Friday, September 4, 2009

Matchup for G134 - Philles @ Astros

We're awfully late in the season to see a team for the first time, but that's exactly what we have here as the Phillies come to town for a four-game set, and the matchups really couldn't be less favorable. To be fair, the Phillies' rotation is mostly disgusting anyway.

The Phillies come into this series 77-54 with an 8.5 game lead over the Braves and Marlins. They just finished a three-game series with the Giants, winning two of them, in which Pedro beat Lincecum last night in a 2-1 pitchers duel. Their last road trip saw them go 4-3, actually losing a three-game series at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. Oh yeah, and they 41-23 on the road. That's gross.

Wandy Rodriguez

Wandy hasn't faced the Phillies since September 2006, but he is neck-and-neck with Michael Bourn for Team MVP. That said, he has a two game losing streak for the third time this season (May 25 @ CIN / May 30 @ PIT; 7/27 @ CHC / 8/1 @ STL - though he allowed 2ER in 11IP in those Cubs/Cards games and took the loss in both.

Last three starts:

8/20 vFLA84/07:210/10103/70
8/25 @StL73/16:18/1093/64
8/30 @ARI67/47:38/9109/65

Wandy's on a three-game streak of striking out 6+ batters.

2009 at home: 7-2, 1.73 ERA/1.00 WHIP, 83IP, 72K:21BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .255/.323/.415, 120K:48BB
vs Lefties: .190/.244/.278, 35K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (65): .308/.308/.508, 7XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (361): .198/.235/.275, 111K:15BB
After First-Pitch Balls (268): .288/.404/.523, 44K:42BB

RISP: 32x132, .242/.318/.364, 30K:14BB
Runners on: 60x238, .252/.330/.357, 49K:25BB
2OwRISP: 16x66, .242/.351/.394, 16K:9BB

Here's something disgusting: In Wandy's wins (12 of 'em), his ERA is 0.72. In no decisions, his ERA is 2.83. In losses, his ERA is 7.14. Translation: when he loses, he loses big.

Clifton Phifer Lee

Ah hell. Cliff Lee is doing a Sabathia, and is killing the NL. In six starts with Philadelphia, Lee is 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA / 0.89 WHIP. With 44K:6BB. Six walks! In 45 innings. Six! His Hits/9 is 6.8 - three H/9 lower than what it was in Cleveland. And his K/9 ratio is 8.8 - 2.5 higher than what it was in Cleveland. This could either be a great game, or it could be absolutely terrible.

Last three appearances:

8/19 vARI92/111:08/11106/81
8/24 @NYM76/25:010/11113/83
8/29 vATL510/65:07/1393/64

2009 road: 7-3, 2.67 ERA/1.15 WHIP, 101IP, 70K:20BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .276/.314/.391, 117K:34BB
vs Lefties: .242/.261/.314, 34K:5BB

When swinging at the first pitch (93): .207/.200/.333, 7XBH (2HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (434): .254/.279/.375, 103K:11BB
After First-Pitch Balls (288): .298/.362/.373, 48K:28BB

RISP: 35x155, .226/.267/.335, 31K:12BB
Runners on: 72x329, .219/.255/.304, 73K:18BB
2OwRISP: 16x77, .208/.274/.260, 13K:7BB


Kevin said...

"This could either be a great game, or it could be absolutely terrible." I've been thinking the same thing... Lee will either throw a shutout or we'll put 7 runs on him in 5 innings. I never know what to expect from our guys anymore.
Did anyone happen to see Koby Clemens' mug on the homepage today? Nice article too.

The Constable. said...

Kevin, thanks for the tip on the Clemens article.

I'd like to think that this series will go well, but short of Ed Wade suiting up and trying to eat somebody's face, the bottom line is the Phillies are still playing meaningful games. The Astros...? Not so much.

Kevin said...

HAHA! The Phils have a pretty good lead in the NL east, maybe they'll have it on cruise control 'til October, and we can take a game or two.
Thanks for the captip by the way!

The Constable. said...

I'd like to see Wade jump on Charlie Manuel's shoulders and bite him on the nostrils. That would save the season for me.

As for the captip, Astros County gives credit where credit is due.