Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Tuesday Morning Hot Links

The Astros were off last night, so they didn't win. Today is the 116th day of the 2018 season - out of 139 calendar days - that the Astros have been in 1st place in the division. Combine that total with the 178 days the Astros were in 1st place in the AL West in 2017 - out of 182 calendar days in the regular season, and the Astros have been in 1st in 294 out of 317 regular season days (92.7%) since the beginning of 2017. The Astros will play 43 games in the next 48 days. There are five off-days remaining in the regular season (Full Disclosure: I really messed up the "math" of counting the last time I did this.)

*After 119 games, the 2018 Astros are 73-46. After 119 games, the 2017 Astros were 73-46. The difference is their competition.

2018 AL West after the Astros' 119th game:

Houston: 73-46
Oakland: 71-48 (2.0 GB)
Seattle: 69-51 (4.5 GB)
Anaheim: 60-60 (13.5 GB)
Arlington: 53-68 (21 GB)

2017 AL West after the Astros' 119th game:

Houston: 73-46
Anaheim: 61-59 (12.5 GB)
Seattle: 60-61 (14 GB)
Arlington: 58-60 (14.5 GB)
Oakland: 53-67 (20.5 GB)

Off-Day Playoff Odds

FanGraphs (100-62): 93.1% to win division, 99.4% to make playoffs. 22.5% to win World Series
FiveThirtyEight (99-63): 77% to win division, 97% to make playoffs. 16% to win World Series
Baseball Prospectus (99-63): 86.6% to win division,  98.7% to make playoffs, 15.6% to win World Series.

*Kyle Tucker needs one more minor-league Prospect Team of the Week appearance to break the MLB.com career record, a record I bet he doesn't actually want to break.

*Coupla Inboxes for your reading pleasure:
-Jake Kaplan in The Athletic
-Brian McTaggart at Astros dot cawm.

*And here's Jake Kaplan on what the weekend sweep by the Mariners means. Hinch:
It's a bad weekend. It feels like a really bad weekend. Which is all it is. We get a day off (yesterday). We come back for a new series (today). We see these guys over in Seattle in about a week. We'll be fine. This is not something we can't overcome. This is four games that was a bad weekend.

Via Jake: The Astros' 8-game home losing streak is tied for the longest home losing streak in their last 50 years. I love the Astros, and will fight someone to the death over them, but they are stupid at home and I need them to stop. Rangers fans, who have long given up on this season and the next, are walking around a little too happy for my taste. And I want to cram my socks - which are covered in puppy excrement because Bob Rogers (the puppy, as named by our 6-year old) can't figure out this whole "outside" thing - down their throats.

*Forrest Whitley returns from the DL tonight for Corpus. He's made six starts this season, throwing 21IP, 14H/10ER, 30K:8BB. But a lot of damage was done on June 24, when he allowed 5H/7ER, 6K:3BB in 4.1IP against Frisco. Take that start out, which you obviously can't do, and he's thrown 16.2IP, 9H/3ER, 24K:5BB.

*Yahoo's Tim Brown: Yeah, the A's are for real.

*Kenley Jansen may need a second heart surgery.

*When Dee Gordon was seven years old his mother was murdered by her boyfriend. He carries it with him to this day.

*Cleveland's Leonys Martin had a life-threatening bacterial infection.

*If you are upset that David Bote bat-flipped after a DOWN-BY-THREE TWO-OUT WALK-OFF GRAND SLAM then you need to go cover the PGA Seniors Tour and never waste my time again.

*How Jeets plans to build a winner in Miami.

*How did the Horizon Air baggage handler Sea-Tac hijacker guy learn to fly in the first place? Video Games.

*A mathematician made a bunch of word clouds to solve a 50-year old Beatles mystery.

*I never really had a favorite college basketball team before 2006. I love watching March Madness. I like watching Big Monday, especially when they show 7-foot tall dudes shiver as they get off the bus in Madison, Wisconsin in January. When I moved to Cooperstown, Syracuse was the only thing going in the winter, so I adopted them. Now I have a greater respect for Current Roggits Great Carmelo Anthony, and for this:

*Never miss an opportunity to punch a Fascist in the face.


Craig Harmann said...

While no, the Astros didn’t win.....the flip side is....THEY DIDN’T LOSE!!!

Chas R said...

The big difference between the 2018 and 2017 teams is of course their play at home and in 1 run games. The 2017 team was much better in those two categories. Those two glitches combined with the resurgence of the Ms and As is concerning and is going to make the rest of the season tight and interesting.

Unknown said...

...or a liberal