Thursday, June 25, 2009

Matchup for G70 - Royals at Astros

The Astros are going to try to avoid getting swept by the Royals today, a team that hasn't swept anybody but the Reds all season long. Think they'd enjoy the NL Central? To do this, they'll need to whoop Brian Moehler, who is 3-2 in games where the Astros are coming off a loss.

Brian Moehler

Moehler has allowed 11 ER in his last three starts - 15IP. More disturbing, he's also given up 6HR in those 15IP. Of course the Twins teed off on him for three jacks in his last outing, but still. He's 0-3 at home with a 9.13 ERA, and Bud Norris is knocking...

Last three starts:

6/9 vCHC38/53:27/670/41
6/14 @ARI66/32:24/1689/54
6/20 @MIN64/33:111/897/66

Moehler just hasn't been striking anybody out, either. 578 of his 894 pitches this season have been for strikes (64.6%), though it's been since May 29 (four starts) that he struck out more than three batters.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 42x101, .416/.449/.743, 13K:5BB
vs Lefties: 32x129, .248/.305/.442, 21K:10BB

When swinging at the first pitch (32): .469/.485/.781, 6XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (121): .307/.342/.579, 23K:5BB
After First-Pitch Balls (96): .286/.358/.488, 11K:10BB

RISP: 21x62, .339/.391/.500, 8K:6BB
Runners on: 35x104, .337/.386/.548, 14K:8BB
2OwRISP: 6x27, .222/.276/.222, 5K:2BB

Brian Bannister

After a two-game patch over May 29/June 3, Bannister allowed 15ER in 8.2IP. But since then, he's settled down and allowed just 3ER in his last 21IP.

Last three starts:

6/9 @CLE54/15:38/697/56
6/14 vCIN84/04:114/10108/69
6/20 vSTL86/24:011/1486/58

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 33x134, .246/.311/.373, 22K:11BB
vs Lefties: 39x144, .271/.327/.340, 22K:12BB

When swinging at the first pitch (46): .333/.333/.467, 4XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (128): .229/.281/.288, 27K:6BB
After First-Pitch Balls (134): .261/.351/.383, 17K:17BB

RISP: 18x67, .269/.325/.373, 11K:7BB
Runners on: 36x127, .283/.319/.394, 16K:8BB
2OwRISP: 8x30, .267/.353/.433, 5K:4BB

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