Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Matchup for G68 - Royals @ Astros

The Astros come home after going 5-4 on a nine-game road trip to Arizona, Texas, and Minnesota. The Royals have lost five straight, giving up 10+ earned runs in four of those five losses, and are 10-19 on the road this season.

Russ Ortiz

In what, on paper anyway, looks like the most uneven pitching matchup of the season, the Astros will send a rejuventaed Russ Ortiz to the mound.

Last three appearances:

6/7 vPIT4.14/03:17/564/43
6/11 vCHC5.13/05:39/392/58
6/17 @TEX67/35:18/1181/55

Ortiz regained the starting job after coming in for Paulino in relief in that 6/7 Pittsburgh game. Since 6/4, Ortiz has the following line:
15.2IP, 14H/3ER, 13K:5BB, 1.72 ERA.

He has posted season highs in IP in each of his last two starts.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 28x91, .308/.414/.418, 14K:16BB
vs Lefties: 22x97, .227/.324/.371, 24K:14BB

When swinging at the first pitch (16): .429/.467/1.214, 5XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (103): .250/.324/.326, 26K:10BB
After First-Pitch Balls (105): .256/.400/.329, 12K:20BB

RISP: 10x44, .227/.280/.295, 11K:2BB
Runners on: 22x88, .250/.333/.375, 21K:10BB
2OwRISP: 5x21, .238/.333/.381, 7K:2BB

Zack Greinke

Early-season phenom Zack Greinke has struggled a bit of late, after going 8-1 in his first eleven starts. That said, his 1.02 WHIP leads the AL. His one rough start of the season was on June 5 at Toronto: 5IP/5ER.

Last three starts:

6/5 @TOR59/53:13/19101/61
6/11 @CLE7.16/36:311/10116/66
6/17 vARI6.28/49:28/12115/70

Greinke has thrown 100+ pitches in every game this season except Opening Day, when he threw 95 pitches.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 41x191, .215/.252/.293, 48K:9BB
vs Lefties: 44x182, .242/.276/.374, 58K:9BB

When swinging at the first pitch (47): .326/.326/.372, 2XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (196): .174/.214/.266, 77K:9BB
After First-Pitch Balls (155): .267/.310/.404, 29K:9BB

RISP: 16x81, .198/.221/.259, 28K:3BB
Runners on: 27x156, .173/.206/.224, 48K:7BB
2OwRISP: 8x35, .229/.270/.343, 12K:2BB

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