Thursday, August 20, 2009

Matchup for G121 - Marlins @ Astros

G121 - meaning the Astros have 41 games to put something together. But only need to go 11-31 to beat Baseball Prospectus' pre-season prediction.

Wandy Rodriguez
Magic Wandy gets the start tonight for the 25th time this season.

Last three starts:

8/1 @StL43/14:07/553/36
8/9 vMIL75/03:210/13116/72
8/14 @MIL410/104:59/9105/64

Wandy's worst start of the season was easily his last time out, even taking into account his pitch-tipping days with ol' Pudge. Wandy has endured three disaster starts this season (not counting the 6R/0ER performance of May 25). His DS on 5/30 @ Pittsburgh was followed up with another DS vs Colorado on 6/4. Following that DS, he threw 7IP, 5H/1ER vs the Cubs. So all that is to say, "Who knows what we'll get tonight."

2009 home record: 6-2 (11 starts), 1.92 ERA/1.03 WHIP, 75IP, 65K:19BB
Career vs. Florida: 2-1 (6 games), 3.65 ERA/1.46 WHIP, 24.2IP, 16K:13BB
Career @ Minute Maid: 28-20 (68 games), 3.70 ERA/1.27 WHIP, 396.1IP, 320K:139BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .261/.329/.432, 107K:42BB
vs Lefties: .198/.258/.288, 28K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (55): .364/.364/.600, 7XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (319): .207/.241/.290, 94K:12BB
After First-Pitch Balls (239): .281/.403/.520, 41K:39BB

RISP: 29x125, .232/.308/.352, 29K:13BB
Runners on: 55x215, .256/.337/.363, 43K:24BB
2OwRISP: 16x64, .250/.360/.406, 15K:9BB

Josh Johnson

Johnson comes into tonight 12-2 with a League-leading .857 winning percentage and career-bests (already) in games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Six of his last seven, and 18 of his last 21, starts have been of the quality variety.

Last three appearances:

8/4 @WAS76/49:06/1295/67
8/9 @PHI64/16:17/785/55
8/14 vCOL7.11/111:34/8114/69

Since July 7, Johnson is 5-1 with a 3.06 ERA, with 43K:8BB.

vs. Houston career: 0-2 (2 games, 1 start), 6.75 ERA/2.25 WHIP, 9K:6BB
2009 Road: 6-1, (12 starts), 3.62 ERA/1.14 WHIP, 65K:20BB

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: .254/.309/.449, 40K:20BB
vs Lefties: .307/.369/.553, 37K:27BB

When swinging at the first pitch (68): .258/.250/.323, 4XBH (0HR)
After First-Pitch Strikes (338): .209/.230/.276, 101K:6BB
After First-Pitch Balls (244): .238/.351/.369, 39K:34BB

RISP: 22x119, .185/.256/.286, 34K:12BB
Runners on: 49x233, .210/.273/.305, 56K:21BB
2OwRISP: 8x50, .160/.288/.200, 18K:9BB