Monday, July 15, 2013

One way to fix the Astros right now


Astros shortstops are hitting .222/.249/.389. The .580 OPS is the 2nd-worst by position (somehow, Astros center fielders have a .577 OPS) on the team, and they - between Marwin Gonzalez and Ronny Cedeno - have 100 total bases in 94 games. Since Marwin Gonzalez got optioned to OKC on June 24, Cedeno has responded by going 3x27 - all singles - with 11K:3BB. In the seven games he has started at shortstop, the Astros are 1-6. And when he hasn't been starting at SS, he's been the DH, which is a slap in the face to Almighty Baseball.

Ronny Cedeno has got to go. The Astros were probably hoping for even a small regression from his career-high .741 OPS in 78 games for the Mets in 2012. What they got instead was a .223/.264/.302 line and a 56 OPS+. The Astros are 13-29 when he starts, which is actually a worse winning percentage than what they've put up through 94 games as a team. I know there are other factors to consider blah blah blah, but look at this:

His -0.6 WAR is the second-worst among shortstops with a minimum of 150 plate appearances, mainly because he's striking out in 26.8% of his plate appearances, the highest among SS with the 150 PA minimum. And he's sucking this much with a .306 BABIP - so it's not like you can even say he's been unlucky. Oh yeah, his -3.6 Fld rating from FanGraphs is the 6th-worst among shortstops. He just sucks.

Solution: For God's sake, bring up Jonathan Villar. He's in the middle of a career-high .788 OPS season, with 31 of his 92 hits going for extra-bases (he has as many triples - 8 - as he has homers.) And this is his first season at Triple-A. Since June 1, he's hit .305/.372/.492 (assisted by a .372 BABIP). He's 22 years old. There is absolutely no reason not to give him a shot. He hasn't played since July 6, so...that might be a reason, because I don't know why he hasn't played in a week. No transactions listed, nothing. So someone find Jonathan Villar before he drifts out to Weiland Island.

10 comments:

The Batguy said...

According the the minor league equivalency calculator, Villar's OKC numbers would translate to .207/.254/.317 in Houston.

Ryan Sides said...

What would my numbers translate to on the fancy calculator? ;)

ReverendKoosh said...

That Minor League Equivalency Calculator is pretty pessimistic. I did Springer's AA #'s this year and it translates to .200/.263/.366. Not saying he's replicate what he's doing in AAA, but I'd like to think he's be better than a sub .650 OPS.

Anonymous said...

I think the Weiland issue is a more pressing issue than any promotion or trade. Seriously, where the fuck is that guy?

Anonymous said...

I'm just fine with locking up the No. 1 pick again, taking Carlos Rodon in early June and bringing up all the guys currently in AA/AAA after the Super 2 cutoff. Play .600 ball the second half of the season and compete in 2015. Let's do it.

Anonymous said...

Do his 17 errors have anything to do with his not being called up yet?

Anonymous said...

Has Villar been hanging out with Baron Davis? If so, I think I know what happened #alienabduction

OremLK said...

I don't think Villar is quite ready. I know it feels like he's been floating around in the system forever, but remember, he JUST turned 22 years old. For comparison, George Springer is about to turn 24.

Anyhow, Villar still strikes out too much and makes too many errors on defense. I'd also like to see him consistently OPS over .800 in AAA before hitting the majors. He's well on the way to that but I certainly don't want him up with the big club before September at the earliest.

Anonymous said...

I don't see how Villar is going to make up for the lack of production from the other 6 bats in the line-up.

Anonymous said...

I think Weiland had a rotator cuff surgery, then had a post op infection, which sounds like a career ending disaster. That is the last I read in early 2012. I guess if he is going to resurface it will be early 14