Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Matchup for G56 - Cubs @ Astros

So the Astros come into this series with the Cubs 3.5 games behind them and the Reds, but in a virtual tie with the Pirates for last place. The Astros are 7-3 in their last ten games, the Cubs are 6-4 in their last ten, but 8-12 in their last 20. The Astros send Brian Moehler to face Ted Lilly in the first game of the series. The Cubs lead the season series, 5-2.

This is the second time Moehler has faced the Cubs this year. The May 17 game was pretty good, but the April 8 game was a massacre.


Moehler has done pretty well in his last two starts: 15IP (including the complete game), 5ER. Moehler isn't missing too many bats, though, in his last three starts, he only has 14 swinging strikes.

Last three starts:

5/23 vTEX59/64:07/1268/50
5/29 @PIT97/14:212/17123/85
6/3 vCOL67/42:19/1274/42

Vs the Cubs, Moehler has thrown 6.2IP (over two starts, if you can believe that), allowed 13H/10ER, 5K:3BB.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 32x72, .444/.452/.722, 10K:0BB
vs Lefties: 24x98, .245/.318/.378, 16K:10BB

Righties are tee-ing off on Moehler, obviously.

When swinging at the first pitch (29): .519/.536/.889, 6XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (86): .300/.341/.450, 16K:4BB
After First-Pitch Balls (71): .286/.343/.460, 10K:6BB

RISP: 17x49, .347/.389/.531, 7K:4BB
Runners on: 28x84, .333/.380/.536, 12K:6BB
2OwRISP: 4x22, .182/.250/.182, 4K:2BB

Ted Lilly

With the exception of Randy Wells, who has made six starts, Lilly has the lowest ERA and WHIP, and the highest K:BB ratio of the Cubs' starting rotation. But he has given up the most dingers, too. Lilly has also started two games against the Astros this season, winning both - one on April 8 (The Moehler Meltdown game) and on May 7, both of them in Houston.

Last three starts:

5/24 @SD6.18/54:212/1095/66
5/29 vLA74/15:39/9102/68
6/3 @ATL76/27:19/12108/73

Vs the Astros this season:

Pudge: 2x4, 2XBH-2RBI, 1K:0BB
Tejada: 3x6, 2XBH-2RBI
Keppinger: 2x5, 1XBH-1RBI
Lee: 2x5, 1XBH, 0K:1BB
Pence 1x5
Berkman: 1x6, 1XBH-1RBI, 2K
Bourn: 0x2, 1K
Michaels: 0x2, 1BB

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