Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Matchup for G125 - Astros @ Cardinals

Three-game set at Beck's Stadium as the season is starting to wind down, with 38 games left to play. The Astros are an oft-mentioned 10 games back of the Cardinals. St. Louis is eight games up on the Cubs for first place.

The Cards are 23-12 since the All-Star Break, and since getting swept by a team that we used to recognize as the Astros are 21-8, and haven't been more than one game back of the NL Central lead since June 30.

Wandy Rodriguez

Wandy followed up the disastrous Milwaukee start with an excellent outing against Florida. We'll see what we get tonight.

Last three starts:

8/9 vMIL75/03:210/13116/72
8/14 @MIL410/104:59/9105/64
8/20 vFLA84/07:210/10103/70

His last time out was just the third time this season that Wandy hasn't allowed an extra-base hit. In those games, he's predictably 3-0.

2009 road record: 5-5 (13 starts), 4.21 ERA/1.53 WHIP, 72.2IP, 70K:32BB
Career road record: 20-27 (67 games, 60 starts), 5.31 ERA/1.52 WHIP, 335.2IP, 282K:134BB
Career vs. St. Louis: 3-7 (13 games), 3.73 ERA/1.13 WHIP, 70IP, 48K:16BB
Career @ Beck's: 1-2 (4 starts), 3.18 ERA/1.24 WHIP, 22.2IP, 11K:7BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .257/.325/.420, 111K:44BB
vs Lefties: .195/.252/.280, 31K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (60): .3333/.3333/.550, 7XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (336): .199/.234/.278, 101K:13BB
After First-Pitch Balls (246): .287/.408/.520, 41K:40BB

RISP: 29x127, .228/.308/.346, 30K:14BB
Runners on: 56x220, .255/.337/.359, 44K:25BB
2OwRISP: 16x65, .246/.355/.400, 16K:9BB

Adam Wainwright

Ahhh hell.

Last three appearances:

8/8 @PIT6.27/16:012/9112/83
8/14 vSD78/03:014/10103/68
8/19 @LA74/23:112/999/60

Wainwright has pitched against Houston twice this season:
Apr 6 v HOU: 5IP, 4H/0ER, 4K:3BB, 1W (11-2 StL win)
Aug 2 v HOU: 7IP, 8H/2ER, 5K:0BB, 1L (2-0 HOU win)

Nevertheless, it's been since June 21 (11 starts) that Wainwright hasn't thrown a quality start.

2009 home record: 5-6 (14 starts), 2.02 ERA/1.14 WHIP, 98IP, 87K:30BB
Career home record: 20-16 (74 games, 42 starts), 2.81 ERA/1.21 WHIP, 323IP, 246K:89BB
Career vs. Houston: 6-1 (14 games), 2.17 ERA/1.08 WHIP, 62.1IP, 49K:17BB

Against teams he faced 10+ times, Wainwright's lowest ERA is, of course, against Houston.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .226/.268/.300, 81K:22BB
vs Lefties: .276/.346/.429, 71K:32BB

When swinging at the first pitch (83): .397/.392/.564, 9XBH (2HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (387): .182/.215/.241, 114K:15BB
After First-Pitch Balls (278): .303/.402/.470, 38K:39BB

RISP: 34x153, .222/.305/.288, 45K:19BB
Runners on: 65x290, .224/.293/.293, 74K:29BB
2OwRISP: 16x79, .203/.284/.266, 23K:9BB