Monday, August 31, 2009

Matchup for G131 - Astros @ Cubs least college football starts this weekend. The Astros are four games back of the Cubs, and two back of the Brewers, for fourth place in the NL Central, and are playing like the 66-96 team Baseball Prospectus thought they were (they are who they thought they were) at the beginning of the season.

Roy Oswalt

In the four starts since returning from injury, Oswalt has thrown two quality starts (one of them a gem), and two disaster starts. Roy is 7-5, and is in real danger of not winning ten games in a season for the first time in his career.

Last three starts:

8/16 @MIL68/55:28/1294/65
8/21 vA'I73/02:015/9100/71
8/26 @StL610/33:111/1399/70

Career vs. Chicago: 12-12 (28 starts), 3.86 ERA/1.27 WHIP, 174.2IP, 135K:30BB
Career @ Wrigley: 6-5 (14 starts), 4.71 ERA/1.26 WHIP, 84IP, 63K:11BB
2009 road record: 4-3 (15 starts), 4.07 ERA/1.18 WHIP, 90.2IP, 65K:23BB
2009 vs. Chicago: 0-1 (3 starts), 3.68 ERA/1.02 WHIP, 14.2IP, 11K:1BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .246/.306/.411, 56K:20BB
vs Lefties: .273/.315/.414, 63K:18BB

When swinging at the first pitch (82): .373/.382/.653, 12XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (354): .218/.255/.312, 86K:11BB
After First-Pitch Balls (230): .284/.371/.488, 33K:27BB

RISP: 27x124, .218/.336/.339, 30K:18BB
Runners on: 53x235, .238/.320/.396, 46K:24BB
2OwRISP: 10x57, .175/.329/.228, 18K:9BB

Rich Harden

Last three appearances:

8/11 vPHI72/26:26/1187/54
8/19 @SD71/08:36/6103/62
8/26 vWSH65/25:28/895/66

In the eight starts Harden has made since the All-Star Break, only one of them hasn't been a quality one, and that one (7/31 @ FLA) was because he only went 5IP, 5H/2ER, 11K:3BB, and his pitch count was running up on him.

Career vs. Houston: 1-1 (3 starts), 5.30 ERA/1.55 WHIP, 18.2IP, 19K:7BB
2009 vs. Houston: 1-1 (2 starts), 4.85 ERA/1.59 WHIP, 13IP, 11K:6BB
Career @ Wrigley: 5-5 (19 starts), 4.34 ERA/1.24 WHIP, 101.2IP, 128K:45BB
2009 @ Wrigley: 3-5 (12 starts), 5.98 WHIP/1.40 WHIP, 61.2IP, 67K:28BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .213/.314/.393, 74K:34BB
vs Lefties: .243/.312/.424, 69K:18BB

When swinging at the first pitch (42): .343/.361/.571, 4XBH (2HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (244): .205/.240/.323, 91K:8BB
After First-Pitch Balls (238): .232/.381/.479, 52K:44BB

RISP: 21x86, .244/.350/.407, 24K:14BB
Runners on: 40x175, .229/.335/.406, 53K:27BB
2OwRISP: 10x42, .238/.385/.238, 14K:9BB