Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Hunter Pence's Last 29 PAs

From June 20-23, Hunter Pence was 6x12 with 2 doubles. Since then...he has 4 hits in his last 29 plate appearances. Let's take a look to see how this could happen (other than the implied "Baseball is really, really hard" argument)

6/24 vs. Kansas City
B2 - 3-1 groundout to SS
B5 - 1-1 groundout to SS
B7 - 3-2 walk
B9 - 2-2 flyout to LF
B11 - 1-2 groundout to 2B

6/25 vs. Kansas City
B2 - 2-0 groundout to SS
B4 - first pitch flyout to CF
B6 - 0-2 groundout to 3B
B8 - 3-2 K (swinging)

6/26 vs. Detroit
B1 - 2-2 K (swinging)
B3 - 1-2 single to LF
B5 - 0-2 groundout to 2B
B7 - 0-1 groundout to SS

6/27 vs. Detroit
B1 - 0-2 flyout to RF
B3 - 3-1 double to LF
B5 - 0-2 K (swinging)
B7 - 1-0 GIDP to 2B

6/28 vs. Detroit
B2 - 1-1 flyout to CF
B4 - 2-2 ground rule double to LF
B7 - 0-2 K (swinging)
B9 - 2-2 foulout to C

6/29 @ San Diego
T2 - 0-1 flyout to RF
T5 - 0-1 flyout to CF
T6 - 2-2 fielder's choice to 3B
T9 - 1-1 infield single to 3B

6/30 @ San Diego
T2 - 0-2 lineout to RF
T4 - 1-1 groundout to 3B
T6 - 2-2 flyout to CF
T8 - first pitch groundout to SS

Let's break this down:

11 groundouts / 9 flyouts
4 hits
4 strikeouts - all swinging / 1 walk

In play, left side: 12
In play, right side: 3
In play, middle: 8

First-pitch...
Strikes: 16
Balls: 11
Swinging: 2

For a guy who Inside Edge says hits to middle/left side of the infield 71% of the time, to do so 87% of the time would indicate that he's trying to pull the ball, and since five of the seven games in question are home games - he's trying to get a jack, and rolling over on the ball.