Tuesday, February 5, 2013

A Quick Comparison: Jed Lowrie v.Chris Carter

After hearing about the trade that was made yesterday I wanted to take a look at some offensive numbers from both Lowrie and Carter and get a better idea of what Houston is getting with the addition of Carter and the subtraction of Lowrie.

I used the stats from 2012 because last year was the highest number of plate appearances that both players have had with their respective former clubs. I established a hit rate, walk rate, home run rate, and k rate for each player and figured an offensive output for a full season of playing every day with a minimum of 3 ab's per game.

Keep in mind that neither player has played a full season in the major leagues.

If Chris Carter homers at the pace he did last season, every 13.67 ab, he could out homer Jed Lowrie (hr/21.25 ab's) by 15 homers a season.

If Carter's K rate holds steady (K/2.62 ab) the Astros would be adding potentially 100+ strike outs. Almost exactly twice the amount of Lowrie. (K/5.23 ab).

Chris Carter had an OBP .019 points higher than Lowrie last season and walked every 6.66 abs, compared to Lowrie, who walked every 9 ab's. This equals roughly 20 more walks a season by Carter.

From this fairly raw data we can get a ballpark idea of the production Houston is getting with Carter compared to Lowrie.

Houston' fans can expect more power from Carter than Lowrie and a few more walks. However, with that Houston is getting a player who strikes out at a rate twice as often as Jed Lowrie.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

great points! I appreciate the write ups everyday!

Anonymous said...

One plays short. The other is a dh. Not exactly apples to apples.

cardsjason said...

Very true. Lowrie puts up numbers at a more valuable position.Anothet numbet to consider, Carter was only 25 last season, wbile jed was 28. Carter is a free agent in 2019 while Lowrie is a free agent in 2015, i believe.so there is value in different places for each player.

Anonymous said...

Losing Lowrie is tough but that fact that they went and got a bigger bat in Carter is great for the division they shall be playing in that holds some huge bats!

Nick said...

I'll take that trade.
To the comment about position, While they do in fact play different defensive positions, they are both middle of the order bats in the Astros' line up.
The defensive replacement for Lowrie is an average defender, but we have gotten a bat that will play well in the AL west.