Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Matchup for G139 - Braves at Astros

Game 139, 23 to play in this miserable (though strangely entertaining, if only for the train wreck aspect) season. The Astros have had four chances to get to five straight wins, and haven't done it. When was the last time they won five straight? Well, they won eight straight, twice, last year. So...there you go.

Wandy Rodriguez

I don't think anyone other than Carpenter or Wainwright will win the NL Cy Young this year, but if it hadn't been for a rough late-May/early-June, where he had three disaster starts in four games, he might at least be right there in the discussion. Factor those out (work with me here), and he's 13-6 with a 2.05 ERA. Just sayin'.

Last three appearances:

8/25 @StL73/16:18/1093/64
8/30 @ARI67/47:38/9109/65
9/5 vPHI77/07:09/12111/82

Wandy pitched at Atlanta on May 3, getting - typically - a no decision in 5IP, 6H/3ER, leaving after just 86 pitches. And he wasn't happy about that.

2009 home: 8-2 (13 starts), 90IP, 69H/21BB, 1.60 ERA/1.00 WHIP, 79K:21BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .256/.323/.412, 125K:48BB
vs Lefties: .187/.238/.269, 37K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (66): .303/.303/.500, 7XBH (3HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (381): .199/.236/.272, 117K:15BB
After First-Pitch Balls (276): .291/.404/.522, 45K:42BB

RISP: 32x135, .237/.316/.356, 31K:14BB
Runners on: 62x250, .248/.325/.352, 52K:25BB
2OwRISP: 16x68, .235/.342/.382, 17K:9BB

Tommy Hanson

Rookie Tommy Hanson is one of the reasons the Braves were willing to let Smoltz try his hand in a Boston uniform, and has been dominant, with a 9-3 record, and an ERA of 3.07

Last three appearances:

8/22 vFLA74/37:37/999/64
8/28 @PHI22/14:01/329/19
9/3 @FLA52/15:47/5104/60

2009 road: 3-2 (8 starts), 2.68 ERA/1.37 WHIP, 43.2IP, 29K:21BB

This will be Hanson's first appearance in Houston.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .220/.259/.327, 100K:16BB
vs Lefties: .243/.286/.409, 99K:20BB

When swinging at the first pitch (43): .293/.286/.463, 4XBH (1HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (201): .186/.231/.314, 59K:7BB
After First-Pitch Balls (148): .288/.432/.466, 19K:29BB

RISP: 14x71, .197/.333/.394, 17K:13BB
Runners on: 29x160, .218/.331/.414, 29K:21BB
2OwRISP: 8x39, .205/.354/.410, 11K:8BB