Friday, June 26, 2009

Matchup for G71 - Tigers @ Astros

The Astros welcome the AL Central-leading Detroit Tigers to Minute Maid Park for a three-game set. The Tigers are 41-31, with a five game lead over the Twins, and are 18-21 on the road this season. They've won their last seven games, including sweeps of the Brewers and Cubs.

Tonight the Astros get to see one of the game's best pitchers, and send the guy who may or may not be the ace of the staff to meet him.

Wandy Rodriguez

Who knows what to expect from Wandy lately. He's turned in great performances in two of his last four outings, and stunk up the joint in the other two.

Last three starts:

6/10 vCHC75/16:28/11116/70
6/16 @TEX46/64:55/9103/55
6/21 @MIN72/18:35/8114/78

Wandy gave up only one home run in his first eleven starts of the season, and has given up nine in his last four. That's disconcerting.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 70x266, .263/.331/.410, 67K:26BB
vs Lefties: 15x72, .208/.278/.347, 20K:7BB

When swinging at the first pitch (33): .364/.364/.515, 3XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (194): .218/.260/.285, 58K:9BB
After First-Pitch Balls (150): .270/.387/.524, 29K:24BB

RISP: 24x80, .300/.348/.400, 20K:6BB
Runners on: 41x138, .297/.357/.377, 28K:12BB
2OwRISP: 12x41, .293/.370/.366, 12K:4BB

Interesting note: Through the 1st time in the order, opponents hit .268/.324/.386. 2nd time through the order: .262/.323/.434.

Justin Verlander

Verlander comes in to this game 8-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He's currently leading the league with 118 strikeouts, and leading the league with 10.8 K/9.

Last three starts:

6/10 @CHW96/19:111/11122/89
6/16 @STL48/54:24/1173/47
6/21 vMIL7.25/28:310/9115/74

Verlander did give up his first multi-homer game of the season last time out vs Milwaukee - both solo shots.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 32x159, .201/.264/.289, 44K:11BB
vs Lefties: 51x202, .252/.317/.406, 74K:19BB

When swinging at the first pitch (40): .351/.351/.676, 6XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (223): .216/.248/.286, 85K:7BB
After First-Pitch Balls (137): .216/.353/.378, 33K:23BB

Did you see that? That's seven walks in 223 plate appearances that Verlander gets a first-pitch strike. Or 3.1%.

RISP: 19x81, .235/.337/.309, 29K:12BB
Runners on: 34x142, .239/.314/.324, 45K:15BB
2OwRISP: 7x37, .189/.333/.324, 14K:7BB

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