Monday, May 12, 2014

The Week That Was: May 5-11

That was a frustrating week, no? The Astros go 2-5 on the week and are now 12-26 - still two games better than the 2013 Astros. Let's get to the results...

May 5: 0-2 loss at Detroit

May 6: 4-11 loss at Detroit
May 7: 2-3 loss at Detroit
May 8: 6-2 win at Detroit

May 9: 3-4 loss at Baltimore

May 10: 4-5 loss at Baltimore
May 11: 5-2 win at Baltimore

FanGraphs has reduced the Astros' playoff probability to 0.0% (Shocking, I know) but are still projecting the Astros to go 64-98 on the season. Seeing as how the Astros are winning at a .316 clip 38 games into the season, FanGraphs thinks they'll win out at a .423 clip

So the Astros get outscored 24-29 to increase their run differential to -60 for the season - 29th in MLB (Arizona's run differential is -63). Of course the narrow margin has to do with more one-run losses. The Astros are 3-9 in one-run games - that's the most one-run losses in the AL, tied with the Mets and Pirates for 2nd in MLB, and only trailing the Reds, who are 6-11 in one-run games.

Perhaps the most frustrating loss of the week was May 10, when the Orioles scored runs in the 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, and 10th innings after Collin McHugh had allowed just two runs in 6.1IP. Josh Zeid, Anthony Bass, and Paul Clemens all decided that winning was too much fun, and gave up runs - with Clemens taking the loss in the 10th, the fourth walk-off loss for the Astros this season.

But hey, those two wins were fun. George Springer got his first two homers of the season. His first career homer traveled 407 feet, and had the third-highest speed off the bat at 111.2mph. Matt Dominguez has the two fastest homers on the team. Speaking of Dominguez, he hit the longest Astros homer of the season in the May 8 win at Detroit - at 443 feet. The Astros have hit at least one home run in four straight games. When they hit a home run, they're 11-11. When they hit 2+ homers in a game, they're 9-3.

On May 8, the Astros only struck out three times which was the fewest Ks in a game since April 13 (one of those 1-0 losses to the Rangers). On the pitching side, Astros pitchers struck out eight Orioles in Sunday's game - highest in a game since striking out 11 Mariners on May 2.

The Week in Hitting: .235/.297/.376, 54K:20BB. Ten GIDPs, 8x11 in Stolen Base Attempts. 41 LOBsters.

(Min. 10 PAs)
Krauss.333/.529/.7503K:5BB
Hoes.500/.500/.5000K:1BB
Springer.286/.310/.57113K:1BB
Dominguez.321/.321/.5003K:0BB
Altuve.286/.333/.3932K:2BB
Fowler.250/.400/.2923K:6BB
Corporan.100/.182/.4001K:1BB
Carter.136/.208/.2736K:1BB
Castro.182/.182/.31810K:0BB
Presley.125/.176/.1882K:1BB
Villar.136/.136/.1367K:0BB
Guzman.100/.182/.1002K:1BB

Hitter of the Week: I mean, Marc Krauss was lights out this week, but Springer did hit his first two homers. Toss-up.

The Week in Pitching: 59.1IP, 65H/28ER, 42K:13BB. 4.25 ERA/1.31 WHIP.

Starters

Cosart13IP12H/2ER, 6K:5BB
Keuchel7.2IP6H/2ER, 7K:0BB
Peacock6.2IP4H/3ER, 4K:4BB
McHugh6.1IP7H/2ER, 4K:2BB
Feldman6IP5H/2ER, 6K:0BB
Oberholtzer6IP9H/4ER, 4K:1BB

Bullpen

Qualls3IP2H/0ER, 1K:0BB
Sipp2.1IP0H/0ER, 5K:0BB
Bass2.1IP5H/2ER, 0K:1BB
Williams2IP3H/2ER, 1K:0BB
Zeid1.2IP1H/1ER, 2K:1BB
Cisnero1IP3H/2ER, 0K:0BB
Fields0.2IP6H/5ER, 2K:0BB
Downs0.1IP0H/0ER, 0K:0BB
Clemens0.1IP2H/1ER, 0K:0BB

Pitcher of the Week: Jarred Cosart, come on down.

Notable:

*Last week Astros starters threw 45.2IP, and allowed 43H/15ER, 31K:12BB. The Bullpen, however, threw 13.1IP, and gave up 22H/13ER, 11K:2BB.
*Tony Sipp has thrown 4IP for the Astros and has not allowed a baserunner. He has also struck out seven of the 12 batters he has faced. Baseball-Reference says Sipp's FIP is actually -0.41.
*Chad Qualls has now thrown eight consecutive appearances without allowing an earned run.
*Since getting shelled against Oakland, Jarred Cosart has thrown four consecutive Quality Starts - 25.2IP, 21H/6ER, 16K:10BB.
*Dallas Keuchel has thrown a Quality Start in five of his seven games (Astros are 4-3 when Keuchel starts). His May 8 start against Detroit was his first walk-less start since July 13, 2013 - a span of 19 starts.
*Three of Marc Krauss' four hits this week were for extra-bases.
*Dexter Fowler has back-to-back 2BB games for the first time since May 27-28, 2013.

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