Friday, February 12, 2010

Lincecum vs. Oswalt

Buster Olney has in his blog today a comparison of Tim Lincecum, 2007-2009, with Roy Oswalt, 2001-2003.

W-L Record

Lincecum: 40-17
Oswalt: 43-17


Lincecum: 2.90
Oswalt: 2.92


Lincecum: 89
Oswalt: 72

Cy Youngs:

Lincecum: 2
Oswalt: 0

This is bullcrap. Oswalt has finished in the Top 5 in Cy Young voting five times in his career, coming as close as 3rd in 2004.

I want to know more.

2001: 14-3, 2.73 ERA/1.06 WHIP, 144K:24BB. It goes to Randy Johnson, with Curt Schilling, Matt Morris, and Jon Lieber (!) getting more votes than Roy. Of course, Roy only threw 141.2IP.

2002: 19-9, 3.31 ERA/1.19 WHIP, 208K:62BB. It goes again to Randy Johnson, with Curt Schilling, John Smoltz, and Eric Gagne and Roy tied for 4th. Smoltz and Gagne were both relieving.

2004: 20-10, 3.49 ERA/1.25 WHIP, 206K:62BB. Roger Clemens gets it for Houston, with his 18-4 record. Randy Johnson is next, and Roy gets his 1st 1st-place vote.

2005: 20-12, 2.94 ERA/1.20 WHIP, 184K:48BB. Chris Carpenter goes 21-5 and wins it. Dontrelle Willis and Roger Clemens finish ahead of Roy.

2006: 15-8, 2.98 ERA/1.17 WHIP, 166K:38BB. Brandon Webb wins the Cy Young Award, with Trevor Hoffman and Chris Carpenter finishing ahead of Roy.

Hard to argue with the guys that won it in those years. I retract my indignance.


BryanTSC said...

When I saw Roy's '06 numbers, I thought they looked alot like Timmy's '09. So I worked up a little indignation of my own and headed over to baseball-reference for some comparison shopping. Looks like Tim was better in just about every category but K/BB.

Looks like instead of Lincecum being the next Oswalt, maybe Oswalt was turning in a pretty good John the Baptist impersonation for Timmy.

Interestingly enough, Roy has the highest similarity score to Tim through age 25, and vice versa.

Peanut said...

The two were being compared when Lincecum first came up, too, but on the basis of their similar body types and mechanics. It's interesting to see that their numbers have indeed matched up so evenly.