Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Matchup for G14 - Dodgers at Astros

The Astros try to bounce back from three winnable losses in four games against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who are 10-3 and have won eight straight.

So the Astros will send Russ Ortiz up against Claytown Kershaw to try to be the stopper. Logically, that first pitch is huge for Ortiz. First-pitch ball? .353 BAA. First-pitch strike? .143 BAA. Problem is Ortiz is throwing that FPB 17 out of 31 ABs so far this season. And settling in has been a problem. Pitches 1-15 have resulted in 7x16 with 1HR, 4RBI and 3 doubles.

Last start, Thursday at Pittsburgh:
4.2IP, 5H, 3ER, 2K:2BB.

Efficiency in pitches will be huge for Ortiz - last start it took 99 pitches to get through 21 batters (and only 14 outs). Problem, is, the Dodgers are averaging 3.94 pitches per plate appearance.


Clayton Kershaw

Kershaw got a no-decision last Wednesday against the Giants, but like many an Astro starter, deserved much better. Check the stats: 7IP, 1H, 1ER, 13K:1BB
Batters are hitting .081/.186/.189 against Kershaw, with 19K:5BB so far this season. Kershaw has given up two extra-base hits all season - just so you know.

2008 splits:

Away2-35.36 ERA/1.72 WHIP5 HR41K:29BB
vs. HOU0-04.77 ERA/1.41 WHIP0 HR4K:2BB

July 1ND5.2IP6H/3ER4K:2BB

Limited sample in one career start, but here it is


1 comment:

CM said...

Great statistics today! First Pitch Strike is such a huge, overlooked statistic. When I was younger I used to watch a lot of Blue Jay's games (being from Canada), and I would often track first pitch ball/strike for entire games for both pitchers. More often than not, the team who's chuckers threw a higher percentage of FPS would end up winning the game.

Lately our SP's have been much better at getting ahead in the count, which is going to be key.

On a side note, MAN is Kershaw an awesome young pitcher.