Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Astros want all that New York has to offer

With a captip to Mike Silva's New York Baseball Digest, we find this link about the Mets' pursuit of Roy O.

In the article there's a link to a tweet from Joe DeMayo saying the Astros want Fernando Martinez, Jenrry Mejia, and Ruben Tejada. And the Mets to pick up all of Roy's contract.

By all accounts this is not the type of deal Omar Minaya and company would be willing to do...

...My thoughts are the Mets should at least consider the aforementioned package for Oswalt. Fernando Martinez has not proven he is anything more than a replacement fourth outfielder. I like Ruben Tejada but he appears to be a backup and I have been on record as saying I am willing to give up one, but not both, of Flores/Mejia in a deal for a top pitcher. Unlike Lee, Oswalt is actually signed to a contract next season.

If the Astros want this deal to go through, they're going to have to pick up probably half of Roy's remaining salary. And that the Astros want an outfielder is surprising. Granted, Martinez is 21, and is hitting .257/.320/.437 at Triple-A. But does insisting on Martinez being a part of the deal mean that the Astros are looking to trade Bourn or Pence (because we all know Lee isn't going anywhere)? Tejada is a 20-year old 2B hitting .294/.341/.359 in Triple-A. Is Keppinger on the way out - or is Keppinger going to play SS if the Astros cut ties with Manzella? There are so many variables here, it's barely worth speculating on (which is half the fun).


Joe said...

Please no Keppinger at SS. PLEASE! Keppinger can be traded now. His stock is pretty high, but the 2nd baseman Tejada in the deal would be only 21 soon, so he can sit at AAA until we find a suitable deal for Keppinger. We wouldnt be forced to trade Keppinger in my opinion. Please don't feel forced to play him at SS.

OremLK said...

Ruben Tejada is a pretty good defensive shortstop, not just a second baseman. In fact, that's where most of his value lies, since he doesn't have the bat for second base. The Mets simply don't have an opening for him at SS.

So if we traded for Tejada he would be the shortstop since he is a much better defender than Keppinger.

As for Martinez? I would assume that he would stay at AAA until next season. After Lance Berkman leaves, Carlos Lee can take over first base and Martinez would end up in left field.

I'm not in love with any of the prospects in this proposed trade. Fernando Martinez has always underperformed his potential, but it's important to keep in mind that he's also always been young for his level, and many prospects don't see their power emerge until around age 22 or age 23. He has a chance to be an impact player, but he's far from a sure thing.

Ruben Tejada doesn't have any elite tools. He should be able to start at shortstop on this team, and be better than any of our other options in the long run, but he won't be an impact player.

Jenrry Mejia would be the jewel of the trade, and has top of the rotation potential, but I don't like the way the Mets have handled his development and that worries me.

All of that said, I would still pull the trigger if the Mets budged. Getting three legitimate prospects who are major league ready, and two with the raw potential to become impact players (if we're lucky), would be a great return for Oswalt.