Monday, September 14, 2009

Matchup for G144 - Astros @ Reds

After going 8-19 in July, the Reds have gone 19-22 since, but come into this series having one just one of their last seven games (this is after winning 12 of the previous 14 games). Of course, the Reds are 7-3 against Houston this season.

Wandy Rodriguez

Wandy gets the ball tonight, and will set a career-high for IP tonight when he records his first out of the game, at 183IP. Since the fateful Milwaukee game (4IP, 10ER), Wandy is 2-2 with a 1.54 ERA, giving up six earned runs in 35IP. Only an Astros pitcher could lose two games with a 1.54 ERA.

Last three appearances:

8/30 @ARI67/47:38/9109/65
9/4 vPHI77/07:09/12111/82
9/9 vATL73/16:29/985/59

The question is how Wandy will respond after declining to come out for the 8th inning vs. Atlanta with shoulder fatigue. It's something to keep an eye on.

2009 road: 5-7 (15 starts), 85.2IP, 89H/39BB, 4.10 ERA/1.46 WHIP, 83K:36BB
2009 vs. Cincinnati: 2-1 (3 starts), 18IP, 17H/1ER, 0.50 ERA/1.28 WHIP, 18K:6BB

Important to note that Wandy had the outing with six unearned runs against Cincinnati, but didn't pitch all that well. Still, they're impressive stats.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .253/.321/.405, 130K:50BB
vs Lefties: .182/.230/.259, 38K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (70): .314/.314/.500, 7XBH (3HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (397): .191/.227/.261, 122K:15BB
After First-Pitch Balls (282): .291/.406/.517, 46K:44BB

RISP: 33x138, .239/.321/.355, 31K:15BB
Runners on: 63x259, .243/.321/.344, 54K:26BB
2OwRISP: 16x69, .232/.346/.377, 17K:10BB

Bronson Arroyo

Arroyo has been absolutely dominating since the All-Star Break, throwing nine straight quality starts. Let's look at his Pre-ASG/Post-ASG splits:

Pre-ASG: 18 starts, 112IP, 125H/67ER, 59K:41BB, 5.38 ERA/1.48 WHIP, .287/.352/.484 against
Post-ASG: 11 starts, 78IP, 68H/21ER, 46K:21BB, 2.42 ERA/1.14 WHIP, .232/.289/.355 against

Last three appearances:

8/30 vLA7.16/23:212/12103/69
9/4 @ATL76/14:39/1399/64
9/9 @COL75/24:211/11100/65

2009 home: 6-6 (15 starts), 4.30 ERA/1.37 WHIP, 98.1IP, 51K:34BB
2009 vs. Houston: 2-0 (2 starts), 2.25 ERA/0.94 WHIP, 16IP, 5K:1BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .244/.311/.397, 67K:30BB
vs Lefties: .287/.344/.469, 38K:32BB

When swinging at the first pitch (96): .326/.333/.587, 10XBH (7HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (388): .267/.298/.417, 75K:14BB
After First-Pitch Balls (328): .241/.360/.400, 30K:48BB

RISP: 39x162, .241/.323/.389, 24K:22BB
Runners on: 79x305, .259/.330/.413, 47K:32BB
2OwRISP: 23x81, .284/.396/.444, 13K:15BB