Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Matchup for G50 - Rockies at Astros

The last time the Astros won three in a row? May 8-10 vs San Diego. So the Astros go at a three game win streak this evening with Paulino facing Ubaldo Jimenez. Strangely enough (or not), this is the exact same matchup that occurred on May 12 at Coors Field. What happened?

I'd rather not think about it. But we must. Here's your line:

Paulino: 4IP, 7H/7ER, 2K:4BB
Jimenez: 7IP, 7H/1ER, 4K:0BB

Paulino turned in a game score of 16 for the evening.


At least Paulino went six innings last time out. It was the first time since April 24 that he made it through the sixth inning.

Last three starts:

5/12 @COL47/74:28/996/55
5/22 vTEX5.17/43:26/13102/66
5/27 @CIN67/44:09/1284/59

So this part, at least, is encouraging: over the last two games, Paulino did record 29 swinging strikes, and 59 non-contact strikes total. So his stuff is there, at least partially.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 30x93, .323/.394/.462, 13K:9BB
vs Lefties: 20x56, .357/.438/.661, 13K:7BB

The lefty average is a concern, and the Rockies have three lefties and a switch-hitter in their lineup. Could be another long night.

When swinging at the first pitch (20): .500/.526/1.222, 6XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (75): .348/.392/.449, 13K:4BB
After First-Pitch Balls (77): .274/.400/.435, 13K:12BB

RISP: 20x44, .455/.529/.545, 10K:6BB
Runners on: 26x71, .366/.451/.507, 16K:9BB
2OwRISP: 12x21, .571/.625/.619, 4K:3BB

Ubaldo Jimenez

Jimenez has been streaky this season. Two starts in April of less than 5IP with 6+ER. Three starts in May 6+ and 1ER. Last two starts of 3ER and 4ER.

Last three starts:

5/17 @PIT65/17:311/5115/66
5/22 @DET76/37:111/9104/66
5/27 vLA6.29/45:213/8109/64

You know what you're going to get with Jimenez: He's going to eat innings, and he's going to get groundball outs. Will that translate to the June version of the Astros (who are way more fun to watch than the May Astros)? We shall see.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 24x105, .229/.311/.276, 24K:9BB
vs Lefties: 36x120, .300/.388/.425, 29K:17BB

When swinging at the first pitch (23): .476/.455/.667, 2XBH
After First-Pitch Strikes (112): .242/.309/.303, 29K:7BB
After First-Pitch Balls (128): .248/.373/.343, 24K:19BB

RISP: 13x64, .203/.293/.234, 18K:8BB
Runners on: 29x103, .282/.372/.350, 25K:14BB
2OwRISP: 9x34, .265/.390/.294, 8K:6BB

Encouraging stat of the splits:
1st inning: 14x43, .326/.396/.465

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