Monday, September 16, 2019

Monday Morning Hot Links

The Astros beat the piss out of the Royals, and the 2019 Astros should absolutely beat the piss out of the 2019 Royals. Houston won 12-3 and improved to 98-53. There are 11 regular season games left. The Astros would need to go 6-5 down the stretch in order to set the franchise record for wins in a season. And they're about to get Carlos Correa, Ryan Pressly, and Brad Peacock back. The Astros are off today. Houston is 10-4 in September and 41-20 since the All-Star Break.

*The Blue Jays beat the Yankees, the Dodgers beat the Mets.

So...

Houston (98-53): -
New York (98-53) -
Los Angeles (97-54): -1

Houston has Texas, Anaheim, at Seattle, at Anaheim to end the season. New York has Anaheim, Toronto, at Tampa, at Arlington. Los Angeles has Tampa, Colorado, at San Diego at San Francisco. There are 13 days left in the regular season.

Playoff Odds!


SiteProj. Rec.% to win ALW% to win AL% to win WS
B-Ref105-5799.9%30.9%14.5%
FanGraphs106-56100.0%44.7%32.3%
538105-57>99%-26.0%
BPro105-57100.0%-24.9%

*To the Astros sweep of the Royals: Wade Miley pitched well! 6IP, 7H/2ER, 4K:2BB. Miley's 6IP are the most since August 2. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 19 of his 31 starts. Reddick - more on him in a minute - said that Sunday's game helped Miley more than anybody:
The biggest boost forward was for Wade. He's been the same guy. After his first (bad) start, he came in and was the same guy. The second start got to him a little bit more. He lost his confidence, I think. He was kind of quiet.

Miley established his inner-half fastball. Miley:
Once I got out of the first inning, a big weight came off my shoulders. So just go in and attack and I was able to go six.

*Josh Reddick enjoyed the first 5-hit day of his career. He had five hits in his previous 24 PAs. It's his 32nd multi-hit game of the season. It's only the 5th time in his career he's gotten on base five times in a game, the first since September 8, 2017. Reddick has hit three home runs in September, and his 3RBI equaled his September total coming into Sunday. Reddick:
[The dugout is] telling me to go out and get the fifth one and, as soon as I hit it and it got through the infield, I could hear my dugout as I was running down the baseline. A great feeling all around. These days don't come around without a few lucky hits in there. 

*Will Leitch says that Josh Reddick's 2019 season has been better than it looks.

*Kyle Tucker hit his 2nd home run of the season, Gurriel hit his 28th.

*The Astros have seven games left against the Angels. They'll be without Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, maybe John Lackey and probably Tim Salmon against Houston. Does that open the door for a Bregman MVP? I don't think so, but it's fun to think about, I guess.

*Springer and Altuve had Sunday off, in advance of an off-day today, and another on Thursday, as Hinch remains committed to the regular rest leading into October. Hinch:
These guys are going to get rest days. I've tried to warn everybody and tried to explain it over and over that [Sunday's lineup] is a team that we think we can win with.

*Aaron Sanchez had surgery last week but, as of yesterday, Luhnow had not received an update on the surgery or his prognosis. Aaron Sanchez is literally dead to Jeff Luhnow.

*Brittany Ghiroli has a great story in The Athletic on Aaron Barrett.

*A Musical Selection: