Thursday, May 7, 2009

Matchup for G29 - Cubs at Astros

Well this isn't the most favorable of matchups...

Russ Ortiz
Ortiz made his Astros debut in the 3rd inning of that horrible third game of the season vs the Cubs, which surprisingly turned into a slugfest after Moehler crapped the bed (come on, he was hurt). But it wasn't exactly the debut he had in mind. But let's recap the inefficiency of Russ Ortiz.

Last three starts:






DateIPH/ERK:BBGB/FBPit/Str
4/16 @PIT4.25/32:28/999/54
4/21 vLA53/32:510/5116/64
4/26 vMIL54/23:45/1096/50


So it hasn't gone very well. He has been terribly inefficient, in three starts (the other three appearances were in relief), Ortiz has racked up 311 pitches, 168 for strikes (54.1%), and only 17 were swinging strikes. It's also worth mentioning that 311 pitches were needed for 44 outs - 7.07 pitches per out. Regard his latest appearance, Sunday versus Atlanta, in which Ortiz came in for the 8th inning and recorded one out to two walks (4 out of 12 pitches for strikes).

How did Ortiz do versus the Cubs in that Fateful G3?
Fontenot: Homer to right, strikeout swinging
Theriot: Walk, single to center
Hill: Single to center, strikeout swinging
Soriano: Groundout to short, walk
Fukudome: Ground rule double to right-center, walk
Lee: Strikeout looking, popout to first
Bradley: Strikeout swinging, walk
Ramirez: Strikeout swinging

That's 15 plate appearances, four hits, two for extra-bases, five strikeouts, four walks.

Let's do the splits!
Vs Righties: 8x30, .267/.450/.400, 7K:8BB
Vs Lefties: 9x41, .220/.360/.415, 7K:9BB

After...
First-Pitch Ball: (47) 10x35, 2K:11BB, .286/.468/.400
First-Pitch Strike: (38) 5x31, 12K:6BB, .161/.297/.290

RISP: 4x21, .190/.320/.333, 4K:2BB
Runners on: 8x33, .242/.390/.455, 7K:6BB
2OwRISP: 3x12, .250/.400/.500, 3K:2BB

Ted Lilly

Is anyone else in the Majors named after a president? Because I was more than a little surprised to see that his full name is "Theodore Roosevelt Lilly." Check out his collar - it explains why my cousins refer to him as "Father Ted."

Last three starts:






Date-OppIPH/ERK:BBGB/FBPit/Str
4/22 vCIN75/12:012/1296/67
4/27 @ARI56/53:44/1396/67
5/2 vFLA85/110:04/15104/76


Lilly is clearly a flyball pitcher, and didn't fare so well in G3 vs the Astros last time around. Remember that one? The 11-6 game where Moehler imploded (come on, he was hurt). What happened for the Astros in G3 vs Lilly?

Matsui: Groundout to 3rd, groundout to third, homer to left
Keppinger: Single to left, homer to left, groundout to third
Berkman: Flyout to center, homer to left, flyout to center
Lee: Flyout to left, popout to 3rd, double to left-center,
Tejada: Popout to 2nd, single to center, flyout to right
Pence: Flyout to center, foulout to catcher
Pudge: Double to center, homer to left
Bourn: Groundout to 1st, strikeout swinging

A couple of things. In 21 ABs - 8 hits, 6 for extra bases. Only one out to the right side of the field.

Let's do the splits:
vs Righties: 24x99, .242/.276/.485, 19K:5BB
vs Lefties: 1x17, .059/.111/.059, 7K:1BB

After First-Pitch Strikes (58): .158/.155/.246, 25K:3BB
After First-Pitch Balls (56): .240/.321/.540, 13K:6BB

RISP: 4x17, .235/.300/.353, 3K:2BB
Runners on: 6x31, .194/.257/.355, 13K:8BB
2OwRISP: 2x10, .200/.333/.400, 2K:2BB

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