relegation in baseball), trying to delude yourself into being a contender, then struggling to contend. I do not believe that the 2017 Astros will follow the path of 2016-2017 Leeds United. But the two teams are linked in my mind.

I teach history, and what lessons do I have to learn next? 

If you're unaffiliated with an English soccer team, join me as we March On Together. All Leeds (Astros) Aren't We?