Showing posts with label Roberto Osuna. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Roberto Osuna. Show all posts

Sunday, November 1, 2020

Sunday Morning Hot Links

Let's pick this Blog thing back up, huh?

*Last week I wrote in the Chronicle about how the Astros could possibly hold on to both George Springer and Carlos Correa. One step was to non-tender Roberto Osuna, which happened on Thursday, and Osuna will depart with a complicated legacy.

On one hand, Osuna was reportedly nothing but a model teammate and citizen in his time as an Astro. He did not ask to be traded to Houston. However, the Astros did trade for Roberto Osuna, knowing that his value was depressed due to a 75-game suspension for domestic violence. In one trade, the Astros burned up a lot of goodwill, and it directly led to the Brandon Taubman "I'm so f***ing glad we got Osuna" outburst which, when combined with the Mike Fiers story, was the impetus for the hammer absolutely being brought down on the organization. He posted a 2.45 ERA / 0.87 WHIP and saved 51 games in 2+ seasons with the Astros. His ERA is the 10th-lowest in franchise history among relievers who threw at least 90IP. I'm not sad he's gone.

*George Springer is #2 on FanGraphs' Top 50 Free Agents list. While I do think the Astros will make a competitive run at Springer, I still remain unconvinced that he doesn't want to be closer to home (Connecticut). I'm mentally preparing myself for Springer hitting bombs over the Green Monster for the next six years, which means that the Astros better have Correa's agent on the phone figuring out a long-term extension. Michael Brantley is 12th. 

*The Astros cleared five spots on their 40-Man Roster, and here are Jake Kaplan's intriguing picks to protect from the Rule 5 Draft.

*AJ Hinch was such a toxic personality in the wake of the sign-stealing scheme that the Detroit Tigers waited an entire 30 minutes after 2020 World Series Game 6 ended to give him a call, and he has signed a multi-year deal to manage the Tigers. The Astros will play the Tigers at Minute Maid Park - presuming the world hasn't gone all the way to hell by then - from April 12-14, 2021.

And in another show of just How Seriously MLB is Taking The Punishments Of Those Involved, the Red Sox have reached out to Alex Cora about their managerial vacancy.

The How We Got Here post has been updated.

*The Astros cut some front office staff, which included Friend of Astros County Kevin Goldstein, and I'm very Mad about it. Jiminy Clicket isn't off to a great start, with me.

*Pocket: Blood-curdling stories of hauntings, monsters, and real-life horrors.

*Vox: Who the Electoral College really benefits.

*McSweeney's: An open letter to the woman who was questioned by a police officer for merely sitting in her car in a Target parking lot after midnight taking a break from her family.

*A Musical Selection:

Friday, October 2, 2020

Friday Morning Hot Links

The White Sox and A's had themselves a bullpen game to determine who would face the Astros. The Coward Mike Fiers threw 39 pitches in 1.2IP, allowing 5H/1ER to start it off. Ultimately, the A's string of eight pitchers was slightly better than the White Sox' string of nine pitchers, and the A's won the game 6-4, and the series 2-1. It was Oakland's first playoff series win since the 2006 ALDS. Game 1 is Monday vs Oakland at Dodger Stadium.

*FanGraphs currently has the Houston/Oakland ALDS at 56.5-43.5 Houston.

*FiveThirtyEight has it 53-47 Houston and I'll just cross my leg over my other leg and let you tell me the last time FiveThirtyEight had an outcome wrong in October of an election year. 

*McTaggart: The heated Astros/A's rivalry hits the postseason. Reddick:

We have to grind it out and get our butts in gear. Playing a team in your division is going to give you an upper hand recognizing and knowing how...[bullpen] guys are going to pitch you, and starters, because they've faced you before.

Oakland's Liam Hendriks:

I think there's a little bit of us wanting to make sure they know what they've done and we can prove it to them that they weren't the top team in the AL West. But we also don't want to be petty and let our emotions get the best of us.

Houston was 3-7 against Oakland in the "regular" "season," with Oakland outscoring the Astros 38-35. Five of those losses were within two runs, as were all three of Houston's wins. The Astros took both ends of a double-header on August 29 before COVID forced the rescheduling of the third game on August 30. 

*Chandler Rome: A Best-of-Five-in-Five-Days series is going to require some careful pitching management, but Dusty deserves some credit for how he's deployed the pitching staff this season.

*SI's Stephanie Apstein: Will riding the bullpen help the A's against the Astros?

*ESPN: Looking for some playoff spice? Astros/A's could be for you.

*Justin Verlander had Rob Manfred Tommy John Surgery on Wednesday, and his timetable to return is 12-14 months which [takes off socks] is somewhere between October-December 2021. So unless he signs an extension, his time in Houston is over. 

*Roberto Osuna is happy for his teammates:

I'm very proud of these guys. It's been a tough year for them and I'm so happy for them to go to Minnesota, sweep them and move on to the next round.

Osuna said Tommy John surgery was recommended, but a second opinion said otherwise. Osuna:

I started playing catch about three weeks ago and I've been feeling much better. So at this point right now, we don't believe we're going to need surgery, which is good. Hopefully, it stays this way and continues to get better and better.

Ahhh the old Verlander recovery plan. Worked out well for him, too. 

*In two games (22 Innings) against the Braves, the Reds' "offense" scored exactly zero runs on 13 hits. The Reds were 1x15 with runners in scoring position in two games.

*A reporter for NFL Network tweeted the following yesterday:

A bus driver who drove the Tennessee Titans last weekend in Minnesota also drove MLB's Houston Astros on their trip for a playoff series this week against the Twins, per sources. After the Titans' COVID-19 outbreak surfaced, the Astros removed the driver.

*Human Delight Fernando Tatis, Jr. hit two home runs, becoming the third youngest player to hit multiple homers in a game, behind Carlos Correa and Andruw Jones.

*The untold story of the 2018 Olympics cyberattack, the most deceptive hack in history.

*Psyche: How to wait well.

*A Musical Selection:

Wednesday, August 5, 2020

Wednesday Morning Hot Links

The Astros beat the Diamondbacks 8-2, an almost-complete offensive performance and a solid start from Cristian Javier. Houston is 6-4. The season is 1/6 of the way complete.

*The Astros got home runs from Altuve and Correa. Correa was 3x3 with 0K:2BB. It's the third time in his career he has reached base five times in the same game - the previous two both came in 2017. Check this Chandler Rome story on Correa. Correa:
I'm looking for pitches down the middle. It doesn't matter if it's a fastball or an offspeed pitch. Pitches I can drive, I'm going to pull the trigger. 

More Correa:
These three weeks of summer camp were not enough. We have a lot of pitchers that, you can tell when you face them, that they're not ready.

*George Springer had 3RBI for the 34th time in his career.

*Kyle Tucker was 2x5 with an RBI. In four games in 2020 batting 8th, Tucker is hitting .286/.333/.429.

*Cristian Javier was straight solid in his first career MLB win: 6IP, 4H/1ER, 2K:1BB. 49 of his 79 pitches were for strikes, 19 of those strikes were non-contact strikes. Javier's two starts this "season:" 11.2IP, 6H/2ER, 10K:2BB. Correa, on Javier:
I think Javier is gonna be in our rotation for a long time. He's nasty. He's got great stuff. I like his composure on the mound. The kid's got it all. I like the way he attacks hitters. I like the way he handles everything.

*Bryan Abreu threw 0.2IP, 1H/1ER, 1K:3BB. Eight of his 24 pitches were strikes.

Abreu's BB/9, Minor Leagues: 5.5
Abreu's BB/9, Major Leagues: 5.6

*Congratulations to Humberto Quintero Castellanos on making his MLB debut and throwing an extremely uneventful 9th inning.

*Michael Brantley sat out Tuesday's game with a quad injury, and Roberto Osuna likely needs Rob Manfred, I mean Tommy John Surgery. If that's true, and the Astros are getting a second opinion, Osuna has probably thrown his last pitch for Houston, seeing as how he will be a free agent after 2021.

*Jose Urquidy will throw a bullpen in Corpus soon, but is still probably "a couple of weeks" away, as is Aledmys Diaz.

*There's a new Top 100 Prospects midseason update from MLB.com, and Forrest Whitley still is listed as having one of the best curveballs on the list. And speaking of Whitley, he is seeing a doctor. Probably for medical reasons, but don't rule "romance" out just yet!

*FanGraphs sat down with epidemiologist Zachary Binney to discuss MLB's COVID response and whether it can be fixed.

*Check this crazy story from Tim Brown on 30-year old Marlins rookie Eddy Alvarez, who previously won an Olympic medal...in speed-skating.

*wow simply cannot believe that college football coaches are bullying their players about COVID.

*A Musical Selection:


Monday, August 3, 2020

Monday Morning Hot Links

I had 18 hours of professional development this weekend. I just wasn't feeling it yesterday morning.

The Astros beat the Angels 6-5 in extra innings. Blake Taylor recorded the first win of his MLB career. Josh James struggled, again. Framber straight Frambushed the Angels. The Astros couldn't do crap with runners in scoring position, scoring six runs on eleven hits and eight walks. Houston is 5-4. They're off today (Monday) before going to Arizona to face the 3-7 D'amon'b'ck'. Tuesday will probably be Cristian Javier vs. Madison Bumgarner. I completely forgot that Bumgarner went to Arizona.

-This three-game series took 766 minutes, or 12.77 hours. If you watched all three games from first pitch to last pitch, literally 1/6 of your weekend was watching the Astros and Angels. Manfred is KILLING IT with his pace-of-play initiatives. Just kidding, he's a threat to the game and needs to be removed in a coup d'etat. Just let Selig be commissioner again in a zany Weekend at Bernie's type of deal.

-Josh James: 3IP, 1H/4ER, 4K:6BB. Just 33 of his 72 pitches were for strikes. Josh James' two starts: 6IP, 4H/8ER, 9K:11BB, 72 of 147 pitches have been strikes. He's had 17 swings and misses over two starts in 2020.

-Framber Valdez: 6.1IP, 5H/1R (0ER), 8K:1BB. The eight strikeouts were one shy of his career-high of nine, on September 23, 2018, against the Angels. Framber has struck out 8+ batters four times in his career. Three of those games are against the Angels. Showing my work. Here's Dusty, on the game:
We needed this game very badly. [There is] a lot of difference between 5-4 and 4-5. We certainly didn't want to go below .500. It was a great game for us. We got some key hits out there. Boy, we're all tired. We need a day off [Monday].

-Blake Taylor: 1.1IP, 0H/0ER, 2K:2BB.
Taylor, 2020: 7.1IP, 2H/0ER, 9K:2BB.

Astros pitchers walked 25 Angels batters in the three-game series. I'm not good enough at the new Baseball-Ref Stathead thing yet, but that's probably a lot of walks in three games, especially if you win two of them. The Astros have won six games in franchise history in which they walked 11+ batters. Two of those came in this Angels series. The Angels have lost 13 games in their franchise history in which they walked 11+ times and lost. Two of those came in this Astros series.

-The Astros were literally 2x17 with runners in scoring position. Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker came to the plate four times with a runner in scoring position, Josh Reddick three times. There were no hits in there.

2019 Astros w/RISP: .268/.353/.503
2019 Astros Postseason w/RISP: .000/.000/.000*
2020 Astros w/RISP: .246/.360/.368
2020 AL w/RISP: .250/.344/.437

*Going off memory, here

-Alex Bregman had the game-winning RBI four innings after hitting a home run. It's his first 2-hit game of the 2020 season, and he has a three-game hitting streak. Bregman, on how he feels at the plate:
Horrible, but we're just getting started. I've just got to get better mechanically. I took BP before the game and got to get some good swings off there. 

-For just the third time in his career, Jose Altuve came to the plate six times and didn't get on base. (April 5, 2017 vs Seattle, September 18, 2014 vs Cleveland). Coming into yesterday's game, Altuve had faced the Angels more than any other team in MLB (132 games) and was hitting .333/.389/.501 against them.

-Michael Brantley was 3x4 with a walk. He's hitting .438/.514/.656.

-George Springer raised his 2020 OPS from .390 to .697 in three games against the Anaheim Guy Fieris.

-Albert Pujols has hit 658 home runs with 2080 RsBI. 60 of those homers, and 181 of those RsBI, have been against the Astros. His Grand Slam yesterday was his first against the Astros since April 11, 2009, when he did it against Roy Oswalt.

*To clean up some old news: Forrest Whitley has a sore arm, Roberto Osuna had an MRI and is on the IL. Less than 10 games into the season, the Astros had already let Gerrit Cole, Wade Miley, Will Harris, Collin McHugh, and Hector Rondon walk. Currently Justin Verlander, Brad Peacock, Roberto Osuna, Chris Devenski, and Joe Biagini are on the IL. That's a total of 879IP, probably more since I likely screwed up the addition, that are either gone or unavailable. Considering the 2019 Astros threw 1462.1IP in the regular season, it's not a good ratio.

*The Cardinals had four more positive tests within the team. Let's see how long before the season gets canceled, but I'm gonna bet on the "Well it's not happening to ME" mindset winning out.

*SI: Manfred's bluff to end season further exposes MLB's issues.

*A Musical Selection:


Saturday, August 1, 2020

Saturday Morning Hot Links

This week was really stupid and I, for one, am extremely happy that it's over. I hope everybody got to exorcise their demons from the offseason this week. Two nights ago I kicked over a glass of water I had idiotically put next to the couch, then immediately slipped in the water on the downstep, sending me flying to a point where I kicked the back door and hit my head on the side of the couch. Thus, no Hot Links yesterday. I do not regret skipping a day.

The Astros beat the Angels 9-6. The bats returned from their quarantine with 12 hits and seven walks. Every Astro had a hit, except for Altuve and Maldonado. Altuve is hitless in his last 13 ABs. Maldonado drew three walks in a game for the 4th time in his career and the first time since September 2016.

Kyle Tucker was 3x5 with 4RBI, a career-high. George Springer showed signs of life with a 2x4, 1BB, 2RBI night. Carlos Correa has a hit in all seven Astros games played.

Lance McCullers: 4IP, 6H/4ER, 4K:4BB.
The Bullpen: 5IP, 2H/2R (1ER), 5K:8BB.

The Astros' pitching staff walked 12 Angels batters. It's the 5th time in franchise history the Astros have walked 11+ batters and still won the game - the last time the Astros walked 12 and won was June 11, 1994. Dusty:
You walk 12, you don't usually win that game. But these guys battled.

Angels 1-3 in the lineup: 5x9, 1K:6BB, 5RBI
Angels 4-9 in the lineup: 3x24, 8K:6BB, 1RBI

*Check out McTaggart's Inbox!

*Chandler Rome: How families are coping with being Anywhere But The Stadium for all these MLB debuts.

*Urquidy may be further ahead in the comeback timeline than Yordan, who is apparently up to 30 swings. Ryan Pressly's elbow is improving.

*Jim Crane reallllllly needs to stop talking out loud to people with recorders and platforms. Crane, for some unknown unGodly reason decided to sit down and talk with Bob Nightengale. Read it, it's not paywalled. Some notes:
-Crane got death threats in January. That's...something else entirely.
-We broke the rules. We got penalized. We were punished. There's no doubt it weighs on all of us every single day.
-On the infamous February Press Conference: We didn't come off like I wanted to. If I had to do it over again, I'd do it differently. The press conference didn't go well at all. I didn't handle it as well as I should have. 
-On the sign-stealing [waves hands] thing: I think [MLB] had a bigger problem than everybody realized. Two other teams were doing things and got caught, but we're the ones who took the bullet. That's the way it works. I'm not trying to blame anyone else. It was our problem. We dealt with it.

Okay, so far...it's okay. Then:

-On Brandon Taubman: Brandon Taubman didn't commit domestic violence. He just made a comment. It's nothing you can defend. He had a few cocktails. He was happy. There were people constantly coming at him over [Osuna], and he overreacted. Did he do the right thing? No. Everybody makes mistakes. But is he a good, genuine decent person and smart kid? Absolutely. I hated to see him lose his job, but we had no choice.

Oh no. Brandon Taubman is 35 years old.

-On trading for Osuna: We didn't anticipate the Osuna thing would catch that much heat. But when it did, the players were concerned. I told the guys on our team, 'Listen, we made the decision. He paid his price. We think he deserves a second chance. If he screws up, he's out of here. You don't have to worry about it. 
-On the Astros "front-office culture:" We didn't have a culture problem. They're isolated incidents that are unrelated.

Except they're not! The Astros traded for Osuna, a year and a half later Taubman does His Thing, which blows up literally on the eve of the World Series. The Astros lose the World Series, and two weeks later The Athletic drops their bombshell. MLB had no choice but to investigate the Astros. They were isolated incidents over the course of 18 months, but they are not unrelated.

He did say one thing about Verlander, though:
He's hopeful, so we'll see. But you never know with these elbows. It could be a slight tear. It could be a strain. But if he had to have Tommy John, and I don't think that's anywhere near clear yet, he wouldn't be back until 2022. 

*Fernando Rodney has apparently passed his physical and is headed to satellite camp in Corpus. It's a minor-league deal but since there aren't "minor leagues" this year, I don't really know what that means, other than that someone would have to get optioned off the 40-Man Roster in order to add him. I applaud this as now I am no longer older than all of the Astros. Rodney has been teammates with A.J. Hinch, Steve Sparks, Jose Lima, Brian Moehler, Steve Avery, Rondell White, Ugueth Urbina, Troy Percival, Magglio Ordonez, Matt Stairs, and Kenny Rogers.

*Brandon Bellamy is the first Black majority baseball owner since 1987.

*FanGraphs' Ben Clemens: The Curious Case of the Curveball at Night.

*The Guardian: How one hour of slow breathing changed my life.

*These fools seem to think the best burger in Texas is in Dallas. This is preposterous. Everyone knows it's Storm's in Burnet, Lampasas, or Hamilton.

*Outside: Two friends quit their jobs to build a cabin. Everything went wrong.

*Wired: The Garmin hack was a warning.

*A Musical Selection:

Sunday, July 26, 2020

Sunday Morning Hot Links

For the 15th time in a row, the Astros beat the Mariners. Houston has not lost to Seattle since June 5, 2019, and the Astros are 20-1 against Seattle since the beginning of the 2019 season. Houston won 7-2. The Astros are 2-0, 13 AL teams are 1-1, Seattle is 0-2.

Lance McCullers made his first start since August 4, 2018, throwing 6IP, 5H/2ER, 6K:3BB. McCullers:
There's been a lot of ups and downs in that period of time. It's been a long road. Two years is a long time and it was great to get back and compete and it's changed my outlook on a lot. 

McCullers walked three of the first six batters he faced. Click that link to see what adjustment he made to his breaking ball to settle in.

More McCullers:
All in all, it's not the best game I've ever pitched, but it was solid, and I showed flashes of what I've been working on & what I hope to continue to do this year.

Cy Sneed struck out the side in the 8th. Jose Altuve stole the Astros' first base of the season, and also walked twice, something he only did six times in 2019. Gurriel and Springer had home runs and Kyle Tucker contributed an RBI double. Martin Maldonado had his second straight two-hit game.

Springer went on to the train tracks:

*The Astros have hit a home run in 27 consecutive regular season games.

*McTaggart's Notes has items on Blake Taylor getting emotional, and Hank Aaron reaching out to Dusty Baker,

*Aledmys Diaz was placed on the IL with a groin strain (between a Grade 1 and Grade 2), paving the way for Taylor Jones' call-up. Jones had just gotten into Corpus when the Astros told him to drive back, in the middle of a hurricane. Kyle Tucker will get "most" of the DH ABs while Diaz is out.

*Roberto Osuna, who made his season debut yesterday, was late getting to camp because of a delay in getting his tests back.

*The Ringer: So...What Happens If the Astros Win the World Series?

*If George Springer gets to free agency, Buster Olney says to watch the Mets, Red Sox, and Blue Jays.

*The Ringer: Remembering Baseball's Right-Wing Rotation.

*LA Times: The true story of the heartthrob prince of Qatar and his time at USC.

*NPR: How to stop the anxiety cycle of Doomscrolling.

*The Houston Dash play in the NWSL Challenge Cup Final today at 11:30am (Central) against Chicago on CBS All Access.

*A Musical Selection:

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Saturday Morning Hot Links

The Astros won their 8th straight Opening Day game with an 8-2 win over Seattle. Houston is 19-1 against Seattle since Opening Day 2019, and 42-16 against Seattle since the beginning of the 2017 season.

Also winning in the AL West: Arlington, Oakland.

Dusty Baker:
The guys had a lot of energy, a lot of belief and a lot of relief, getting back and playing a real game, because it didn't look like this was even going to happen.

Justin Verlander: 6IP, 3H/2ER, 7K:1BB. Both runs scored on solo home runs. 28 of the 36 home runs he allowed in 2019 were solo homers. Verlander:
They swung at the first pitch of the game and really didn't stop swinging from there. I needed to execute my pitches and the boys did the rest...You can come up with the best game plan in the world and you can abort it three pitches in, which is basically what I did. I was able to adjust quickly and have success.

It was Verlander's 74th regular season start as an Astro. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 52 of those starts.

Michael Brantley hit a three-run homer. It was his second straight Opening Day home run. Dusty, on Brantley:
There's no tension in him at all and it's effortless. It almost looks like he's in slow motion and the ball just jumps off his bat.

Zero Astros batters were hit by a pitch, much to the chagrin of incels across the world.

Chris Devenski struck out the side. Enoli Paredes and Blake Taylor made their MLB debuts and combined for 2IP, 1H/0ER, 0K:0BB.

*Yordan Alvarez, Jose Urquidy, and Cionel Perez are alive, and headed to Corpus! Dusty:
I know they'll probably say they're ready sooner than they are. No matter what they tell me, I'll still give them another couple of days. I know how players are anxious to get back. They missed a lot of time. It's going to take probably almost equal time they missed to get back. We'll be in constant contact with the people in Corpus and we're relying on their opinion of them and their progress.

It stands to reason that, if you're just looking for a DH, Yordan could come back more quickly than Urquidy and Perez. We don't know if they had COVID and had enough negative tests to be able to join, or there was some government clearance that was necessary. We just don't know anything because the Astros kept their mouths shut.

Also in that link: Bregman addresses how he can't afford a slow start again, and how today is the first MLB start for Lance McCullers since August 4, 2018.

Also Shawn Dubin and Ralph Garza have been cleared to return to baseball activities.

*Osuna might be available. Dusty:
I don't want them to know. You understand and this isn't football. You don't have to disclose stuff. As much as I hate to tell you guys that, it's the truth. 

*Clayton Kershaw was placed on the IL with a sketchy back.

Regular Season Kershaw: 169-74, 2.44 ERA / 1.01 WHIP, 2464K:577BB. 157 ERA+
Regular Season Verlander: 225-129, 3.33 ERA / 1.14 WHIP,  3006K:850BB. 129 ERA+

Postseason Kershaw: 9-11, 4.43 ERA / 1.11 WHIP, 170K:45BB.
Postseason Verlander: 14-11, 3.40 ERA / 1.07 WHIP, 205K:60BB

World Series Kershaw: 26.2IP, 23H/16ER, 27K:7BB, 5.40 ERA / 1.13 WHIP
World Series Verlander: 38IP, 35H/24ER, 39K:14BB, 5.68 ERA / 1.29 WHIP

Maybe back off of Kershaw.

*84 MLB players from 28 teams have tested positive for COVID.

*RIP Former Astros Scout Johan Maya.

*Yoenis Cespedes has hit a home run in three consecutive games spanning 803 days.

*The Toronto Pittsburgh Baltimore Blue Jays of Buffalo.

*Jason Heyward doesn't want to stick to sports.

*How to see Comet Neowise before it's gone.

*Heads-up, South Texas.

*A Musical Selection:


Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Tuesday Morning Hot Links

The Astros beat the Royals 6-3. Lance McCullers threw 5IP, 4H/1ER, 6K:0BB.

McCullers:
The word for the day for me was 'grateful.' I was grateful for the ability for the stars to align for us to play tonight with the weather that was possible. Grateful for my teammates and the opportunity to pitch on a big league mound. It was a good day.

Chandler Rome: McCullers showed the Astros he's ready for the regular season.

Josh Reddick and Martin Maldonado each hit two-run homers.

Aledmys Diaz was the DH over Tucker because Diaz needs the PAs.

The bullpen will be the problem.

*Ryan Pressly will be the Astros' closer until Roberto Osuna returns from...whatever he is returning from. Also, Dusty on traveling to Kansas City:
The major difference was guys were yelling across the cabin versus going over and talking to them because you had to stay in your seat. That's going to be really challenging, especially for the real social guys, to stay in your seat. Guys like to play cards on long trips to Seattle or something like that.

*Dusty said that the travel to Kansas City was "typical minor-league activity"

*Justin Verlander, on what getting the ball on Opening Day 2020 means to him.

*The Athletic did an AL West roundtable. It's very well-done, and I love Jake Kaplan, but Levi Weaver needs to be a National Baseball voice.

Throwback to Jake Kaplan's February piece on Cristian Javier's "Invisiball."

*It has been (now) 18 days since there has been any sort of update regarding Yordan and Urquidy. God bless God bless.

*Nine years ago last night Jose Altuve made his Major League debut. Your MLB hits leaders since July 20, 2011:

1. Altuve - 1567
2. Robinson Cano - 1395
3. Eric Hosmer (?) - 1387
4. Adam Jones - 1386
5. Freddie Freeman - 1361
5. Starlin Castro - 1361
7. Nick Markakis - 1357
8. Elvis Andrus - 1345
9. Paul Goldschmidt - 1337
10. Mike Trout - 1323

*ESPN's Sam Miller, who I generally appreciate and respect: What We Lose When We Can't Boo The Astros. Some reactions, as I read this piece:

1. No, no one in Minute Maid Park would boo the Astros on Opening Day.
2. It's a good history of booing and sign-stealing.
3. Sam Miller is a good writer, and has been a Net Positive for baseball coverage at ESPN dawt cawm.
4. Aubrey Huff is an insufferable prick, and needs to be remembered forever as such.
5. Boo whoever and whatever you want.

*ESPN says to take the Astros at -130 to win the AL West.

*FanGraphs' David Laurilia: Brent Strom remembers his MLB debut. It's a delight.

*Clayton Kershaw is actually a Good Person, no matter what shirt he wears over 162 games (and however many postseason games result in not-a-World-Series).

*The Brain Geniuses at MLBHQ started to take a look at modernizing Base Ball. Did it include accountability of umpires? No! Did it include making sure that you could take your family to a game for less than $200? Haha! Did they save the minor-leagues? Getouttatown! No, the Best and Brightest decided that maybe you could press a button to boo someone and it would play over the loudspeakers. You know that saying that the worst thing about Christianity is actual Christians? The worst thing about Baseball is MLB.

*I Didn't Know Why I Was Running Until I Was Forced To Stand Still. I've had some setbacks recently, given the general cultural climate, in my goals regarding my overall health, but I'm sort of planning today to recommit to it.

*An Oxford University COVID vaccine is promising.

*AL.com: Inside College Football's Coronavirus Information War.

*Freakin' Bryan Adams and Sporty Spice did a duet a long time ago that I had forgotten about, but remembered this morning, so if this (banger) has to be in my head, then it shall be in yours also:


Sunday, July 19, 2020

Sunday Evening Hot Links

Note: Hot Links will return Tuesday morning, and go back to the morning posting schedule from that point forward until after the World Series. 

*Justin Verlander threw 5IP today, with 3H/1ER, 7K:1BB - the lone run was a homer by Jack Mayfield. Cristian Javier announced his presence with authority: 4.1IP, 6H/1ER, 3K:1BB. Cristian Javier is going to be a freaking star.

*There's an 80% chance of rain in Kansas City tomorrow (Monday) evening. If it looks like the game will get rained out, the Astros just won't go to Kansas City. If there's no game tomorrow, they won't play on Tuesday, either. Great system you've set up here, MLB.

*Pitching matchups for this weekend:
Friday: Verlander vs Marco Gonzales
Saturday: McCullers vs Taijuan Walker
Sunday: Greinke vs Yusei Kikuchi
Monday: Josh James vs Kendall Graveman

*Dusty Baker says that Roberto Osuna isn't hurt, he just came to Camp late ("through no fault of his own").

*Austin Pruitt is apparently ahead of Brad Peacock in terms of being ready for Opening Day, but neither will be ready for Opening Day.

*Brandon Bielak and Framber Valdez are trying to make the team out of Summer Training.

*Chandler Rome: No one is talking about George Springer's impending free agency.

*Dusty Baker, on John Lewis.

*Aledmys Diaz thinks Yordan will "be ready." When? Who freaking knows.

*Former Astros Great Collin McHugh is opting out of the 2020 season. Reminder that Collin McHugh did every single thing the Astros asked of him, and he is not to be slandered in any way on this web site.

*Tony Gwynn made his MLB debut on this date in 1982. Some key things to remember about Tony Gwynn:

-His lowest OPS+ in a season was 105...in his 2nd year with the Padres.
-From 1984 to 2001 Tony Gwynn hit .340/.390/.463, a 134 OPS+.
-Tony Gwynn's highest single-season strikeout total was 82, in 1987.
-Tony Gwynn had more doubles than strikeouts in 1987, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, and 2001.
-Tony Gwynn's career games with four strikeouts: 0
-Tony Gwynn's career games with three strikeouts: 1
-Tony Gwynn's career games with two strikeouts: 33
-Tony Gwynn's career games with one strikeout: 365
-Tony Gwynn's career games with zero strikeouts: 2,041
-I had the good fortune of working at the Hall of Fame in 2008 when Tony Gwynn was inducted, and I got to meet him (and Cal Ripken, Jr.). Tony Gwynn was hands-down one of the kindest, nicest people I met, and I was extremely sad when he passed away.

*Derby County 1 - Leeds United 3.

Piss off, Derby County. Last year, after an unlikely Leeds' home defeat in the playoffs to Derby County, the Frank Lampard-led team wrecked the visitors' locker room and took a dump on the floor. Today they had to form a guard of honor at their own park to welcome the f***ing champions.


How Marcelo Bielsa turned Leeds into a team of champions.

*Smithsonian Magazine: An early run-in with censors led Rod Serling to The Twilight Zone.

*A 16-minute long Musical Selection:



A bonus Musical Selection: Watch Prince absolutely destroy While My Guitar Gently Weeps:

Friday, July 17, 2020

Friday Evening Hot Links

There's another one of those inter-squad games this evening. Bench Coach Joe Espada will play right field. For real.

*Somehow Roberto Osuna hasn't thrown off a mound yet and given that it's [squints] seven days until this Sprint Season starts, that seems...not good.

*Tuesday's exhibition game against the Royals (2015 ALDS GAME 6) will be on MLB Network. Monday's will be on MLBTV.

*Chandler Rome: The bullpen is a whole bag of question marks.

Consider who the Astros won't have from the 2019 bullpen:
Collin McHugh: 74.2IP, 0.5 fWAR
Hector Rondon: 60.2IP, -0.2 fWAR
Will Harris: 60IP, 1.1 fWAR
Joe Smith: 25IP, 0.4 fWAR

That's a total of 219.2IP, and 1.8 fWAR, and that's over a 162-game season. This is obviously a 60-game season, so they don't need to replace all those innings like they would in a normal season. These four relievers pitched 1.36 innings (if I'm doing the math right, and I'm not sure, dividing 219.6667 by 162). Again with the math, in a 60-game season the Astros need to fill 81.36 innings. Not unreasonable, but probably not all that ideal, especially in a season with way fewer off-days.

*Related, a couple of interesting reliever names to keep an eye on: Bryan Shaw and Jake McGee. Both were released from the Rockies today. Shaw will be in his Age 32 season in 2020 and had a 3.13 pre-Rockies ERA / 1.23 pre-Rockies WHIP. McGee has been with the Rockies since 2016, but had a 2.77 ERA / 1.02 WHIP in parts of five seasons with the Rays before going to Colorado.

*FanGraphs has released a slew of positional power rankings: The Astros rank #1 at DH, #1 at 3B,  #2 at SS, #2 at 2B, #3 at CF, #4 at LF, #10 at RF, #17 at C, #18 at 1B. Check the SP rankings, as well.

*Also check out this FanGraphs analysis of the Astros' prospect pool.

*If you're into this sort of thing, you can take a look inside Altuve's Memorial house.

*Here's a really good piece from Former Astros Great Preston Wilson on how Baseball has lost Black America.

*Former Astros Great Joe Musgrove will be the Pirates' Opening Day starter.

*Jay Jaffe: Former Astros Great Tyler White heads to South Korea, where he'll buck a trend.

*I got my H-Town Vs. Everyone mask from Apollo today and, buddy, it's good.

*Alex Trebek once ate five pot brownies and woke up at a friend's house three days later.

*I put this at the bottom because I know a buncha y'all think English Soccer is basically Commie Shit, but with West Brom's unlikely 2-1 loss to Huddersfield (less than 20 miles from Leeds) today, Leeds United are headed to the Premier League for the first time since 2004 and I cried, sir. Here are Ten moments that mattered under Marcelo Bielsa, whose managerial skills I put right up there with A.J. Hinch. Honestly, I put today up there with November 1, 2017, sports-wise. It's the happiest I've been as a Leeds fan since (certified Leeds United fan since 1992, so shut up)...I don't know, actually. This is for Don Revie, Norman Hunter, Jack Charlton, Trevor Cherry, Billy Bremner, Gary Speed, David O'Leary, Tony Yeboah, Mark Viduka, Harry Kewell, Jonathan Woodgate, James Milner, Rio Ferdinand, Dominic Matteo, Olivier Dacourt, Robbie Fowler, Robbie Keane, Jermaine Beckford, Garry Monk (twat), but mostly for Luke Ayling, Kalvin Phillips, Pablo Hernandez, Mateusz Klich, Helder Costa, Illan Meslier, Stuart Dallas, Liam Cooper, Ben White, Gianni Alioski, Gaetano Berardi, Jack Harrison, Patrick Bamford (Bamford is good, Bamford is handsome, if I order some apps, Bamford can have some). And God bless you, Marcelo Bielsa; and God bless you, Andrea Radrizzani. Can't wait to wear out you Chelsea, Arsenal, Spurs, United, and City fans next year.



*A Musical Selection:



Another Musical Selection:



Each day is better than the next (but today is pretty good).

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

The Athletic, the Bombshell, and the Astros

It wasn't supposed to be an eventful day but here we are. Ken Rosenthal and Evan Drellich dropped a report in The Athletic that the Astros used a high-tech camera on the centerfield wall that would relay the signs instantaneously to a tv in the hallway between the dugout and the clubhouse. The Astros would bang on a trash can loud enough for the batter to hear it as the pitcher was in his wind-up. Obviously The Athletic is pay-walled. If you would like a recap of The Athletic's report from someone who is Not Me, you can click here, or here, or here.

The Athletic (I'm not going to quote liberally from The Athletic since it is a subscription site):
Four people who were with the Astros in 2017, including pitcher Mike Fiers, said that during that season, the Astros stole signs during home games in real time with the aid of a camera positioned in the outfield...Now, an investigation into the Astros' culture in the wake of the team's firing of assistant general manager Brandon Taubman could be expanded to determine who in the organization was aware of the sign-stealing practice - and whether it continued or evolved in subsequent seasons. The Athletic's confirmation of rule-breaking by Houston is limited to 2017.

That last one is a key line at this time.

Fiers, as quoted by ESPN's Jeff Passan:
I just want the game to be cleaned up a little bit because there are guys who are losing their jobs because they're going in there not knowing. Young guys getting hit around in the first couple of innings starting a game, and then they get sent down. It's bullshit on that end. It's ruining jobs for younger guys. The guys who know are more prepared. But most people don't. That's why I told my team. We had a lot of young guys with Detroit [in 2018] trying to make a name and establish themselves. I wanted to help them out and say, 'Hey, this stuff really does go on. Just be prepared.'

On the 2017 Astros, Fiers:
That's not playing the game the right way. They were advanced and willing to go above and beyond to win.

There are a few ways to look at this situation:

Viewpoint #1: "All teams do it, it's not a big deal. It ain't against the rules." On the surface this may be true.

Let's go back to April 19, 2016. The Rangers beat the Astros for one of the 142 Ranger wins against Houston in 2016. Even though Arlington pitcher Derek Holland won, allowing 5H/2ER, 5K:1BB, he had this to say:
Yeah, they knew what was coming....It looked like they were telling each other what was coming; that's what it felt like. I could be wrong, but we were hearing some things...for them to be jumping on fastballs inside and curveballs, it's like they knew something was coming...They would whistle every time we went inside. It was just weird. We could hear it, big time, and it was only when I went inside. Now, that could be - it sounded like it was coming from their dugout, but...we could be totally wrong.

Future Astros Great Robinson Chirinos, after a 7-1 Arlington loss to Houston on June 2, 2017:
Knowing when we played with Carlos Beltran here last year, the guys (on the Astros) steal signs like crazy on second base. That's why I was going to the mound every pitch, switching signs, making sure those guys wouldn't relay signs to the hitter. I think when we struck out Correa, we switched the signs just before we went to hit; if you see his swing, he was late because they thought we were trying the slider....it's because they were relaying the wrong signs from second base. We knew that when we went to play in Houston, that's just something we have to do...because we know those guys are relaying signs when they have a guy on second base.

All seven of the Astros' runs were scored that game with a runner on Second Base.

In September 2017 the Red Sox were fined by MLB after the Yankees accused them of using an Apple Watch to steal signs (side note: I've had an Apple Watch for two months and I apparently need some pointers on how to use it). From the NY Times:
The Yankees, who had long been suspicious of the Red Sox' stealing catchers' signs in Fenway Park, contended the video showed a member of the Red Sox training staff looking at his Apple Watch in the dugout. The trainer then relayed a message to other players in the dugout, who, in turn, would signal teammates on the field about the type of pitch that was about to be thrown, according to people familiar with the case.

Apparently Boston admitted it, and Manfred said that stealing signs was allowed, but not by using technology. Manfred:
All 30 Clubs have been notified that future violations of this type will be subject to more serious sanctions, including the possible loss of draft picks. 

On September 21, 2017 the 60-91 White Sox beat the 93-58 Astros at Minute Maid Park. Danny Farquhar's first batter of his outing was in the 8th inning against Evan Gattis, who struck out on the 7th pitch of the AB after fouling off four pitches. You can see the video of the AB here (hat tip to Baseball Prospectus' Lucas Apostoleris for finding it). For a Yankee fan's viewpoint of this AB, check this Jomboy breakdown. Admittedly it's not exactly unbiased against the Astros. It's Jomboy.

In January 2018 Lance McCullers tweeted that the pitch clock/mound visit-limit wouldn't work "when everyone is using adv tech to steal signs." In April 2018 the Rockies seemingly started using something like a football play-calling sheet in an effort to reduce the chance of having their signs stolen.

Ken Rosenthal also published a piece at The Athletic in January 2018 noting that MLB's pace-of-play initiatives were driven by the duration between pitches and mound visits. In that piece he noted that the 2016 Yankees "liked" getting signals but the 2017 Yankees didn't because the signals "were a distraction."

Jaime Barria was not happy on August 25, 2018. He had just thrown 72 pitches to get nine outs - in Anaheim - against the Astros, In the 1st Inning he threw 36 pitches, allowing 4H/3ER. Barria said the Astros were stealing signs, and that he changed them after the 1st inning. He limited the damage after the 1st to a further run on a hit and two walks, but that first inning drained him.

Two days later the Astros faced Oakland's Brett Anderson at Minute Maid Park. On May 7, in Oakland, Anderson threw his second start of the 2017 season. The Astros won 16-2, Anderson threw 3IP, 10H/9R (7ER), 0K:3BB. In his four starts coming into that August 27 start Anderson had thrown 26.2IP, 12H/2ER, 14K:2BB. On August 27? 3IP, 5H/4ER, 1K:2BB. Anderson:
I don't know if I was tipping pitches with guys at second or something but they seemed to be laying off good pitches and on certain pitches. So I've got to look at video, re-evaluate that.

Anderson admitted he didn't have a good feel for his slider. There were reports of clapping inside the Astros' dugout.

On August 31 - four days after the Anderson start and six days after Barria's disaster start - the Astros played the Angels at Minute Maid Park. Barria needed 85 pitches to get through 6IP, 3H/0ER, 4K:1BB.

September 4: Minnesota opener Trevor May saw his ERA inflate from 1.88 to 4.11 after the Astros tagged him for 5H/4ER in the first inning. May, asked about tipping and relaying:
These guys are pretty good at it.

Spoiler Alert: The Astros won the division in 2017 and played Cleveland in the ALDS, whom they swept on October 8. On October 9 the Red Sox called Cleveland to ask what happened (maybe This is Normal who's to say).

Four days later, in the 3rd Inning of 2018 ALCS G1 at Fenway Kyle McLaughlin, "an Astros employee," was removed from a media credential-only area next to the Red Sox dugout. The linked report quoted "multiple security sources" who said McLaughlin had a small camera and was texting frequently, but did not have a media credential. Danny Picard, the author of the initial report:
After the man was removed another Astros staffer intervened - according to sources who were on the scene - and tried to convince security that he was authorized to be in the area next to the dugout.

The Astros staffer who intervened was apparently Brandon Taubman, who, with McLaughlin, had gotten into it with a Yankees employee during a May series between Houston and New York at Yankee Stadium. One source with knowledge of the May incident:
It was a whole tag team. [The Yankees employee] was on his belly taking pictures [in center field]. And then Brandon went into a secured area, was very aggressive. They just didn't give a [crap].

Jeff Passan - then with Yahoo! Sports - found some pictures of McLaughlin with Jim Crane. Passan:
Two major league players said they have witnessed the Astros hitting a trash can in the dugout in recent years and believe it is a way to relay signals to hitters. The Los Angeles Dodgers also believe the Astros were stealing signs during the World Series [in 2017], according to two sources. MLB has attempted and failed to corroborate such accounts, the league source said. Other teams, the source said, have been accused of similar actions.

The story was that the Astros were spying on the Red Sox to see if they were spying on the Astros. During the 2019 ALCS Luhnow said:
Last year, we were trying to prevent other teams from doing things. It was dumb and we shouldn't have done it because it made us look guilty.

On October 17 - Nine days after the Astros completed the sweep of the Indians and before the Red Sox would take a 3-1 lead over Houston - Cleveland filed a formal complaint with MLB over the Astros. Esteemed baseball writer Paul Hoynes (there's no sarcasm there):
An employee of the Astros, holding a cellphone camera, was removed twice by security from the photographer's pit next to the Indians' dugout during Game 3 on Oct. 8. The Astros completed a three-game sweep of the Indians with an 11-3 win that day...For almost two weeks before the ALDS the Indians worked hard to protect their signs because of Houston's reputation for stealing signs. The Astros reportedly try to train cameras on the opposing catcher, manager and bench coach in an effort to steal signs and pick up tendencies.

Hoynes:
Complaining about sign stealing is always a two-edged sword in the big leagues because so many teams do it. Boston manager Alex Cora was Houston's bench coach last year when the Astros won the World Series. So if the Astros have any tricks up their sleeve he would know about them.

The Astros would lose their 4th straight game of the 2018 ALCS on October 18. The last three games - and four straight after McLaughlin got popped at Fenway - were Astros losses.

Prior to the 2018 World Series, 2017 Astros bench coach/current Red Sox manager Alex Cora went on a Boston radio show and talked about how they used the Astros' paranoia against them in the 2018 ALCS. Cora:
That is part of the game - tipping, stealing signs, relaying pitches and paying attention to details. That is the way I took it. If [the Astros] feel that way about us, we might as well push the envelope and keep doing a lot of things that are going to make them uncomfortable and you saw it. They kept changing signs and the tempo of games was awful, but that worked into our advantage I think.

Tom Verducci wrote on November 2, 2018 that using advanced technology to steal signs is the biggest threat to the integrity of baseball. Verducci:
Three years ago, if you walked into the Dodgers' video room behind their Dodger Stadium dugout you would likely have found Zack Greinke pouring over video of opposing hitters, looking for any edge he could find to match up his stuff against their weakness. This year, if you walked into the same room you would have found a small army of 20-something analysts in polo shirts and slacks pouring over video from the in-house cameras, like the security room at a Vegas casino. Most teams train their cameras on the catcher, the pitcher (from several angles), the third base coach and the dugout.

One club exec who spoke to Verducci:
We've reached a point where the attractiveness of the sport as an entertainment option has been lost in the quest to find every incremental edge. And video has changed things rapidly. I'm increasingly thinking something has to be done.

Manfred did something. In February 2019 MLB adopted a series of rule changes designed to crack down on high-tech sign stealing. MLB banned non-broadcast outfield cameras from foul pole to foul pole "as well as tightening restrictions on in-house video," like putting TV monitors available to clubs on an eight-second delay to prevent real-time sign-stealing. Violating these new protocols would result in the loss of draft picks and/or international bonus pool money. From the above-linked Verducci article:
Manfred believed the restrictions were necessary because high-tech sign-stealing grew more prevalent and slowed the pace of play because of the paranoia it engendered. Last November [Ed. Note: November 2018] general managers thoroughly endorsed the adopting of such rules rather than engage in what they saw as a coming "high-tech arms race to cheat." according to one source.

Verducci went on to say that:
About six teams [in 2018] were commonly understood to have installed in-house cameras in centerfield that were trained on opposing catchers' signs, according to one general manager. Several other teams were under heavy suspicion.

For the "Err'team does it, it ain't against the rules" crowd, you were right, but not any more. It's against the rules now.

Viewpoint #2: "Yeah, that's shady, but I'm not punishing the Astros for something they did prior to the rules changing." And that is very fair. It's unfair to accuse the 2017-2018 Astros of being guilty of crimes codified in 2019. Let's see:

On April 10, 2019 the Astros beat the Yankees 8-6 in part by lighting up New York pitcher/Astros nemesis James Paxton for 8H/5ER on five extra-base hits. Paxton accused the Astros of stealing signs. Paxton, to the NY Post:
I did find out I was tipping my pitches when there were guys at second base, so they knew what was coming. They were fouling off some pretty good pitches, taking some pretty good pitches. They were stealing some signs. So that didn't help.

In that article Paxton found out that he was tipping his pitches on his knuckle-curve because of the positioning of his knuckle. Who told him? Carlos Beltran. Paxton:
[Beltran] showed me some video. [He said], 'Look at these takes, look at these swings. They wouldn't be making these swings or these takes if they didn't know what was coming.

A couple of days after the Rangers battered Gerrit Cole for 9H/8ER in Arlington - Cole's literal worst start of the season - Rangers manager Chris Woodward celebrated his team because of how well they're stealing signs. Woodward:
You know what you are holding. Now, if you had a chance to know what both cards the dealer has are, wouldn't that increase your chances of success? And if you knew (what) the dealer had with those two cards before you even placed your bet, wouldn't that increase your wager?

Gonna guess that - if the Astros were testing the boundaries of what is Right and Acceptable - so were other teams.

But then you have the whistling. The Yankees lost their got dang minds during 2019 ALCS G1 over what they heard coming from the Astros dugout. SNY Reporter Andy Martino:
According to three sources, a Yankees coach noticed a whistling sound in the opposing dugout on certain pitches on Saturday night in Houston. The Yankees started yelling across the field, and people in the dugouts argued back and forth. "The whole dugout was pissed," said one source. "Everyone was chirping."

That SNY report (and that's short for SportsNet New York):
A major-league coach - not for the Yankees - noted the unproven suspicions that the Astros use cameras to get signs. "They are NASA," the coach said. "If a pitcher is tipping and the players can see from the dugout, no biggie. If they get it from somewhere else, that's dicey.

Let's be clear, the lines have been blurred for a long time. The Astros have a lot of guys with non-traditional backgrounds and that has been a lightning rod. "Another coach" from that SNY report:
Baseball, traditionally, doesn't like audio sign. For some reason we are more comfortable with the opposite. So did the Astros go over the line? Probably. But honestly I don't know where to draw the lines anymore.

A.J. Hinch:
It made me laugh because it's ridiculous. And had I known that it would take something like that to set off the Yankees or any other team, we would have practiced it in Spring Training. It apparently works, even when it doesn't happen. So to me, I understand the gamesmanship. I understand kind of creating a narrative for yourself or wondering how things are going.

If you still think that these allegations are still not a big deal, then I envy you. It's really easy to dismiss Jaime Barria, Derek Holland, Brett Anderson, Danny Farquhar, etc. as being Not-Great Pitchers Who Got Lit Up By A Historically Great Offense. But all their complaints are of the same substance. It's consistent. You may not care about it but Rob Manfred does, and the Astros have been a brilliant - if unplanned - foil to take the spotlight off of how MLB has absolutely no idea what's happening with the baseball company they bought. Teh Base Balls was the biggest crisis in baseball up until Ivy League Finance Douchebro drunkenly went all Boiler Room on a group of female reporters. And that has allowed MLB to expand this investigation into the Astros "culture" to re-litigate Taubman and the Astros as an organization. Fair or not, this is what is coming.

*Viewpoint #4 3: This report is extremely damaging, to the entire organization, front office to players. That's something we didn't have to confront with Ivy League Finance Douchebro. It was, well, not simple enough, but it was easier to compartmentalize during the World Series. That thought exercise went as such:

1. Yeah, Osuna could be a piece of crap. But he served his suspension and, as far as we know, hasn't been domestically violent since. The Astros gave a literal fraction of their revenue to some non-profits who try to protect women in an effort to save some PR.
2. The only reason we were actually talking about Osuna was because of Taubman. It's not Osuna's fault that Taubman got fired.
3. Taubman is the bad guy. The guys on the field are actually likable (well, maybe 24/25 of them, anyway) and had nothing to do with the situation where the Astros were cast as the Baddies. Let's root for the 25 guys wearing the H and whatever mountain of cocaine Taubman runs into next is just what happens.

If MLB's investigation into the Taubman Incident - which I firmly believe is warranted - given the above evidence, has an added benefit of Manfred placing the responsibility of the credibility of the sport at the feet of the best team in baseball from 2017-19, Rangz be damned (and both can be in question at the same time - this is not a zero sum game facing baseball) - I have no doubt that Manfred will scapegoat the Astros and it will all unravel because of Taubman. Maybe it's deserved, I don't know anymore. It's possible that, if an assistant general manager had kept his mouth shut after the Astros won their second Pennant in three years, then this [waves hands] culture gets swept under the rug.

Counter-points that have a right to be entertained: If all of this is a result of a camera at Minute Maid Park, there's no rational way to understand Marwin's home run off of Kenley Jansen in Game 2 of the 2017 World Series at Dodger Stadium. Or how the Astros were able to so thoroughly dismantle Yu Darvish in Game 7...at Dodger Stadium. It doesn't explain how the Astros went 57-24 on the road in 2018 (46-35 at home) and 65-22 at home through the ALCS (52-35 on the road)...and 0-4 at Minute Maid Park in the World Series. If you think the Astros could cheat at home all through 2018 and 2019 when it mattered most, might I remind you that the Houston Astros are 0-7 at home in the 2018 ALCS and 2019 World Series. I don't know how to reconcile this.

This is where we are. Either you don't care and it doesn't matter. Or you don't matter, so no one cares. I guess I'm to the age where, if everyone else is doing something wrong, it doesn't make it right.

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Wednesday Morning Hot Links

The Astros were incredibly frustrating last night and I really don't want to relive it, yet here we are and here we go.


The Astros are not worried about this game 1 loss.

Alex Bregman was picking himself apart for his postseason play so far, and it sounds as if he's sleeping with his bat tonight.

An Astros fan got a fairly unique Jose Altuve tattoo.

Does the record mismatch between these two teams matter at this point?

Mattress Mack will not stop betting money on the Astros and I've typed this before seriously bro calm down someone take his debit card away from him.

Now let's talk about the elephant in the room: the Taubman/Osuna/Reporters debacle.

We have a piece up on Astros County right now that doing some pretty impressive numbers on this topic. It's worth a read.

Do the Astros just not get it?

The Astros discredited the report, but it turned out to be true and is being investigated by the MLB. Could the Astros be seriously penalized?

Taubman apologized, but...he didn't do a really good job.

Oh, and speaking of Osuna, he has been nominated for reliever of the year. Not related, but yeah.

The 2019 World Series is now otherwise known as The Bo Porter Series.

Joe Buck is laughing at his haters on the Internet, which is fair because Joe Buck is actually very very good at his job and it is silly to think otherwise.

An Astros fan lost 150 pounds after realizing that she couldn't fit in the seats at Minute Maid.

Tuesday, October 22, 2019

On Villains

Every book, movie, tv show, play, whathaveyou has a villain. Someone with varying motivations that is doing something that society can pretty much agree is wrong. You were rooting for Iosev Tarasov's demise because he killed John Wick's puppy - a present from his dead wife! - over his car. Simon Gruber could certainly have robbed the Federal Reserve had his hubris not gotten in the way and John McClane and Zeus Carver got in his way. When there is a villain, there is balance.

Let's reset the scene from Saturday night:

-The Astros, up 3-2 in the ALCS over the Yankees, had a 4-2 lead in the top of the 9th. Roberto Osuna, the closer acquired at the 2018 trade deadline with an - ahem - checkered past who brought out some Extremely Strong Feelings, allowed a single to Gio Urshela, struck out Brett Gardner, and then got tagged for a game-tying home run on the very next batter. He rallied to strike out Aaron Judge and got Gleyber Torres to fly out to end the inning. Osuna's Ken Giles/Brad Lidge cosplay was only bailed out by Jose Altuve in the bottom of the 9th.

Which brings us to the beer/champagne-soaked post-game pennant-winning celebration. Monday night Sports Illustrated's Stephanie Apstein published a story which set the scene as such:
More than an hour after Jose Altuve won the Astros the pennant, the party in the Houston clubhouse still raged. Rightfielder Josh Reddick crushing vodka Red Bulls (Ed. Note: Of course he was), Gerrit Cole smoked a cigar. Shortstop Carlos Correa gazed lovingly at the American League championship trophy.

And in the center of the room, assistant general manager Brandon Taubman turned to a group of three female reporters, including one wearing a purple domestic-violence awareness bracelet, and yelled, half a dozen times, "Thank God we got Osuna! I'm so f---- glad we got Osuna!"

The outburst was offensive and frightening enough that another Houston staffer apologized. The Astros declined to comment. They also declined to make Taubman available for an interview.

Well, the Astros eventually commented, later Monday night:
The story posted by Sports Illustrated is misleading and completely irresponsible. An Astros player was being asked questions about a difficult outing. Our executive was supporting the player during a difficult time. His comments had everything to do about the game situation that just occurred and nothing else - they were also not directed toward any specific reporters. We are extremely disappointed in Sports Illustrated's attempt to fabricate a story where one does not exist.

This statement is garbage, and might as well close with, "Love, Brandon."

Yahoo's Hannah Keyser confirmed Apstein's report. So did the Houston Chronicle's Hunter Atkins. Let's not forget that Atkins got into some hot water by over-reporting, not by making crap up.



Taubman was "holding a cigar and standing with two or three other men when he yelled his comments, two eyewitnesses said."

We're in an age where any report that does not present you in the best light can be dismissed as Fake News, and reporters know that. Simply making up a story, especially about a team that is getting ready to host Game 1 of the 2019 World Series, is a career-ender. Why would Apstein write a story that wasn't true in a room full of other reporters, with cameras and other recording devices? That's a career-ending move. Why would two other reporters corroborate an untrue story?

The report was dismissed by a lot of Astros Twitter because they simply couldn't believe it was true. That's a fair take: how could Taubman possibly react in that way? At best, he's a douchebag and was drunk. At worst, he was extremely confrontational and targeting female reporters by bringing up Osuna again.

And this is what I don't understand. Taubman, a Cornell graduate, a former analyst for Barclay's Investment Bank, and a derivative valuation expert for Ernst & Young, is/was a self-described "really big fantasy baseball nerd". The linked article from Jake Kaplan was published in March 2018 - four months before the Osuna trade. Kaplan:
Daily fantasy sports leagues were still in their infancy in 2012 when Taubman, now the Astros' senior director of baseball operations (He was promoted to assistant general manager in September 2018) recognized an opportunity to outsmart the competition. He and a close friend developed a projections system that produced the combination of players expected to net the day's highest possible score, while still adhering to the site's salary cap.

It's simple enough to understand how and why the Astros traded for Osuna - and while we don't know the level of involvement Taubman had in this deal, he got promoted six weeks after the Osuna trade: Ken Giles wasn't getting it done. He punched himself in the face on national tv after cussing out A.J. Hinch on the mound (it just hit me how crazy that story is after typing out the short version). Roberto Osuna was young, under plenty of years of team control, and a really effective reliever. The market was depressed. The competition was outsmarted. Osuna has been better in Houston than he was in Toronto. These are facts.

But the Osuna trade was Day Zero for a lot of Astros fans. Not too many people cared for Carlos Gomez or the trade, but it was a baseball decision that could have paid off - and I firmly believe that, were it not for Gomez's oblique strain - the hindsight would be a lot different. But pretty much everyone has entrenched their opinions on Osuna and the Astros. Opinion (unscientifically-researched) runs the gamut from:

a) "I love the Astros no matter who is on it and what they do."
b) "I love the Astros but Osuna can suck it."
c) "God dang, dude, I didn't compromise my morals for you to give up homers in a Pennant-clinching game."
d) F this team. Go Nationals.

The rest of baseball seems to be firmly in Camp D. And that's how we find ourselves, as Astros fans, suddenly - or not so suddenly - the villains in the World Series, a strange place for a team with Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, George Springer, Will Harris. Even Alex Bregman haters can agree they'd love to have him on their team. Bregman hate is a Baseball Decision. Yet here we are, the villain.

There have been plenty of Baseball Villains over history. The Yankees, because of all the money they spent on free agents, are the most popular target. The Astros are the villain today, not because they pay free agents (though the irony of tears of Yankees fans claiming the 2019 Astros team was "bought" were deliciously salty), but because of the actions of an assistant general manager.

There is simply no reason to think the report is not true. The downside of being wrong far outweighs the upside of getting it right. I do not think Brandon Taubman will face any real consequences - that's not really what the Astros do. But the story remains that, an hour after the Astros won their second pennant in three years, an assistant general manager went out of his way to be confrontational towards female reporters over a player acquired 15 months ago who was credibly accused of domestic violence.

I don't really care who fans of the other 28 teams whose favorite teams' seasons are already over want to win the World Series. But there's the balance: you watch because you want to see someone succeed, and you want to see someone fail. There's always a hero and there's always a villain. The Astros now know their role. For the 24 players not named Roberto Osuna, and this is the benefit, I guess, it's through no fault of their own.

Sometimes, even a die-hard Astros fan can say "F this team," and then nine hours later hope they beat Max Scherzer.